The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Distressed
2x $0.30
Tom Cat
3x $0.35
Prototype
1x $0.41
Royal Baroque
1x $0.39
Reef Grief
1x $0.40
Mint Fan
2x $0.52
↓
Possible Outputs
Midnight Laminate
20.0% $18.08
Royal Guard
20.0% $5.56
Fever Dream
12.0% $3.18
Acid Etched
12.0% $1.01
Enforcer
12.0% $1.01
Apocalypto
12.0% $1.00
Max Win
$18.08 (+309.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.58 (+26.6%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+147.1%
Cost
$4.41
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.41
Ask Price EV $5.58 (+26.6%)
Bid Price EV $4.81 (+9.1%)
Ask Profit $1.17 (+26.6%)
Bid Profit $0.40 (+9.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.77 (+17.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.17
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.40
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $18.08 (+309.9%)
Worst Case $0.91 (-79.5%)
Volatility +147.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$7.41
Avg Loss -$2.99
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.91 (-79.5%)
Std Dev $6.49
Avg Norm Float 0.1997
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 153h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Prototype
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Royal Baroque
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Reef Grief
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 43S //TOTAL COST $4.41 //ASK PRICE EV $5.58 //BID PRICE EV $4.81 //ASK PROFIT $1.17 (+26.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.40 (+9.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $18.08 //VOLATILITY +147.1% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$18.08
+$13.67
+309.9%
$15.21
+$10.80
+244.9%
$2.87
15.9%
—
WIN
20.0%
$5.56
+$1.15
+26.2%
$5.11
+$0.70
+15.9%
$0.45
8.2%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$3.18
-$1.23
-27.9%
$2.78
-$1.63
-37.0%
$0.40
12.6%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.01
-$3.40
-77.1%
$0.87
-$3.54
-80.3%
$0.14
13.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.01
-$3.40
-77.1%
$0.85
-$3.56
-80.7%
$0.16
15.8%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.00
-$3.41
-77.3%
$0.89
-$3.52
-79.8%
$0.11
11.1%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.91
-$3.50
-79.5%
$0.85
-$3.56
-80.7%
$0.06
6.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dba8faaa2d7e",
"realistic_value": 18.0765,
"optimistic_value": 17.94,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate",
"conservative_value": 15.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:20.243302Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dba8faaa2d7e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.119832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b88bf24d8569",
"realistic_value": 5.5645,
"optimistic_value": 5.54,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard",
"conservative_value": 5.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:03.830819Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b88bf24d8569.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.01,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:36:18.459472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 1.01,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:54.878766Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 0.9055,
"optimistic_value": 0.86,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:35.076758Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1437984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 3.18,
"optimistic_value": 3.18,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 2.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:38.858762Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.001,
"optimistic_value": 0.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 0.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:13:46.135619Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_42336258761e5a5942349fa2",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "514116741798033366",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:52.370037Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "503983537176128143",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:15.932729Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "526501587738372281",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:15.932729Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "525375522202008871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:52.370037Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "491598690698515994",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:15.932729Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-c31f180e6a50",
"listing_id": "496102290330001163",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Prototype",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c31f180e6a50.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:18.586122Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"listing_id": "509613142168149267",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:02:15.394460Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"listing_id": "499480042828625761",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:05:17.041196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "500605837397096555",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:40.053371Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "492724643508225081",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:25.764869Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:6+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 20.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 20.0% $13.27 Fever Dream 12.0% $8.46 Acid Etched 12.0% $2.37 Darkwing 12.0% $2.29 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.94 | $38.92 +228.5% | $12.47 +5.3% | 40.0% | +113.2% | $11.85 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Midnight Laminate 20.0% $38.92 Acid Etched 12.0% $34.68 Royal Guard 20.0% $13.27 Darkwing 12.0% $9.51 Enforcer 12.0% $9.50 Apocalypto 12.0% $9.34 | $38.92 +112.5% | $19.02 +3.8% | 32.0% | +66.5% | $18.32 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 25.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 25.0% $5.56 Fever Dream 10.0% $3.15 Acid Etched 10.0% $1.01 Enforcer 10.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 10.0% $1.00 | $18.08 +244.3% | $6.62 +26.1% | 50.0% | +126.0% | $5.25 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 45.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 45.0% $13.23 Fever Dream 2.0% $8.45 Acid Etched 2.0% $2.34 Darkwing 2.0% $2.29 Apocalypto 2.0% $1.96 | $38.92 +98.7% | $23.81 +21.5% | 45.0% | +69.6% | $19.59 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 30.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 30.0% $5.56 Fever Dream 8.0% $3.15 Acid Etched 8.0% $1.01 Enforcer 8.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 8.0% $1.00 | $18.08 +185.1% | $7.66 +20.8% | 30.0% | +107.1% | $6.34 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 35.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 35.0% $5.56 Fever Dream 6.0% $2.93 Acid Etched 6.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.00 Enforcer 6.0% $0.95 | $18.08 +151.4% | $8.68 +20.8% | 35.0% | +95.3% | $7.19 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 40.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 40.0% $13.27 Fever Dream 4.0% $8.45 Acid Etched 4.0% $2.37 Darkwing 4.0% $2.29 Apocalypto 4.0% $1.94 | $38.92 +116.4% | $21.56 +19.8% | 40.0% | +78.6% | $17.99 | — |