The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Wood Fired
1x $0.52
Black Sand
2x $0.81
Danger Close
2x $2.03
Bock Blocks
3x $0.78
Fusion
2x $0.92
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
10.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
10.0% $31.66
Amberline
10.0% $18.87
Pipe Down
10.0% $14.98
Galigator
10.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
10.0% $13.85
Max Win
$51.27 (+255.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$17.08 (+18.5%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+94.8%
Cost
$14.41
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $14.41
Ask Price EV $17.08 (+18.5%)
Bid Price EV $14.60 (+1.3%)
Ask Profit $2.67 (+18.5%)
Bid Profit $0.19 (+1.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.48 (+17.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.67
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.19
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+255.8%)
Worst Case $4.95 (-65.6%)
Volatility +94.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$11.85
Avg Loss -$6.51
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.95 (-65.6%)
Std Dev $13.66
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 148h 6m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Wood Fired
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.81 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Factory New
$2.03 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Factory New
$2.49 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.47 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.59 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 40S //TOTAL COST $14.41 //ASK PRICE EV $17.08 //BID PRICE EV $14.60 //ASK PROFIT $2.67 (+18.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.19 (+1.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +94.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$51.27
+$36.86
+255.8%
$43.51
+$29.10
+201.9%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$31.66
+$17.25
+119.7%
$29.45
+$15.04
+104.4%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$18.87
+$4.46
+30.9%
$12.97
-$1.44
-10.0%
$5.90
31.3%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$14.98
+$0.56
+3.9%
$13.80
-$0.61
-4.2%
$1.17
7.8%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$14.51
+$0.10
+0.7%
$13.05
-$1.36
-9.4%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$13.85
-$0.56
-3.9%
$11.82
-$2.59
-18.0%
$2.03
14.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$7.55
-$6.86
-47.6%
$6.50
-$7.91
-54.9%
$1.05
13.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$7.11
-$7.30
-50.6%
$5.90
-$8.51
-59.1%
$1.21
17.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$6.05
-$8.36
-58.0%
$5.24
-$9.17
-63.6%
$0.81
13.4%
—
NUKE THIN BID
10.0%
$4.95
-$9.46
-65.6%
$3.71
-$10.70
-74.3%
$1.24
25.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.04548050000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 4.9545,
"optimistic_value": 4.79,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 3.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:46.838117Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.034985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 7.5455,
"optimistic_value": 7.5,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 6.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:26.184919Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.062973,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 14.975,
"optimistic_value": 14.52,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 13.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:30:18.926098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.847,
"optimistic_value": 13.84,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:53.997631Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.027988000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 7.1135,
"optimistic_value": 7.04,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 5.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:33.060154Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.034985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 6.048,
"optimistic_value": 5.88,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:22.555108Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_583801e10464098f872572fb",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-3a61ea6e759f",
"listing_id": "510738989041247866",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wood Fired",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a61ea6e759f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:19:51.498842Z"
},
{
"price": 0.81,
"skin_id": "skin-d85d77873f80",
"listing_id": "523123091078070802",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85d77873f80.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:19:51.454305Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-d85d77873f80",
"listing_id": "520871291151398412",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85d77873f80.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:19:51.454305Z"
},
{
"price": 2.03,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "516367691487664286",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:17.939778Z"
},
{
"price": 2.49,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "649222707030117424",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:17.939778Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885184271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:38.550710Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "523123722383769418",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:31.098658Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "528753335314230633",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:38.550710Z"
},
{
"price": 2.47,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "490472790738106563",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:19.933203Z"
},
{
"price": 2.59,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "499479989895893281",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:22:52.244658Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Nevermore 10.0% $4.07 Galigator 10.0% $3.56 Amberline 10.0% $2.83 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $2.72 | $10.69 +243.8% | $3.71 +19.2% | 40.0% | +76.5% | $3.11 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Signal 10.0% $7.55 Nevermore 10.0% $7.11 Amberline 10.0% $6.38 Flashback 10.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +182.7% | $7.08 +18.2% | 60.0% | +56.0% | $5.99 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 2.0% $14.98 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +177.2% | $24.24 +31.0% | 54.0% | +73.5% | $18.50 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 4.0% $14.98 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.72 | $51.27 +197.9% | $22.43 +30.3% | 48.0% | +76.5% | $17.21 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 6.0% $14.98 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +219.1% | $20.66 +28.6% | 42.0% | +79.3% | $16.07 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Pipe Down 8.0% $14.98 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +236.4% | $18.87 +23.8% | 36.0% | +80.9% | $15.24 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Amberline 8.0% $6.38 Flashback 12.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +197.6% | $6.71 +17.9% | 60.0% | +55.2% | $5.69 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Amberline 6.0% $6.38 Flashback 14.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +208.5% | $6.34 +15.5% | 66.0% | +52.2% | $5.49 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Signal 16.0% $7.55 Nevermore 16.0% $7.11 Amberline 4.0% $6.38 Flashback 16.0% $6.05 | $16.94 +219.5% | $5.97 +12.7% | 64.0% | +47.5% | $5.30 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.35 Deathgaze  30.0% $56.41 Phosphor  3.3% $43.13 Mecha Industries  3.3% $42.09 Momentum  3.3% $28.93 | $290.04 +190.0% | $126.14 +26.1% | 30.0% | +107.5% | $100.02 | — |