The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Ricochet
2x $0.24
Yorick
1x $0.28
Zubastick
2x $0.15
Bock Blocks
4x $0.19
Fragment
1x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
14.0% $4.11
Teclu Burner
5.0% $3.35
Avalanche
5.0% $3.23
Firebreathing
14.0% $2.79
Galigator
14.0% $2.19
Power Loader
5.0% $2.04
Max Win
$4.11 (+51.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.47 (-9.0%)
Win %
38.0%
Volatility
+30.7%
Cost
$2.71
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.71
Ask Price EV $2.47 (-9.0%)
Bid Price EV $2.19 (-19.1%)
Ask Profit $-0.24 (-9.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.52 (-19.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.27 (+10.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.24
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.52
Risk
Win Probability 38.0%
Loss Probability 62.0%
Best Case $4.11 (+51.7%)
Worst Case $1.70 (-37.3%)
Volatility +30.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 43.0%
Avg Win +$0.70
Avg Loss -$0.82
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.70 (-37.3%)
Std Dev $0.83
Avg Norm Float 0.2090
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 151h 32m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Ricochet
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Ricochet
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Yorick
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Well-Worn
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 43S //TOTAL COST $2.71 //ASK PRICE EV $2.47 //BID PRICE EV $2.19 //ASK PROFIT $-0.24 (-9.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.52 (-19.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 38.0% //BEST CASE $4.11 //VOLATILITY +30.7% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
14.0%
$4.11
+$1.40
+51.7%
$3.61
+$0.90
+33.2%
$0.50
12.2%
—
WIN
5.0%
$3.35
+$0.64
+23.6%
$3.11
+$0.40
+14.8%
$0.24
7.1%
—
WIN
5.0%
$3.23
+$0.52
+19.2%
$3.15
+$0.44
+16.2%
$0.08
2.5%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$2.79
+$0.08
+2.8%
$2.32
-$0.39
-14.4%
$0.47
16.8%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.19
-$0.52
-19.3%
$1.74
-$0.97
-35.8%
$0.45
20.4%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$2.04
-$0.67
-24.7%
$1.81
-$0.90
-33.2%
$0.23
11.3%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$2.01
-$0.70
-25.7%
$1.81
-$0.90
-33.2%
$0.20
10.1%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$1.84
-$0.88
-32.3%
$1.64
-$1.07
-39.5%
$0.20
10.6%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$1.75
-$0.96
-35.3%
$1.72
-$0.99
-36.5%
$0.03
1.9%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.75
-$0.96
-35.4%
$1.63
-$1.08
-39.9%
$0.12
6.9%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.70
-$1.01
-37.3%
$1.63
-$1.08
-39.9%
$0.07
4.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 2.787,
"optimistic_value": 2.78,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 2.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:10:34.264440Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 2.1870000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 1.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T21:44:11.833560Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 4.111,
"optimistic_value": 3.95,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 3.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:22.267196Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 1.7505,
"optimistic_value": 1.74,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 1.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:22.081565Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 1.698,
"optimistic_value": 1.67,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 1.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:34:47.672020Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 2.0135,
"optimistic_value": 2.01,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T09:34:38.286581Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 2.04,
"optimistic_value": 2.04,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T19:39:36.038962Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 1.835,
"optimistic_value": 1.8,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 1.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T02:42:25.360231Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 1.7535,
"optimistic_value": 1.75,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 1.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:01.078251Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.209,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 3.23,
"optimistic_value": 3.23,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 3.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:36:02.883294Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.13585,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 3.3485,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 3.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:37:58.163803Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_41098d47be081b9b6a71f164",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "492724643507749377",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:26.674324Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "501731789729326985",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:26.674324Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-e62659639aba",
"listing_id": "515241791654301637",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Yorick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e62659639aba.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:39:51.991148Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "497228243055051209",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:31.449339Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "511864941882077169",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:42.211487Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "521998040962746906",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:42.211487Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885165047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:42.211487Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "516368436281402378",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:42:25.920453Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "517494441498306490",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:42:28.154056Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "500605942755964979",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:53.617123Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-10:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 5.0% $34.98 Avalanche 5.0% $34.42 Power Loader 5.0% $23.23 Electrum 14.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 5.0% $17.86 Tiger Moth 5.0% $16.81 | $34.98 +168.2% | $16.10 +23.5% | 44.0% | +47.9% | $13.04 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Avalanche 5.0% $7.22 Electrum 14.0% $7.00 Power Loader 5.0% $5.82 Retrobution 5.0% $5.26 Firebreathing 14.0% $5.02 Fuel Rod 5.0% $3.96 | $7.22 +86.5% | $4.50 +16.3% | 48.0% | +30.7% | $3.87 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 6.7% $34.98 Avalanche 6.7% $34.42 Power Loader 6.7% $23.23 Electrum 12.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 6.7% $17.86 Tiger Moth 6.7% $16.81 | $34.98 +156.6% | $17.22 +26.4% | 52.0% | +48.6% | $13.63 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 8.3% $34.98 Avalanche 8.3% $34.42 Power Loader 8.3% $23.23 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 8.3% $17.86 Tiger Moth 8.3% $16.81 | $34.98 +137.6% | $18.34 +24.6% | 60.0% | +46.6% | $14.72 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 11.7% $34.98 Avalanche 11.7% $34.42 Power Loader 11.7% $23.23 Electrum 6.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 11.7% $17.86 Tiger Moth 11.7% $16.81 | $34.98 +107.8% | $20.59 +22.3% | 52.7% | +42.0% | $16.83 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 10.0% $34.98 Avalanche 10.0% $34.42 Power Loader 10.0% $23.23 Electrum 8.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 10.0% $17.86 Tiger Moth 10.0% $16.81 | $34.98 +112.3% | $19.47 +18.1% | 58.0% | +42.4% | $16.48 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 3.3% $34.98 Avalanche 3.3% $34.42 Power Loader 3.3% $23.23 Electrum 16.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 3.3% $17.86 Tiger Moth 3.3% $16.81 | $34.98 +163.0% | $14.98 +12.6% | 36.0% | +42.4% | $13.30 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 1.7% $34.98 Avalanche 1.7% $34.42 Power Loader 1.7% $23.23 Electrum 18.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 1.7% $17.86 Tiger Moth 1.7% $16.81 | $34.98 +167.6% | $13.86 +6.0% | 28.0% | +36.0% | $13.07 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight  26.7% $35.39 Point Disarray  6.7% $19.98 The Executioner  6.7% $13.54 Shapewood  6.7% $13.54 Kintsugi  26.7% $9.44 Deathgaze  26.7% $9.03 | $35.39 +137.8% | $17.50 +17.6% | 33.3% | +74.9% | $14.88 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Covert → Extraordinary Well-Worn | Fade  0.3% $1,739.17 Slaughter  0.3% $1,713.14 Ultra Violent  3.6% $1,699.39 Blue Steel  0.3% $1,169.35 Slaughter  0.3% $1,160.48 Crimson Web  0.3% $1,132.20 | $1,739.17 +311.9% | $453.09 +7.3% | 33.8% | +63.1% | $422.20 | — |