The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
2x $0.80
Bock Blocks
4x $0.87
Fusion
4x $0.89
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
16.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
16.0% $31.66
Amberline
16.0% $18.87
Galigator
16.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
16.0% $13.85
Emphorosaur-S
4.0% $11.80
Max Win
$51.27 (+206.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$22.15 (+32.2%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+89.1%
Cost
$16.75
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $16.75
Ask Price EV $22.15 (+32.2%)
Bid Price EV $18.87 (+12.7%)
Ask Profit $5.40 (+32.2%)
Bid Profit $2.12 (+12.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.28 (+19.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.40
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.12
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+206.1%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-84.2%)
Volatility +89.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$17.18
Avg Loss -$5.49
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.35 (-80.0%)
Std Dev $14.93
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 153h 27m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$1.76 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.55 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.99 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 09M 44S //TOTAL COST $16.75 //ASK PRICE EV $22.15 //BID PRICE EV $18.87 //ASK PROFIT $5.40 (+32.2%) //BID PROFIT $2.12 (+12.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +89.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$51.27
+$34.52
+206.1%
$43.51
+$26.76
+159.8%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$31.66
+$14.91
+89.0%
$29.45
+$12.70
+75.8%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$18.87
+$2.12
+12.7%
$12.97
-$3.78
-22.6%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$14.51
-$2.24
-13.4%
$13.05
-$3.70
-22.1%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$13.85
-$2.90
-17.3%
$11.82
-$4.93
-29.4%
$2.03
14.6%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$11.80
-$4.95
-29.5%
$10.16
-$6.59
-39.3%
$1.64
13.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$8.10
-$8.66
-51.7%
$6.70
-$10.05
-60.0%
$1.40
17.2%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$7.09
-$9.66
-57.7%
$6.18
-$10.57
-63.1%
$0.91
12.9%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$3.35
-$13.40
-80.0%
$3.08
-$13.67
-81.6%
$0.27
8.1%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$2.65
-$14.10
-84.2%
$2.41
-$14.34
-85.6%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.847,
"optimistic_value": 13.84,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:56:46.761768Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05229,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 7.0925,
"optimistic_value": 7.04,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:40:37.398079Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.055776000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.2504376,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.041832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.35,
"optimistic_value": 3.35,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:01.258690Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.095,
"optimistic_value": 7.99,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:04.193780Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_518d9b634019a3735764bea2",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "509613142167970671",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:15:22.804350Z"
},
{
"price": 1.76,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515241791644842529",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:15:22.804350Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "496102290329401619",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:45.140407Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "525375635592918547",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:20.082689Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "523123722383769418",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:20.082689Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "528753335314230633",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:45.140407Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:09:59.319737Z"
},
{
"price": 2.55,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613089304746343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:31.664745Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "500605889842157771",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:31.664745Z"
},
{
"price": 2.99,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "490472790738237423",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:09:59.319737Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.49 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $2.92 Amberline 16.0% $2.88 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.82 | $10.69 +194.6% | $4.41 +21.5% | 32.0% | +77.5% | $3.63 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 16.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 16.0% $10.78 Amberline 16.0% $6.11 Galigator 16.0% $5.59 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $4.90 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +163.8% | $7.60 +18.4% | 32.0% | +66.5% | $6.42 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +232.5% | $20.20 +31.0% | 42.0% | +84.1% | $15.42 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +176.6% | $24.09 +29.9% | 54.0% | +73.7% | $18.54 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +260.6% | $18.26 +28.4% | 48.0% | +88.9% | $14.22 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $5.56 Galigator 8.0% $5.30 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.90 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +330.9% | $5.02 +27.8% | 52.0% | +95.6% | $3.93 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +295.3% | $16.32 +25.8% | 50.0% | +94.2% | $12.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $5.56 Galigator 6.0% $5.30 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.90 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +381.1% | $4.41 +25.4% | 44.0% | +98.4% | $3.52 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  35.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  35.0% $484.90 Temukau  15.0% $288.76 Head Shot  15.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +108.2% | $536.91 +32.5% | 70.0% | +61.0% | $405.07 | — |