The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fubar
2x $0.20
Danger Close
3x $0.23
RMX
2x $0.34
Bock Blocks
3x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
10.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
10.0% $6.12
Nevermore
10.0% $4.07
Galigator
10.0% $3.56
Amberline
10.0% $2.88
Urban Sovereign
10.0% $2.71
Max Win
$10.69 (+247.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.71 (+20.5%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+87.3%
Cost
$3.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.08
Ask Price EV $3.71 (+20.5%)
Bid Price EV $3.17 (+2.8%)
Ask Profit $0.63 (+20.5%)
Bid Profit $0.09 (+2.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.54 (+17.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.63
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.09
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+247.2%)
Worst Case $1.30 (-57.8%)
Volatility +87.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$3.03
Avg Loss -$0.97
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.30 (-57.8%)
Std Dev $2.69
Avg Norm Float 0.3628
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 147h 46m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Fubar
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Fubar
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 11S //TOTAL COST $3.08 //ASK PRICE EV $3.71 //BID PRICE EV $3.17 //ASK PROFIT $0.63 (+20.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.09 (+2.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +87.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$10.69
+$7.61
+247.2%
$9.15
+$6.07
+197.1%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$6.12
+$3.04
+98.6%
$4.98
+$1.90
+61.7%
$1.14
18.6%
—
WIN
10.0%
$4.07
+$0.99
+32.3%
$3.42
+$0.34
+11.0%
$0.65
16.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
10.0%
$3.56
+$0.48
+15.7%
$2.64
-$0.44
-14.3%
$0.92
25.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.88
-$0.20
-6.4%
$2.61
-$0.47
-15.3%
$0.27
9.5%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.71
-$0.38
-12.2%
$2.58
-$0.50
-16.2%
$0.13
4.6%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.37
-$0.71
-22.9%
$2.18
-$0.90
-29.2%
$0.19
8.2%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.09
-$0.99
-32.1%
$1.79
-$1.29
-41.9%
$0.30
14.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.32
-$1.76
-57.2%
$1.21
-$1.87
-60.7%
$0.11
8.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.30
-$1.78
-57.8%
$1.11
-$1.97
-64.0%
$0.19
14.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.36281,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.23582650000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 1.3,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:14.653466Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.36281,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.5645000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.47,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:26.209442Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.181405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 2.09,
"optimistic_value": 2.09,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:35:14.097122Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.36281,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.326529,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 1.319,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:09:04.422555Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.36281,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.8835,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:17:42.661875Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.36281,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.705,
"optimistic_value": 2.6,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:17:39.043864Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.145124,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 4.0735,
"optimistic_value": 4.07,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:34.566282Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.181405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 2.3735,
"optimistic_value": 2.37,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 2.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:46:42.876802Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_583801e10464098f872572fb",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-876587e47bdc",
"listing_id": "518620288314337600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Fubar",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-876587e47bdc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:56.643006Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "497228190140949989",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:28:26.185630Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-876587e47bdc",
"listing_id": "511864888984398537",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Fubar",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-876587e47bdc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:56.643006Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "507361289452855885",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:28:26.185630Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527626690814383256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:28:26.185630Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "494976443341633434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:27:52.186514Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "526501587737943665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:27:52.186514Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "520872141037515540",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:07.009282Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "512990789045645879",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:07.009282Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "490472790738106599",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:07.009282Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 10.0% $14.98 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +253.4% | $17.08 +17.7% | 50.0% | +81.7% | $14.51 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Signal 10.0% $7.55 Nevermore 10.0% $7.11 Amberline 10.0% $6.38 Flashback 10.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +174.0% | $7.06 +14.3% | 50.0% | +54.4% | $6.18 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 2.0% $14.98 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +166.2% | $24.24 +25.9% | 36.0% | +70.6% | $19.26 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 6.0% $14.98 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +207.6% | $20.66 +23.9% | 42.0% | +76.4% | $16.67 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 4.0% $14.98 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +181.9% | $22.45 +23.4% | 48.0% | +72.2% | $18.19 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Nevermore 8.0% $4.07 Galigator 12.0% $3.56 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $3.01 Amberline 12.0% $2.89 | $10.69 +226.0% | $4.05 +23.3% | 44.0% | +75.5% | $3.28 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Nevermore 12.0% $4.07 Galigator 8.0% $3.56 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $3.01 Amberline 8.0% $2.89 | $10.69 +264.9% | $3.44 +17.4% | 44.0% | +75.3% | $2.93 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Amberline 6.0% $6.42 Flashback 14.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +209.6% | $6.33 +15.8% | 66.0% | +52.4% | $5.47 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Signal 16.0% $7.55 Nevermore 16.0% $7.11 Amberline 4.0% $6.38 Flashback 16.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +210.2% | $5.95 +9.0% | 64.0% | +46.3% | $5.46 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi  30.0% $62.86 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.69 Phosphor  3.3% $43.13 Mecha Industries  3.3% $42.09 Momentum  3.3% $28.97 | $290.04 +193.5% | $127.28 +28.8% | 30.0% | +108.1% | $98.81 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Asiimov  5.0% $173.55 Neo-Noir  5.0% $139.21 | $843.46 +70.8% | $613.40 +24.2% | 45.0% | +46.3% | $493.72 | — |