The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Arctic Wolf
2x $2.84
Wild Six
1x $9.52
Urban Sovereign
6x $4.75
Galigator
1x $9.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $290.04
Kintsugi
23.3% $65.51
Cortex
10.0% $62.66
Deathgaze
23.3% $61.47
Mortis
10.0% $32.52
Stymphalian
10.0% $23.14
Max Win
$290.04 (+257.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$109.14 (+34.5%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+124.2%
Cost
$81.14
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $81.14
Ask Price EV $109.14 (+34.5%)
Bid Price EV $89.82 (+10.7%)
Ask Profit $28.00 (+34.5%)
Bid Profit $8.68 (+10.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $19.32 (+23.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$28.00
Bid Slippage Buffer +$8.68
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $290.04 (+257.5%)
Worst Case $23.14 (-71.5%)
Volatility +124.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$208.90
Avg Loss -$27.06
Bottom 5% Outcome $23.14 (-71.5%)
Std Dev $100.76
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 41h 25m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf
—
Minimal Wear
$2.84 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf
—
Minimal Wear
$3.04 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wild Six
—
Factory New
$9.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.90 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$7.53 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 18S //TOTAL COST $81.14 //ASK PRICE EV $109.14 //BID PRICE EV $89.82 //ASK PROFIT $28.00 (+34.5%) //BID PROFIT $8.68 (+10.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +124.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$290.04
+$208.90
+257.5%
$229.11
+$147.97
+182.4%
$60.93
21.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$65.51
-$15.63
-19.3%
$55.11
-$26.03
-32.1%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$62.66
-$18.48
-22.8%
$56.62
-$24.52
-30.2%
$6.04
9.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$61.47
-$19.67
-24.2%
$55.38
-$25.76
-31.7%
$6.09
9.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$32.52
-$48.62
-59.9%
$30.33
-$50.81
-62.6%
$2.19
6.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$23.14
-$58.00
-71.5%
$18.82
-$62.32
-76.8%
$4.32
18.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:54.141432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:24:47.498771Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0440244,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808553c51871",
"realistic_value": 23.142,
"optimistic_value": 22.96,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Stymphalian",
"conservative_value": 18.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:32.006209Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808553c51871.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0447232,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c41637779316",
"realistic_value": 32.523,
"optimistic_value": 31.69,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Mortis",
"conservative_value": 30.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T11:28:35.021432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c41637779316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3901933d5e47",
"realistic_value": 62.6625,
"optimistic_value": 59.25,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cortex",
"conservative_value": 56.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:52.495596Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3901933d5e47.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3c77d43d94291b869e1f34c3",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.84,
"skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"listing_id": "496102124623602767",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:27.043784Z"
},
{
"price": 3.04,
"skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"listing_id": "497227393167241397",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:27.043784Z"
},
{
"price": 9.52,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "502857524062902088",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:52:58.422842Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.9,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "490472790737683059",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 7.53,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116636505408218",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 9,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883506139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:55.560934Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:01.693342Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:01.693342Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $23.11 Cortex 10.0% $23.03 Deathgaze 23.3% $21.75 Mortis 10.0% $16.91 Stymphalian 10.0% $11.23 | $126.41 +237.5% | $45.08 +20.4% | 23.3% | +120.2% | $37.45 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $63.86 Kintsugi 23.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 23.3% $11.72 Cortex 10.0% $11.43 Mortis 10.0% $11.21 Stymphalian 10.0% $5.67 | $63.86 +208.5% | $23.42 +13.1% | 23.3% | +108.2% | $20.70 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Cortex 13.3% $62.66 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Mortis 13.3% $32.52 Stymphalian 13.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +276.1% | $99.18 +28.6% | 20.0% | +125.3% | $77.12 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Cortex 16.7% $62.66 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Mortis 16.7% $32.52 Stymphalian 16.7% $23.14 | $290.04 +297.0% | $89.22 +22.1% | 16.7% | +124.9% | $73.06 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $23.12 Cortex 20.0% $23.03 Deathgaze 13.3% $21.23 Mortis 20.0% $16.91 Stymphalian 20.0% $11.23 | $126.41 +342.2% | $33.00 +15.4% | 13.3% | +129.1% | $28.59 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.11 Cortex 23.3% $23.03 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.75 Mortis 23.3% $16.91 Stymphalian 23.3% $11.14 | $126.41 +384.9% | $29.05 +11.4% | 10.0% | +125.7% | $26.07 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 6.7% $23.12 Cortex 26.7% $23.03 Deathgaze 6.7% $21.23 Mortis 26.7% $16.91 Stymphalian 26.7% $11.23 | $126.41 +432.5% | $25.03 +5.4% | 6.7% | +115.8% | $23.74 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline  16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.92 SWAG-7  4.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +164.0% | $22.47 +15.7% | 32.0% | +68.0% | $19.42 | — |