The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
1x $0.14
Re.built
1x $0.16
Fragment
2x $0.30
RMX
4x $0.36
Bock Blocks
2x $0.43
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
16.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
16.0% $6.12
Galigator
16.0% $3.47
Urban Sovereign
16.0% $2.96
Amberline
16.0% $2.88
Emphorosaur-S
4.0% $1.82
Max Win
$10.69 (+213.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.42 (+29.5%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+91.5%
Cost
$3.41
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.41
Ask Price EV $4.42 (+29.5%)
Bid Price EV $3.77 (+10.7%)
Ask Profit $1.01 (+29.5%)
Bid Profit $0.36 (+10.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.64 (+18.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.01
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.36
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+213.6%)
Worst Case $0.83 (-75.6%)
Volatility +91.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$3.35
Avg Loss -$1.15
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.86 (-74.7%)
Std Dev $3.12
Avg Norm Float 0.3799
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 154h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 39S //TOTAL COST $3.41 //ASK PRICE EV $4.42 //BID PRICE EV $3.77 //ASK PROFIT $1.01 (+29.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.36 (+10.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +91.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$10.69
+$7.28
+213.6%
$9.15
+$5.74
+168.3%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$6.12
+$2.71
+79.4%
$4.98
+$1.57
+46.0%
$1.14
18.6%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$3.47
+$0.06
+1.7%
$2.90
-$0.51
-15.0%
$0.57
16.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$2.96
-$0.45
-13.3%
$2.61
-$0.80
-23.5%
$0.35
11.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$2.88
-$0.53
-15.4%
$2.61
-$0.80
-23.5%
$0.27
9.5%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.82
-$1.59
-46.6%
$1.79
-$1.62
-47.5%
$0.03
1.7%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.38
-$2.03
-59.5%
$1.11
-$2.30
-67.4%
$0.27
19.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.07
-$2.34
-68.6%
$0.95
-$2.46
-72.1%
$0.12
11.3%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.86
-$2.55
-74.7%
$0.74
-$2.67
-78.3%
$0.12
14.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$0.83
-$2.58
-75.6%
$0.75
-$2.66
-78.0%
$0.08
9.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.37994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.37994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.4675000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:50:21.034680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.37994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.37994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.8835,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:05.273972Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.37994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.956,
"optimistic_value": 2.9,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:54.625709Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.284955,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.38,
"optimistic_value": 1.38,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:57.002230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.303952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.8210000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:56.308257Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.4303652,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.0705,
"optimistic_value": 0.99,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 0.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:55:52.047015Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.227964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 0.8634999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.86,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:50.035364Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.37994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8315,
"optimistic_value": 0.8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:05:07.759896Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_518d9b634019a3735764bea2",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499480042828560601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:44.387635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "499480042829001745",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:03:02.605118Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "499479989897464717",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:37.087012Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "506235389470454088",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:37.087012Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "527627487625008320",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:33.313687Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "503983589619721927",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:33.313687Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "506235389469140196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:33.313687Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "503983537173773743",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:33.313687Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "521998040963336874",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:54.854931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613036859925607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:54.854931Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 16.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 16.0% $10.78 Amberline 16.0% $6.10 Galigator 16.0% $5.31 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $4.72 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +165.5% | $7.53 +18.0% | 32.0% | +67.8% | $6.38 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn ST | Electrum 16.0% $7.45 Firebreathing 16.0% $3.97 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $2.69 Galigator 16.0% $2.39 Amberline 16.0% $2.25 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.82 | $7.45 +140.4% | $3.23 +4.3% | 32.0% | +58.9% | $3.10 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.57 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +186.9% | $24.04 +34.5% | 54.0% | +76.7% | $17.87 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.57 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +316.5% | $16.29 +32.3% | 50.0% | +99.4% | $12.31 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 14.0% $6.12 Galigator 14.0% $3.49 Amberline 14.0% $2.88 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $2.87 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.82 | $10.69 +250.6% | $4.00 +31.2% | 42.0% | +90.2% | $3.05 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Galigator 12.0% $3.49 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $2.96 Amberline 12.0% $2.88 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $1.82 | $10.69 +287.4% | $3.61 +30.9% | 60.0% | +96.8% | $2.76 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.10 Galigator 8.0% $5.59 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.90 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +314.1% | $5.08 +24.3% | 52.0% | +91.6% | $4.09 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.10 Galigator 6.0% $5.59 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.90 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +364.0% | $4.46 +22.1% | 44.0% | +94.9% | $3.65 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  30.0% $484.90 Temukau  20.0% $288.76 Head Shot  20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +124.6% | $494.48 +31.7% | 60.0% | +67.1% | $375.58 | — |