The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Wild Six
2x $0.94
Arctic Wolf
1x $1.20
Amberline
7x $1.91
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $45.29
Mortis
10.0% $11.21
Deathgaze
23.3% $10.08
Cortex
10.0% $9.88
Kintsugi
23.3% $7.96
Stymphalian
10.0% $5.67
Max Win
$45.29 (+132.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$17.45 (-10.3%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+79.3%
Cost
$19.45
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $19.45
Ask Price EV $17.45 (-10.3%)
Bid Price EV $15.92 (-18.1%)
Ask Profit $-2.00 (-10.3%)
Bid Profit $-3.53 (-18.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.53 (+7.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.00
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.53
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $45.29 (+132.8%)
Worst Case $5.67 (-70.8%)
Volatility +79.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 76.7%
Avg Win +$25.83
Avg Loss -$10.47
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.67 (-70.8%)
Std Dev $15.43
Avg Norm Float 0.4171
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 144h 33m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Wild Six
—
Field-Tested
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wild Six
—
Field-Tested
$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf
—
Field-Tested
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 34M 42S //TOTAL COST $19.45 //ASK PRICE EV $17.45 //BID PRICE EV $15.92 //ASK PROFIT $-2.00 (-10.3%) //BID PROFIT $-3.53 (-18.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +79.3% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
23.3%
$45.29
+$25.83
+132.8%
$41.72
+$22.27
+114.5%
$3.56
7.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$11.21
-$8.24
-42.4%
$10.32
-$9.13
-46.9%
$0.89
7.9%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$10.08
-$9.37
-48.2%
$8.25
-$11.20
-57.6%
$1.83
18.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$9.88
-$9.57
-49.2%
$9.39
-$10.06
-51.7%
$0.49
5.0%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$7.96
-$11.49
-59.1%
$7.67
-$11.78
-60.6%
$0.29
3.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$5.67
-$13.78
-70.8%
$5.01
-$14.44
-74.2%
$0.66
11.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.41713,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.41713,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:31.240432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.41713,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.0805,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:48.598499Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.2627919,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808553c51871",
"realistic_value": 5.672,
"optimistic_value": 5.63,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Stymphalian",
"conservative_value": 5.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:35.114077Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808553c51871.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.2669632,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c41637779316",
"realistic_value": 11.2065,
"optimistic_value": 11.07,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Mortis",
"conservative_value": 10.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:27:56.944183Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c41637779316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.41713,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3901933d5e47",
"realistic_value": 9.884,
"optimistic_value": 9.8,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cortex",
"conservative_value": 9.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:58.161607Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3901933d5e47.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3c77d43d94291b869e1f34c3",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "512990789045077223",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:55.568600Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "529879287551128752",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:55.568600Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"listing_id": "631208210992369054",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:50:27.865702Z"
},
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472790737643639",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:00:57.656255Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "515242588554990853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:00:57.656255Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:24.233639Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:24.233639Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:24.233639Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:24.233639Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "524249787960551463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:56.377001Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Cortex 10.0% $62.66 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Mortis 10.0% $32.52 Stymphalian 10.0% $23.14 | $290.04 +257.5% | $108.97 +34.3% | 23.3% | +124.3% | $81.14 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $23.08 Cortex 10.0% $23.03 Deathgaze 23.3% $21.75 Mortis 10.0% $16.91 Stymphalian 10.0% $11.14 | $126.41 +236.9% | $45.07 +20.1% | 23.3% | +120.0% | $37.52 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $63.86 Kintsugi 23.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 23.3% $11.72 Cortex 10.0% $11.43 Mortis 10.0% $11.21 Stymphalian 10.0% $5.67 | $63.86 +207.3% | $23.42 +12.7% | 23.3% | +107.8% | $20.78 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Cortex 6.7% $62.66 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Mortis 6.7% $32.52 Stymphalian 6.7% $23.14 | $290.04 +226.8% | $118.91 +34.0% | 26.7% | +117.0% | $88.75 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $64.80 Cortex 13.3% $62.66 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Mortis 13.3% $32.52 Stymphalian 13.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +271.4% | $99.04 +26.8% | 20.0% | +123.8% | $78.09 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $64.80 Cortex 16.7% $62.66 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Mortis 16.7% $32.52 Stymphalian 16.7% $23.14 | $290.04 +301.5% | $89.11 +23.3% | 16.7% | +126.3% | $72.24 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $23.08 Cortex 20.0% $23.03 Deathgaze 13.3% $21.75 Mortis 20.0% $16.91 Stymphalian 20.0% $11.14 | $126.41 +342.2% | $33.05 +15.6% | 13.3% | +129.0% | $28.59 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.08 Cortex 23.3% $23.03 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.75 Mortis 23.3% $16.91 Stymphalian 23.3% $11.14 | $126.41 +381.2% | $29.04 +10.6% | 10.0% | +124.8% | $26.27 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 6.7% $23.11 Cortex 26.7% $23.03 Deathgaze 6.7% $21.75 Mortis 26.7% $16.91 Stymphalian 26.7% $11.14 | $126.41 +432.5% | $25.04 +5.5% | 6.7% | +115.8% | $23.74 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator  18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  18.0% $13.92 SWAG-7  2.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +157.3% | $24.26 +21.7% | 36.0% | +68.4% | $19.93 | — |