The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Bullfrog
2x $0.20
Red Wing
1x $0.23
RMX
4x $0.34
Fragment
1x $0.43
Bock Blocks
2x $0.47
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
6.0% $11.18
Electrum
14.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
14.0% $6.12
Galigator
14.0% $3.26
Urban Sovereign
14.0% $3.23
Amberline
14.0% $3.21
Max Win
$11.18 (+202.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.88 (+31.9%)
Win %
34.0%
Volatility
+87.0%
Cost
$3.70
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.70
Ask Price EV $4.88 (+31.9%)
Bid Price EV $4.11 (+11.2%)
Ask Profit $1.18 (+31.9%)
Bid Profit $0.41 (+11.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.77 (+20.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.18
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.41
Risk
Win Probability 34.0%
Loss Probability 66.0%
Best Case $11.18 (+202.3%)
Worst Case $1.86 (-49.6%)
Volatility +87.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 24.0%
Avg Win +$5.20
Avg Loss -$0.89
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.86 (-49.6%)
Std Dev $3.22
Avg Norm Float 0.3798
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 140h 2m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 42S //TOTAL COST $3.70 //ASK PRICE EV $4.88 //BID PRICE EV $4.11 //ASK PROFIT $1.18 (+31.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.41 (+11.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 34.0% //BEST CASE $11.18 //VOLATILITY +87.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$11.18
+$7.48
+202.3%
$9.26
+$5.56
+150.3%
$1.92
17.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.69
+$6.99
+189.0%
$9.15
+$5.45
+147.3%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$6.12
+$2.42
+65.3%
$4.98
+$1.28
+34.6%
$1.14
18.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.26
-$0.44
-11.8%
$2.91
-$0.79
-21.4%
$0.35
10.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.23
-$0.47
-12.7%
$2.57
-$1.13
-30.5%
$0.66
20.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.21
-$0.49
-13.2%
$2.61
-$1.09
-29.5%
$0.60
18.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$2.27
-$1.43
-38.7%
$1.96
-$1.74
-47.0%
$0.31
13.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$2.07
-$1.63
-44.0%
$1.85
-$1.85
-50.0%
$0.22
10.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$2.07
-$1.63
-44.1%
$1.81
-$1.89
-51.1%
$0.26
12.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$1.86
-$1.84
-49.6%
$1.84
-$1.86
-50.3%
$0.02
1.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.2635,
"optimistic_value": 3.19,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:45.477369Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 3.2119999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.699653Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 3.2285,
"optimistic_value": 3.19,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:15.434355Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 2.0735,
"optimistic_value": 2.07,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:24.845652Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 11.1845,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 9.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:37.549162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 2.2675,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:04.302451Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 2.0665,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T06:00:08.287380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.8635000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.86,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 1.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:23.783436Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_394511ca8bfff287f1fa0358",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "511864888984098909",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:27.141472Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "512990789044186079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:12.391770Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "529879235107272456",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:38.035219Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "493850490549980848",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:17.771813Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "508487136897691262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:17.771813Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "506235389469140196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:17.771813Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "503983537173773743",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:17.771813Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "509613089303654607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:17.459751Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "508487189339291906",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:22.581019Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613036859925607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:22.581019Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Liquidation 6.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.92 | $51.27 +175.2% | $23.52 +26.2% | 48.0% | +71.1% | $18.63 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Electrum 14.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 14.0% $10.78 Amberline 14.0% $6.42 Galigator 14.0% $5.50 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $4.64 | $21.44 +194.9% | $8.47 +16.6% | 34.0% | +68.4% | $7.27 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn ST | Liquidation 6.0% $7.73 Electrum 14.0% $7.45 Firebreathing 14.0% $3.97 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $2.69 Galigator 14.0% $2.39 Amberline 14.0% $2.30 | $7.73 +120.8% | $3.59 +2.6% | 34.0% | +54.8% | $3.50 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 4.0% $11.18 Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.23 Amberline 16.0% $3.21 | $11.18 +199.9% | $5.02 +34.6% | 36.0% | +77.7% | $3.73 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 12.0% $11.18 Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $3.23 Amberline 8.0% $3.21 | $11.18 +229.9% | $4.46 +31.4% | 28.0% | +89.1% | $3.39 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 2.0% $11.18 Electrum 18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 18.0% $6.12 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.23 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 | $11.18 +184.6% | $5.16 +31.3% | 38.0% | +73.8% | $3.93 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 6.0% $51.27 Liquidation 14.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 6.0% $31.66 Amberline 6.0% $18.87 Galigator 6.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $13.92 | $51.27 +209.8% | $20.14 +21.7% | 32.0% | +77.7% | $16.55 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 4.0% $51.27 Liquidation 16.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 4.0% $31.66 Amberline 4.0% $18.87 Galigator 4.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $13.92 | $51.27 +216.5% | $19.30 +19.1% | 28.0% | +79.3% | $16.20 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 2.0% $51.27 Liquidation 18.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 2.0% $31.66 Amberline 2.0% $18.87 Galigator 2.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $13.92 | $51.27 +219.5% | $18.45 +15.0% | 24.0% | +79.9% | $16.05 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  5.0% $961.24 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Full Throttle  5.0% $708.03 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $961.24 +70.8% | $681.23 +21.1% | 55.0% | +32.4% | $562.73 | — |