The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
2x $0.30
Bock Blocks
5x $0.43
Fusion
3x $0.73
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
16.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
16.0% $10.78
Amberline
16.0% $6.10
Galigator
16.0% $5.31
Urban Sovereign
16.0% $4.72
Emphorosaur-S
4.0% $4.12
Max Win
$16.94 (+165.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.53 (+18.0%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+75.7%
Cost
$6.38
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.38
Ask Price EV $7.53 (+18.0%)
Bid Price EV $6.47 (+1.4%)
Ask Profit $1.15 (+18.0%)
Bid Profit $0.09 (+1.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.06 (+16.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.15
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.09
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $16.94 (+165.5%)
Worst Case $1.41 (-77.9%)
Volatility +75.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$7.48
Avg Loss -$1.83
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.58 (-75.2%)
Std Dev $4.83
Avg Norm Float 0.1496
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 153h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 39S //TOTAL COST $6.38 //ASK PRICE EV $7.53 //BID PRICE EV $6.47 //ASK PROFIT $1.15 (+18.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.09 (+1.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $16.94 //VOLATILITY +75.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$16.94
+$10.56
+165.5%
$14.31
+$7.93
+124.3%
$2.63
15.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$10.78
+$4.40
+68.9%
$9.15
+$2.77
+43.4%
$1.63
15.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$6.10
-$0.29
-4.5%
$4.92
-$1.46
-22.9%
$1.17
19.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$5.31
-$1.07
-16.8%
$4.94
-$1.44
-22.6%
$0.37
7.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$4.72
-$1.66
-26.0%
$4.26
-$2.12
-33.2%
$0.46
9.7%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$4.12
-$2.26
-35.5%
$3.56
-$2.82
-44.2%
$0.56
13.5%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$3.08
-$3.30
-51.7%
$2.72
-$3.66
-57.4%
$0.36
11.7%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$2.65
-$3.73
-58.4%
$2.41
-$3.97
-62.2%
$0.24
9.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$1.58
-$4.80
-75.2%
$1.46
-$4.92
-77.1%
$0.12
7.7%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.41
-$4.97
-77.9%
$1.33
-$5.05
-79.2%
$0.08
5.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.3095,
"optimistic_value": 5.18,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:11:08.240271Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.095,
"optimistic_value": 6.06,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:58.119008Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.72,
"optimistic_value": 4.65,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:44.278142Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11223,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.119712,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.29679120000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.08978399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:52:52.745830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.5815,
"optimistic_value": 1.55,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:05:04.585463Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_518d9b634019a3735764bea2",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:59.130904Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "658230515398900238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:59.130904Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "521998040963336874",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:54.854931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613036859925607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:54.854931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:54.854931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "503983642533640231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:09.719787Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "512990841908282687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:01.683121Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "496102290329401619",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:01.683121Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "525375635592918547",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:09.719787Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "523123722383769418",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:09.719787Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.47 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $2.96 Amberline 16.0% $2.88 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.82 | $10.69 +213.6% | $4.42 +29.5% | 48.0% | +82.4% | $3.41 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn ST | Electrum 16.0% $7.45 Firebreathing 16.0% $3.97 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $2.69 Galigator 16.0% $2.39 Amberline 16.0% $2.25 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.82 | $7.45 +140.4% | $3.23 +4.3% | 32.0% | +58.9% | $3.10 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.57 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +186.9% | $24.04 +34.5% | 54.0% | +76.7% | $17.87 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.57 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +316.5% | $16.29 +32.3% | 50.0% | +99.4% | $12.31 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 14.0% $6.12 Galigator 14.0% $3.49 Amberline 14.0% $2.88 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $2.87 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.82 | $10.69 +250.6% | $4.00 +31.2% | 42.0% | +90.2% | $3.05 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Galigator 12.0% $3.49 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $2.96 Amberline 12.0% $2.88 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $1.82 | $10.69 +287.4% | $3.61 +30.9% | 60.0% | +96.8% | $2.76 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.10 Galigator 8.0% $5.59 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.90 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +314.1% | $5.08 +24.3% | 52.0% | +91.6% | $4.09 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.10 Galigator 6.0% $5.59 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.90 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +364.0% | $4.46 +22.1% | 44.0% | +94.9% | $3.65 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  30.0% $484.90 Temukau  20.0% $288.76 Head Shot  20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +124.6% | $494.48 +31.7% | 60.0% | +67.1% | $375.58 | — |