The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Urban Sovereign
4x $1.38
Amberline
2x $1.89
Whiteout
4x $4.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Hellish
20.0% $64.09
Latte Rush
20.0% $43.10
Crane Flight
20.0% $35.39
Kintsugi
20.0% $10.05
Deathgaze
20.0% $9.73
Max Win
$64.09 (+103.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$32.47 (+2.9%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+65.5%
Cost
$31.57
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $31.57
Ask Price EV $32.47 (+2.9%)
Bid Price EV $29.98 (-5.0%)
Ask Profit $0.90 (+2.9%)
Bid Profit $-1.59 (-5.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.49 (+7.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.90
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.59
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $64.09 (+103.0%)
Worst Case $9.73 (-69.2%)
Volatility +65.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$15.95
Avg Loss -$21.68
Bottom 5% Outcome $9.73 (-69.2%)
Std Dev $20.69
Avg Norm Float 0.3787
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 145h
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Well-Worn
$1.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Well-Worn
$1.39 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$1.89 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$1.90 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.70 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.19 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.99 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 49M 48S //TOTAL COST $31.57 //ASK PRICE EV $32.47 //BID PRICE EV $29.98 //ASK PROFIT $0.90 (+2.9%) //BID PROFIT $-1.59 (-5.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $64.09 //VOLATILITY +65.5% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$64.09
+$32.52
+103.0%
$58.73
+$27.16
+86.0%
$5.36
8.4%
—
WIN
20.0%
$43.10
+$11.53
+36.5%
$40.68
+$9.11
+28.9%
$2.42
5.6%
—
SMALL WIN
20.0%
$35.39
+$3.82
+12.1%
$32.98
+$1.41
+4.5%
$2.41
6.8%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$10.05
-$21.52
-68.2%
$8.77
-$22.80
-72.2%
$1.28
12.7%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$9.73
-$21.84
-69.2%
$8.74
-$22.83
-72.3%
$0.99
10.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.37874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e7d48237eb0f",
"realistic_value": 64.08749999999999,
"optimistic_value": 64.07,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Hellish",
"conservative_value": 58.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:54.419332Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e7d48237eb0f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.37874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9836cfa060f6",
"realistic_value": 43.098,
"optimistic_value": 42.02,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush",
"conservative_value": 40.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:35.035863Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9836cfa060f6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 35.3885,
"optimistic_value": 35,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 32.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:07:39.352821Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 10.0515,
"optimistic_value": 9.81,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 8.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:35.154730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 9.728,
"optimistic_value": 9.56,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:40:08.038717Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_317259cdf3c8bb320ddfad55",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518620288314387136",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:10.100094Z"
},
{
"price": 1.39,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "528753387757822545",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:10.100094Z"
},
{
"price": 1.89,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472790737652387",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:43:23.689352Z"
},
{
"price": 1.9,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "490472790737758479",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:50:30.481551Z"
},
{
"price": 2.7,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "527627435181022496",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:43:23.689352Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "526501587737962997",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:50:33.588527Z"
},
{
"price": 4.19,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "493850438105609572",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:52.234516Z"
},
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "512990623222010891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:52.234516Z"
},
{
"price": 4.99,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "507361237007404861",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:42:52.234516Z"
},
{
"price": 5.34,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "528753387757647405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:47:56.151225Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:6+collection-set-train-2025:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 20.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 20.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 20.0% $150.19 Deathgaze 20.0% $40.34 Kintsugi 20.0% $38.39 | $597.10 +248.6% | $224.09 +30.8% | 40.0% | +121.8% | $171.31 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Hellish 20.0% $138.17 Latte Rush 20.0% $122.85 Crane Flight 20.0% $60.44 Deathgaze 20.0% $17.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $17.27 | $138.17 +98.2% | $71.23 +2.2% | 40.0% | +73.3% | $69.72 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 15.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 15.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 23.3% $150.19 Deathgaze 23.3% $40.34 Kintsugi 23.3% $38.39 | $597.10 +314.5% | $187.15 +29.9% | 53.3% | +134.3% | $144.04 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 25.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 25.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 16.7% $150.19 Deathgaze 16.7% $40.81 Kintsugi 16.7% $38.39 | $597.10 +196.6% | $261.12 +29.7% | 50.0% | +107.6% | $201.34 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 30.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 30.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 13.3% $150.19 Deathgaze 13.3% $40.81 Kintsugi 13.3% $38.39 | $597.10 +156.7% | $298.05 +28.2% | 60.0% | +93.8% | $232.57 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 10.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 10.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 26.7% $150.19 Deathgaze 26.7% $40.34 Kintsugi 26.7% $38.39 | $597.10 +407.2% | $150.20 +27.6% | 46.7% | +143.7% | $117.73 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 35.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 35.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 10.0% $150.19 Deathgaze 10.0% $40.34 Kintsugi 10.0% $38.39 | $597.10 +123.1% | $334.93 +25.2% | 70.0% | +79.7% | $267.58 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 5.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 5.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 30.0% $150.19 Deathgaze 30.0% $40.81 Kintsugi 30.0% $38.39 | $597.10 +540.7% | $113.39 +21.7% | 40.0% | +139.9% | $93.20 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 40.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 40.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 6.7% $150.19 Deathgaze 6.7% $40.81 Kintsugi 6.7% $38.39 | $597.10 +92.4% | $371.91 +19.8% | 40.0% | +65.0% | $310.34 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×1+The Train 2025 Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 45.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 45.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 3.3% $150.19 Deathgaze 3.3% $40.81 Kintsugi 3.3% $38.39 | $597.10 +67.6% | $408.84 +14.7% | 45.0% | +51.1% | $356.29 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Whiteout 13.3% $9.69 Charged Up  13.3% $7.77 Derailment  13.3% $7.13 Electrum  12.0% $4.11 Firebreathing  12.0% $2.79 Galigator  12.0% $2.19 | $9.69 +166.3% | $4.82 +32.3% | 52.0% | +69.7% | $3.64 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | LongDog  10.0% $663.30 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $200.36 Fully Tuned  45.0% $183.83 | $663.30 +242.7% | $239.22 +23.6% | 55.0% | +73.2% | $193.54 | — |