The Dust 2 Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Damascus Steel
1x $0.28
Brass
3x $0.41
Grip Tape
2x $0.36
Aeolian Light
4x $0.69
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
30.0% $12.25
Amber Fade
40.0% $5.51
Trace Lock
30.0% $4.29
Max Win
$12.25 (+96.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.17 (+15.2%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+54.1%
Cost
$6.22
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.22
Ask Price EV $7.17 (+15.2%)
Bid Price EV $6.57 (+5.7%)
Ask Profit $0.95 (+15.2%)
Bid Profit $0.35 (+5.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.59 (+9.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.95
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.35
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $12.25 (+96.9%)
Worst Case $4.29 (-31.0%)
Volatility +54.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$6.03
Avg Loss -$1.23
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.29 (-31.0%)
Std Dev $3.36
Avg Norm Float 0.1750
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 149h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 46M 58S //TOTAL COST $6.22 //ASK PRICE EV $7.17 //BID PRICE EV $6.57 //ASK PROFIT $0.95 (+15.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.35 (+5.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $12.25 //VOLATILITY +54.1% //
Possible Outputs · 3
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$12.25
+$6.03
+96.9%
$11.36
+$5.14
+82.6%
$0.89
7.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
40.0%
$5.51
-$0.71
-11.4%
$4.79
-$1.43
-23.0%
$0.72
13.1%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$4.29
-$1.93
-31.0%
$4.16
-$2.06
-33.1%
$0.13
3.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.069992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1faf71e7b6fe",
"realistic_value": 5.5115,
"optimistic_value": 5.41,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade",
"conservative_value": 4.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:45.005444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1faf71e7b6fe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.131235,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.12248599999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.292,
"optimistic_value": 4.25,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:49.525526Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5d6bea89278cdc3275215361",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "491598690700372730",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:05:13.764206Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "658230515406960386",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:58.259522Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "519746188259513384",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:44.930390Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "499479989897279749",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:44.930390Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "493850543431854508",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:18.506095Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "516368541588469934",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "524249840858848503",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "507361342333880845",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "500605889842133939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "521998040962328694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:33.808326Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-dust-2:4+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 30.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 30.0% $2.16 Amber Fade 40.0% $0.90 | $5.85 +134.0% | $2.76 +10.4% | 30.0% | +83.6% | $2.50 | — |
The Dust 2 Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Breakthrough 30.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 30.0% $2.16 Amber Fade 40.0% $0.90 | $5.85 +126.8% | $2.76 +7.0% | 30.0% | +81.0% | $2.58 | — |
The Dust 2 Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 30.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 30.0% $14.65 Amber Fade 40.0% $5.51 | $26.93 +86.7% | $14.68 +1.8% | 60.0% | +61.5% | $14.42 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.22 Amber Fade 10.0% $1.37 | $12.25 +94.4% | $7.55 +19.8% | 45.0% | +68.7% | $6.30 | — |
The Dust 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.22 Amber Fade 20.0% $1.37 | $12.25 +106.5% | $6.86 +15.7% | 40.0% | +76.2% | $5.93 | — |
The Dust 2 Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.25 Amber Fade 60.0% $5.51 Trace Lock 20.0% $4.28 | $12.25 +114.1% | $6.61 +15.6% | 20.0% | +49.9% | $5.72 | — |
The Dust 2 Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Amber Fade 50.0% $5.51 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.22 | $12.25 +104.8% | $6.87 +14.9% | 25.0% | +52.6% | $5.98 | — |
The Dust 2 Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Amber Fade 30.0% $5.51 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.29 | $12.25 +87.8% | $7.44 +14.1% | 35.0% | +54.6% | $6.52 | — |