The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Ricochet
2x $0.63
Outbreak
1x $1.53
Fragment
2x $0.49
Zubastick
2x $0.55
Fusion
1x $1.51
Bock Blocks
1x $1.56
↓
Possible Outputs
Retrobution
5.0% $34.98
Avalanche
5.0% $34.42
Power Loader
5.0% $23.23
Electrum
14.0% $19.50
Fuel Rod
5.0% $17.86
Tiger Moth
5.0% $16.81
Max Win
$34.98 (+168.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$16.10 (+23.5%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+56.4%
Cost
$13.04
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $13.04
Ask Price EV $16.10 (+23.5%)
Bid Price EV $15.28 (+17.2%)
Ask Profit $3.06 (+23.5%)
Bid Profit $2.24 (+17.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.82 (+6.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.06
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.24
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $34.98 (+168.2%)
Worst Case $10.00 (-23.3%)
Volatility +56.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$9.49
Avg Loss -$2.00
Bottom 5% Outcome $10.00 (-23.3%)
Std Dev $7.35
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 151h 54m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Ricochet
—
Minimal Wear
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Ricochet
—
Minimal Wear
$1.18 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
—
Factory New
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Minimal Wear
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$1.56 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer
—
Factory New
$2.12 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Factory New
$2.81 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 27S //TOTAL COST $13.04 //ASK PRICE EV $16.10 //BID PRICE EV $15.28 //ASK PROFIT $3.06 (+23.5%) //BID PROFIT $2.24 (+17.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $34.98 //VOLATILITY +56.4% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$34.98
+$21.94
+168.2%
$33.70
+$20.66
+158.4%
$1.28
3.7%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$34.42
+$21.38
+164.0%
$33.09
+$20.05
+153.8%
$1.33
3.9%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$23.23
+$10.19
+78.2%
$21.69
+$8.65
+66.3%
$1.54
6.6%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$19.50
+$6.46
+49.5%
$17.32
+$4.28
+32.8%
$2.18
11.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$17.86
+$4.82
+37.0%
$16.88
+$3.84
+29.4%
$0.98
5.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$16.81
+$3.77
+28.9%
$16.65
+$3.61
+27.7%
$0.16
1.0%
—
WIN
5.0%
$16.41
+$3.37
+25.8%
$16.18
+$3.14
+24.1%
$0.23
1.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$12.97
-$0.07
-0.6%
$11.57
-$1.47
-11.3%
$1.40
10.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$11.03
-$2.01
-15.4%
$10.78
-$2.26
-17.3%
$0.25
2.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.18
-$2.86
-21.9%
$10.12
-$2.92
-22.4%
$0.06
0.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.00
-$3.04
-23.3%
$9.98
-$3.06
-23.5%
$0.02
0.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 12.967,
"optimistic_value": 12.89,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 11.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T13:05:51.443586Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 11.0315,
"optimistic_value": 11,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 10.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:01.074055Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 19.4975,
"optimistic_value": 19.34,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 17.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:57.497142Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 10.1785,
"optimistic_value": 10.14,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 10.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:04.288075Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 10,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 9.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:33.864421Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 34.979,
"optimistic_value": 34.93,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 33.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:47:53.069200Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 23.233999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 23.15,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 21.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:58:08.479167Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 17.86,
"optimistic_value": 17.86,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 16.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:02:05.573082Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 16.811,
"optimistic_value": 16.79,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 16.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:33.250269Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 34.423500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 34.21,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 33.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:05.516412Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.049999999999999996,
"output_float": 0.045487,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 16.405,
"optimistic_value": 16.23,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 16.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T10:08:13.489468Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_41098d47be081b9b6a71f164",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "524249787961486131",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Ricochet (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:44.955964Z"
},
{
"price": 1.18,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "498353924436709975",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Ricochet (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:44.955964Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-c367da09c5bb",
"listing_id": "510739041954257854",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Outbreak",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c367da09c5bb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:08.923705Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "493850490551072548",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:11.339218Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "529879287552057336",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:53.617123Z"
},
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "491598743580519002",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:11.339218Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "503983642533017575",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:38.083591Z"
},
{
"price": 1.56,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "500605942755964187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:12.249596Z"
},
{
"price": 2.12,
"skin_id": "skin-19e064301c88",
"listing_id": "519746241188345048",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-19e064301c88.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:09.545687Z"
},
{
"price": 2.81,
"skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
"listing_id": "526501587736534805",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:13.854369Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-10:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Avalanche 5.0% $7.22 Electrum 14.0% $7.00 Power Loader 5.0% $5.82 Retrobution 5.0% $5.26 Firebreathing 14.0% $5.02 Fuel Rod 5.0% $3.96 | $7.22 +86.5% | $4.50 +16.3% | 48.0% | +30.7% | $3.87 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 6.7% $34.98 Avalanche 6.7% $34.42 Power Loader 6.7% $23.23 Electrum 12.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 6.7% $17.86 Tiger Moth 6.7% $16.81 | $34.98 +156.6% | $17.22 +26.4% | 52.0% | +48.6% | $13.63 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 8.3% $34.98 Avalanche 8.3% $34.42 Power Loader 8.3% $23.23 Electrum 10.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 8.3% $17.86 Tiger Moth 8.3% $16.81 | $34.98 +137.6% | $18.34 +24.6% | 60.0% | +46.6% | $14.72 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 11.7% $34.98 Avalanche 11.7% $34.42 Power Loader 11.7% $23.23 Electrum 6.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 11.7% $17.86 Tiger Moth 11.7% $16.81 | $34.98 +107.8% | $20.59 +22.3% | 52.7% | +42.0% | $16.83 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 10.0% $34.98 Avalanche 10.0% $34.42 Power Loader 10.0% $23.23 Electrum 8.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 10.0% $17.86 Tiger Moth 10.0% $16.81 | $34.98 +112.3% | $19.47 +18.1% | 58.0% | +42.4% | $16.48 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 3.3% $34.98 Avalanche 3.3% $34.42 Power Loader 3.3% $23.23 Electrum 16.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 3.3% $17.86 Tiger Moth 3.3% $16.81 | $34.98 +163.0% | $14.98 +12.6% | 36.0% | +42.4% | $13.30 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Retrobution 1.7% $34.98 Avalanche 1.7% $34.42 Power Loader 1.7% $23.23 Electrum 18.0% $19.50 Fuel Rod 1.7% $17.86 Tiger Moth 1.7% $16.81 | $34.98 +167.6% | $13.86 +6.0% | 28.0% | +36.0% | $13.07 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight  26.7% $35.39 Point Disarray  6.7% $19.98 The Executioner  6.7% $13.54 Shapewood  6.7% $13.54 Kintsugi  26.7% $9.44 Deathgaze  26.7% $9.03 | $35.39 +137.8% | $17.50 +17.6% | 33.3% | +74.9% | $14.88 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Covert → Extraordinary Well-Worn | Fade  0.3% $1,739.17 Slaughter  0.3% $1,713.14 Ultra Violent  3.6% $1,699.39 Blue Steel  0.3% $1,169.35 Slaughter  0.3% $1,160.48 Crimson Web  0.3% $1,132.20 | $1,739.17 +311.9% | $453.09 +7.3% | 33.8% | +63.1% | $422.20 | — |