The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Wild Six
3x $1.91
Urban Sovereign
6x $3.24
Amberline
1x $3.52
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $126.41
Kintsugi
23.3% $23.08
Cortex
10.0% $23.03
Deathgaze
23.3% $21.75
Mortis
10.0% $16.91
Stymphalian
10.0% $11.14
Max Win
$126.41 (+236.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$45.07 (+20.1%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+120.0%
Cost
$37.52
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $37.52
Ask Price EV $45.07 (+20.1%)
Bid Price EV $39.72 (+5.9%)
Ask Profit $7.55 (+20.1%)
Bid Profit $2.20 (+5.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.35 (+14.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$7.55
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.20
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $126.41 (+236.9%)
Worst Case $11.14 (-70.3%)
Volatility +120.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 76.7%
Avg Win +$88.89
Avg Loss -$17.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.14 (-70.3%)
Std Dev $45.02
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 144h 35m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Wild Six
—
Minimal Wear
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wild Six
—
Minimal Wear
$2.14 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wild Six
—
Minimal Wear
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.90 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 35M 11S //TOTAL COST $37.52 //ASK PRICE EV $45.07 //BID PRICE EV $39.72 //ASK PROFIT $7.55 (+20.1%) //BID PROFIT $2.20 (+5.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +120.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$126.41
+$88.89
+236.9%
$112.39
+$74.87
+199.5%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$23.08
-$14.44
-38.5%
$20.66
-$16.86
-44.9%
$2.42
10.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$23.03
-$14.49
-38.6%
$19.44
-$18.08
-48.2%
$3.59
15.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$21.75
-$15.77
-42.0%
$19.38
-$18.14
-48.3%
$2.37
10.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$16.91
-$20.61
-54.9%
$14.00
-$23.52
-62.7%
$2.91
17.2%
—
NUKE THIN BID
10.0%
$11.14
-$26.38
-70.3%
$8.08
-$29.44
-78.5%
$3.06
27.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.082,
"optimistic_value": 22.9,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:26.169549Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.753,
"optimistic_value": 21.2,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:35.027924Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0943677,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808553c51871",
"realistic_value": 11.141499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.11,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Stymphalian",
"conservative_value": 8.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:47:47.241079Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808553c51871.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.09586560000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c41637779316",
"realistic_value": 16.9055,
"optimistic_value": 16.86,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Mortis",
"conservative_value": 14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:26:03.188102Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c41637779316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3901933d5e47",
"realistic_value": 23.0315,
"optimistic_value": 22.79,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cortex",
"conservative_value": 19.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T07:40:12.691090Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3901933d5e47.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3c77d43d94291b869e1f34c3",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "497228190140465825",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:40.821011Z"
},
{
"price": 2.14,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "493849693287731428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:40.821011Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "641342016870869587",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:40.821011Z"
},
{
"price": 3.24,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "509613089304890703",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:22.239618Z"
},
{
"price": 3.52,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "497228024527485521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:56.377001Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:22.239618Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550388512",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:32.394071Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:32.394071Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:32.394071Z"
},
{
"price": 5.9,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "490472790737683059",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:32.394071Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Cortex 10.0% $62.66 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Mortis 10.0% $32.52 Stymphalian 10.0% $23.14 | $290.04 +257.5% | $108.97 +34.3% | 23.3% | +124.3% | $81.14 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $63.86 Kintsugi 23.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 23.3% $11.72 Cortex 10.0% $11.43 Mortis 10.0% $11.21 Stymphalian 10.0% $5.67 | $63.86 +207.3% | $23.42 +12.7% | 23.3% | +107.8% | $20.78 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Cortex 6.7% $62.66 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Mortis 6.7% $32.52 Stymphalian 6.7% $23.14 | $290.04 +226.8% | $118.91 +34.0% | 26.7% | +117.0% | $88.75 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $64.80 Cortex 13.3% $62.66 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Mortis 13.3% $32.52 Stymphalian 13.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +271.4% | $99.04 +26.8% | 20.0% | +123.8% | $78.09 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $64.80 Cortex 16.7% $62.66 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Mortis 16.7% $32.52 Stymphalian 16.7% $23.14 | $290.04 +301.5% | $89.11 +23.3% | 16.7% | +126.3% | $72.24 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $23.08 Cortex 20.0% $23.03 Deathgaze 13.3% $21.75 Mortis 20.0% $16.91 Stymphalian 20.0% $11.14 | $126.41 +342.2% | $33.05 +15.6% | 13.3% | +129.0% | $28.59 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.08 Cortex 23.3% $23.03 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.75 Mortis 23.3% $16.91 Stymphalian 23.3% $11.14 | $126.41 +381.2% | $29.04 +10.6% | 10.0% | +124.8% | $26.27 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 6.7% $23.11 Cortex 26.7% $23.03 Deathgaze 6.7% $21.75 Mortis 26.7% $16.91 Stymphalian 26.7% $11.14 | $126.41 +432.5% | $25.04 +5.5% | 6.7% | +115.8% | $23.74 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator  18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.92 SWAG-7  2.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +157.3% | $24.26 +21.7% | 36.0% | +68.4% | $19.93 | — |