The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Ricochet
1x $0.27
Yorick
1x $0.31
Outbreak
1x $0.43
Fragment
3x $0.19
Bock Blocks
2x $0.24
Zubastick
2x $0.47
↓
Possible Outputs
Avalanche
5.0% $7.22
Electrum
14.0% $7.00
Power Loader
5.0% $5.82
Retrobution
5.0% $5.26
Firebreathing
14.0% $5.02
Fuel Rod
5.0% $3.96
Max Win
$7.22 (+92.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.50 (+19.7%)
Win %
53.0%
Volatility
+39.5%
Cost
$3.76
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.76
Ask Price EV $4.50 (+19.7%)
Bid Price EV $4.07 (+8.3%)
Ask Profit $0.74 (+19.7%)
Bid Profit $0.31 (+8.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.43 (+11.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.74
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.31
Risk
Win Probability 53.0%
Loss Probability 47.0%
Best Case $7.22 (+92.0%)
Worst Case $3.10 (-17.5%)
Volatility +39.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$1.87
Avg Loss -$0.54
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.10 (-17.5%)
Std Dev $1.49
Avg Norm Float 0.1494
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 150h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Ricochet
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Yorick
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 04S //TOTAL COST $3.76 //ASK PRICE EV $4.50 //BID PRICE EV $4.07 //ASK PROFIT $0.74 (+19.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.31 (+8.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 53.0% //BEST CASE $7.22 //VOLATILITY +39.5% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$7.22
+$3.46
+92.0%
$6.71
+$2.95
+78.5%
$0.51
7.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$7.00
+$3.24
+86.1%
$5.93
+$2.17
+57.7%
$1.07
15.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$5.82
+$2.06
+54.9%
$5.09
+$1.33
+35.4%
$0.73
12.6%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$5.26
+$1.50
+39.8%
$5.07
+$1.31
+34.8%
$0.19
3.6%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$5.02
+$1.26
+33.5%
$3.97
+$0.21
+5.6%
$1.05
20.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$3.96
+$0.20
+5.4%
$3.70
-$0.06
-1.6%
$0.26
6.7%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$3.78
+$0.02
+0.6%
$3.71
-$0.05
-1.3%
$0.07
1.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.36
-$0.40
-10.7%
$3.19
-$0.57
-15.2%
$0.17
5.0%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$3.35
-$0.41
-10.9%
$3.11
-$0.65
-17.3%
$0.24
7.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.16
-$0.60
-15.9%
$3.13
-$0.63
-16.8%
$0.03
1.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.10
-$0.66
-17.5%
$3.08
-$0.68
-18.1%
$0.02
0.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 5.0200000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 4.95,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 3.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:12:02.254588Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.357,
"optimistic_value": 3.35,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 3.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:35.036220Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 6.997,
"optimistic_value": 6.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 5.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:54.312286Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 3.1605,
"optimistic_value": 3.15,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 3.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:59:55.195740Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 3.1035,
"optimistic_value": 3.1,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:11.857139Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 5.258,
"optimistic_value": 5.23,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 5.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T19:39:26.917341Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 5.8235,
"optimistic_value": 5.61,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 5.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Power Loader (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:13.315821Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 3.964,
"optimistic_value": 3.95,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 3.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T22:41:59.442327Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 3.7824999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 3.73,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 3.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:50.469491Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.14942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 7.218,
"optimistic_value": 7.19,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 6.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T14:20:22.689027Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.097123,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 3.3485,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 3.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:37:58.163803Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_41098d47be081b9b6a71f164",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "501731789729326985",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:02.803792Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-e62659639aba",
"listing_id": "514116688950785298",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Yorick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e62659639aba.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:34.132834Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-c367da09c5bb",
"listing_id": "520871922578280264",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Outbreak",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c367da09c5bb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:15.854541Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "527627540537821244",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:09.931751Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885165047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:37.770744Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "526501640650889897",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:12.021586Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "510739041954144490",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:50.108799Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "492724643507596557",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:16.165917Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "493850490551072548",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:50.108799Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "529879287552057336",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:16.165917Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-10:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 5.0% $34.98 Avalanche 5.0% $34.42 Power Loader 5.0% $23.23 Electrum 14.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 5.0% $17.86 Tiger Moth 5.0% $16.81 | $34.98 +160.5% | $16.11 +19.9% | 44.0% | +46.4% | $13.43 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 6.7% $34.98 Avalanche 6.7% $34.42 Power Loader 6.7% $23.23 Electrum 12.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 6.7% $17.86 Tiger Moth 6.7% $16.81 | $34.98 +146.5% | $17.23 +21.4% | 52.0% | +46.6% | $14.19 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Avalanche 3.3% $7.22 Electrum 16.0% $7.00 Power Loader 3.3% $5.82 Retrobution 3.3% $5.26 Firebreathing 16.0% $5.02 Fuel Rod 3.3% $3.96 | $7.22 +96.1% | $4.44 +20.7% | 48.7% | +32.7% | $3.68 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 10.0% $34.98 Avalanche 10.0% $34.42 Power Loader 10.0% $23.23 Electrum 8.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 10.0% $17.86 Tiger Moth 10.0% $16.81 | $34.98 +112.9% | $19.47 +18.5% | 58.0% | +42.5% | $16.43 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 8.3% $34.98 Avalanche 8.3% $34.42 Power Loader 8.3% $23.23 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 8.3% $17.86 Tiger Moth 8.3% $16.81 | $34.98 +124.8% | $18.35 +18.0% | 60.0% | +44.0% | $15.56 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Avalanche 1.7% $7.22 Electrum 18.0% $7.00 Power Loader 1.7% $5.82 Retrobution 1.7% $5.26 Firebreathing 18.0% $5.02 Fuel Rod 1.7% $3.96 | $7.22 +92.5% | $4.37 +16.6% | 44.3% | +32.7% | $3.75 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 11.7% $34.98 Avalanche 11.7% $34.42 Power Loader 11.7% $23.23 Electrum 6.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 11.7% $17.86 Tiger Moth 11.7% $16.81 | $34.98 +95.2% | $20.59 +14.9% | 41.0% | +39.4% | $17.92 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight  30.0% $35.39 Point Disarray  3.3% $19.98 The Executioner  3.3% $13.54 Shapewood  3.3% $13.54 Kintsugi  30.0% $9.55 Deathgaze  30.0% $9.46 | $35.39 +141.4% | $17.89 +22.0% | 33.3% | +79.4% | $14.66 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Covert → Extraordinary Well-Worn | Fade  0.3% $1,739.17 Slaughter  0.3% $1,713.14 Ultra Violent  3.6% $1,699.39 Blue Steel  0.3% $1,169.35 Slaughter  0.3% $1,160.48 Crimson Web  0.3% $1,132.20 | $1,739.17 +306.0% | $453.09 +5.8% | 33.5% | +62.2% | $428.33 | — |