The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
MAGnitude
1x $0.72
Caged
1x $0.86
Red Wing
1x $0.92
Bock Blocks
5x $0.47
Fusion
1x $0.59
RMX
1x $1.75
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
6.0% $21.44
Electrum
14.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
14.0% $10.78
Amberline
14.0% $6.48
Galigator
14.0% $5.66
Urban Sovereign
14.0% $4.80
Max Win
$21.44 (+159.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.53 (+3.3%)
Win %
34.0%
Volatility
+65.1%
Cost
$8.26
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $8.26
Ask Price EV $8.53 (+3.3%)
Bid Price EV $7.30 (-11.7%)
Ask Profit $0.27 (+3.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.96 (-11.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.24 (+15.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.27
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.96
Risk
Win Probability 34.0%
Loss Probability 66.0%
Best Case $21.44 (+159.6%)
Worst Case $3.96 (-52.0%)
Volatility +65.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 52.0%
Avg Win +$6.93
Avg Loss -$3.16
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.96 (-52.0%)
Std Dev $5.38
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 141h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 20M 06S //TOTAL COST $8.26 //ASK PRICE EV $8.53 //BID PRICE EV $7.30 //ASK PROFIT $0.27 (+3.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.96 (-11.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 34.0% //BEST CASE $21.44 //VOLATILITY +65.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$21.44
+$13.18
+159.6%
$18.66
+$10.40
+125.9%
$2.78
13.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$16.94
+$8.68
+105.0%
$14.31
+$6.05
+73.2%
$2.63
15.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.78
+$2.52
+30.5%
$9.15
+$0.89
+10.8%
$1.63
15.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$6.48
-$1.78
-21.5%
$4.92
-$3.34
-40.4%
$1.56
24.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$5.66
-$2.60
-31.5%
$4.95
-$3.31
-40.1%
$0.71
12.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$4.80
-$3.46
-41.9%
$4.43
-$3.83
-46.4%
$0.37
7.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$4.30
-$3.96
-48.0%
$3.83
-$4.43
-53.6%
$0.47
10.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$4.21
-$4.05
-49.1%
$3.72
-$4.54
-55.0%
$0.49
11.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$4.09
-$4.17
-50.5%
$3.62
-$4.64
-56.2%
$0.47
11.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$3.96
-$4.30
-52.0%
$3.65
-$4.61
-55.8%
$0.31
7.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.6605,
"optimistic_value": 5.65,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.158952Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.484,
"optimistic_value": 6.4,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:01.068828Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.8004999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 4.72,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 4.2055,
"optimistic_value": 4.09,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 3.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:16:32.226410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 21.439,
"optimistic_value": 21.32,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 18.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:31.788316Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 4.297,
"optimistic_value": 4.29,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 3.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:59.361331Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 3.9615,
"optimistic_value": 3.93,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:39.031698Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 4.0915,
"optimistic_value": 4.06,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 3.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:54.855663Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_394511ca8bfff287f1fa0358",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "490472738291749851",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:55.907227Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "509612923503326559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:09.040700Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "503982792722644915",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:17.302752Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "508487189339291906",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:04.542706Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613036859925607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:04.542706Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864723318980237",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:47:56.421667Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:04.542706Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "520872088106561496",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:18.325217Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "492724590626343393",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:18.325217Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "492724538182380753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:21.788512Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 6.0% $11.18 Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 14.0% $6.12 Galigator 14.0% $3.26 Amberline 14.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $3.19 | $11.18 +199.1% | $4.87 +30.3% | 34.0% | +77.9% | $3.74 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Liquidation 6.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.79 | $51.27 +172.2% | $23.47 +24.6% | 48.0% | +70.4% | $18.84 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn ST | Liquidation 6.0% $7.73 Electrum 14.0% $7.45 Firebreathing 14.0% $3.97 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $2.69 Galigator 14.0% $2.39 Amberline 14.0% $2.30 | $7.73 +126.6% | $3.59 +5.4% | 34.0% | +56.3% | $3.41 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 4.0% $11.18 Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.26 Amberline 16.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.19 | $11.18 +191.3% | $5.01 +30.6% | 36.0% | +75.6% | $3.84 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 8.0% $11.18 Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Galigator 12.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $3.23 Amberline 12.0% $3.21 | $11.18 +208.1% | $4.74 +30.5% | 32.0% | +80.9% | $3.63 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 2.0% $11.18 Electrum 18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 18.0% $6.12 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.19 | $11.18 +176.2% | $5.15 +27.3% | 38.0% | +71.7% | $4.05 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 10.0% $11.18 Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $3.23 Amberline 10.0% $3.21 | $11.18 +209.0% | $4.60 +27.0% | 30.0% | +82.2% | $3.62 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 8.0% $51.27 Liquidation 12.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 8.0% $31.66 Amberline 8.0% $18.87 Galigator 8.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $13.79 | $51.27 +208.0% | $20.94 +25.8% | 36.0% | +77.7% | $16.65 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 6.0% $51.27 Liquidation 14.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 6.0% $31.66 Amberline 6.0% $18.87 Galigator 6.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $13.79 | $51.27 +216.3% | $20.08 +23.9% | 32.0% | +79.6% | $16.21 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 4.0% $51.27 Liquidation 16.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 4.0% $31.66 Amberline 4.0% $18.87 Galigator 4.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $13.79 | $51.27 +220.5% | $19.23 +20.2% | 28.0% | +80.5% | $16.00 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 2.0% $51.27 Liquidation 18.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 2.0% $31.66 Amberline 2.0% $18.87 Galigator 2.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $13.79 | $51.27 +224.1% | $18.38 +16.2% | 24.0% | +81.3% | $15.82 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  5.0% $961.24 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Full Throttle  5.0% $708.03 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $961.24 +70.8% | $681.23 +21.1% | 55.0% | +32.4% | $562.73 | — |