The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Modest Threat
1x $0.29
Fubar
1x $0.47
Wood Fired
3x $0.52
Fusion
3x $0.47
Bock Blocks
2x $0.63
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
10.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
10.0% $10.78
Signal
10.0% $7.55
Nevermore
10.0% $7.11
Amberline
10.0% $6.38
Flashback
10.0% $6.05
Max Win
$16.94 (+182.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.08 (+18.2%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+66.4%
Cost
$5.99
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $5.99
Ask Price EV $7.08 (+18.2%)
Bid Price EV $5.99 (-0.0%)
Ask Profit $1.09 (+18.2%)
Bid Profit $-0.00 (-0.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.09 (+18.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.09
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.00
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $16.94 (+182.7%)
Worst Case $2.05 (-65.8%)
Volatility +66.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$3.14
Avg Loss -$2.00
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.05 (-65.8%)
Std Dev $3.98
Avg Norm Float 0.1394
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 148h 6m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP9 | Modest Threat
—
Field-Tested
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Fubar
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wood Fired
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wood Fired
—
Minimal Wear
$0.57 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wood Fired
—
Minimal Wear
$0.62 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 10S //TOTAL COST $5.99 //ASK PRICE EV $7.08 //BID PRICE EV $5.99 //ASK PROFIT $1.09 (+18.2%) //BID PROFIT $-0.00 (-0.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $16.94 //VOLATILITY +66.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$16.94
+$10.95
+182.7%
$14.31
+$8.32
+138.9%
$2.63
15.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$10.78
+$4.79
+79.9%
$9.15
+$3.16
+52.8%
$1.63
15.1%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$7.55
+$1.56
+26.0%
$6.50
+$0.51
+8.5%
$1.05
13.9%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$7.11
+$1.12
+18.8%
$5.90
-$0.09
-1.5%
$1.21
17.1%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$6.38
+$0.39
+6.6%
$4.92
-$1.07
-17.9%
$1.46
22.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$6.05
+$0.06
+1.0%
$5.24
-$0.75
-12.5%
$0.81
13.4%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$5.67
-$0.32
-5.4%
$4.89
-$1.10
-18.4%
$0.78
13.7%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$4.85
-$1.14
-19.0%
$4.23
-$1.76
-29.4%
$0.62
12.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.41
-$2.58
-43.1%
$3.08
-$2.91
-48.6%
$0.33
9.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.05
-$3.94
-65.8%
$1.67
-$4.32
-72.1%
$0.38
18.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0906165,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 2.0515,
"optimistic_value": 1.95,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 1.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:21.658249Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.667,
"optimistic_value": 5.66,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:53.224872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069705,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 7.5455,
"optimistic_value": 7.5,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 6.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:26.184919Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.125469,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 3.41,
"optimistic_value": 3.34,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:37.832194Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.384,
"optimistic_value": 6.37,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:33:38.525100Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.8495,
"optimistic_value": 4.72,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:55.610452Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.05576400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 7.1135,
"optimistic_value": 7.04,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 5.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:33.060154Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069705,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 6.048,
"optimistic_value": 5.88,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:22.555108Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_583801e10464098f872572fb",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-53d8377fc006",
"listing_id": "525375522203976379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Modest Threat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53d8377fc006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:21.528105Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-876587e47bdc",
"listing_id": "498354089953387435",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Fubar",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-876587e47bdc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:37:27.167050Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-3a61ea6e759f",
"listing_id": "510738989041247866",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wood Fired",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a61ea6e759f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:19:51.498842Z"
},
{
"price": 0.57,
"skin_id": "skin-3a61ea6e759f",
"listing_id": "506234592361711584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wood Fired",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a61ea6e759f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:19:51.498842Z"
},
{
"price": 0.62,
"skin_id": "skin-3a61ea6e759f",
"listing_id": "493849693300956568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wood Fired",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a61ea6e759f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:19:51.498842Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "492724590626752209",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:09.012928Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:22:48.514218Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "516368541588466406",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:31.098658Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885184271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:38.550710Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "523123722383769418",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:31.098658Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Nevermore 10.0% $4.07 Galigator 10.0% $3.56 Amberline 10.0% $2.83 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $2.72 | $10.69 +243.8% | $3.71 +19.2% | 40.0% | +76.5% | $3.11 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 10.0% $14.98 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +255.8% | $17.08 +18.5% | 50.0% | +82.3% | $14.41 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 2.0% $14.98 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +177.2% | $24.24 +31.0% | 54.0% | +73.5% | $18.50 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 4.0% $14.98 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.72 | $51.27 +197.9% | $22.43 +30.3% | 48.0% | +76.5% | $17.21 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 6.0% $14.98 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +219.1% | $20.66 +28.6% | 42.0% | +79.3% | $16.07 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 8.0% $14.98 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +236.4% | $18.87 +23.8% | 36.0% | +80.9% | $15.24 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Amberline 8.0% $6.38 Flashback 12.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +197.6% | $6.71 +17.9% | 60.0% | +55.2% | $5.69 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Amberline 6.0% $6.38 Flashback 14.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +208.5% | $6.34 +15.5% | 66.0% | +52.2% | $5.49 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Signal 16.0% $7.55 Nevermore 16.0% $7.11 Amberline 4.0% $6.38 Flashback 16.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +219.5% | $5.97 +12.7% | 64.0% | +47.5% | $5.30 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.35 Deathgaze  30.0% $56.41 Phosphor  3.3% $43.13 Mecha Industries  3.3% $42.09 Momentum  3.3% $28.93 | $290.04 +190.0% | $126.14 +26.1% | 30.0% | +107.5% | $100.02 | — |