The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Cyber Shell
2x $3.23
Urban Sovereign
5x $4.65
Amberline
1x $6.64
Galigator
2x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
Kintsugi
26.7% $65.51
Chromatic Aberration
6.7% $64.75
Deathgaze
26.7% $61.53
Food Chain
6.7% $47.20
XOXO
6.7% $45.81
Max Win
$290.04 (+212.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$121.74 (+31.3%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+109.6%
Cost
$92.72
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $92.72
Ask Price EV $121.74 (+31.3%)
Bid Price EV $99.88 (+7.7%)
Ask Profit $29.02 (+31.3%)
Bid Profit $7.16 (+7.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $21.86 (+23.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$29.02
Bid Slippage Buffer +$7.16
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $290.04 (+212.8%)
Worst Case $45.81 (-50.6%)
Volatility +109.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$197.32
Avg Loss -$32.18
Bottom 5% Outcome $45.81 (-50.6%)
Std Dev $101.66
Avg Norm Float 0.0691
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 109h 43m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Cyber Shell
—
Minimal Wear
$3.23 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Cyber Shell
—
Factory New
$8.05 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 57S //TOTAL COST $92.72 //ASK PRICE EV $121.74 //BID PRICE EV $99.88 //ASK PROFIT $29.02 (+31.3%) //BID PROFIT $7.16 (+7.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +109.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$290.04
+$197.32
+212.8%
$229.11
+$136.39
+147.1%
$60.93
21.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$65.51
-$27.21
-29.4%
$55.11
-$37.61
-40.6%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$64.75
-$27.97
-30.2%
$56.60
-$36.12
-39.0%
$8.15
12.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$61.53
-$31.19
-33.6%
$55.38
-$37.34
-40.3%
$6.15
10.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$47.20
-$45.52
-49.1%
$42.98
-$49.74
-53.6%
$4.22
8.9%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$45.81
-$46.91
-50.6%
$40.21
-$52.51
-56.6%
$5.60
12.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-28|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06913,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06913,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:32.344841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06913,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.528999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:12.659693Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06913,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69f2e17b78f2",
"realistic_value": 64.7495,
"optimistic_value": 60,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration",
"conservative_value": 56.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T10:19:54.480267Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69f2e17b78f2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06913,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6d14d557c648",
"realistic_value": 47.2035,
"optimistic_value": 44.4,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Food Chain",
"conservative_value": 42.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T06:22:08.270680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6d14d557c648.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.062217,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dad23c017c83",
"realistic_value": 45.814,
"optimistic_value": 43.77,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | XOXO",
"conservative_value": 40.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:17.187517Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dad23c017c83.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_2c37e4625fde4fab8dea4313",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.23,
"skin_id": "skin-24c6ed776121",
"listing_id": "498353293080010519",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Cyber Shell",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-24c6ed776121.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:47:46.190995Z"
},
{
"price": 8.05,
"skin_id": "skin-24c6ed776121",
"listing_id": "512990623226511071",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Cyber Shell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-24c6ed776121.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:42:17.077079Z"
},
{
"price": 4.65,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "509613089304042939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:34.353441Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:34.353441Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:38:48.395545Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:31.526611Z"
},
{
"price": 9,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883506139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:31.526611Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:44.691704Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:44.691704Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:44.691704Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-28:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 Chromatic Aberration 6.7% $10.18 Food Chain 6.7% $9.95 XOXO 6.7% $6.60 | $63.86 +200.5% | $25.36 +19.3% | 26.7% | +109.5% | $21.25 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.12 Chromatic Aberration 6.7% $22.20 Deathgaze 26.7% $20.83 Food Chain 6.7% $18.93 XOXO 6.7% $12.83 | $126.41 +200.8% | $49.03 +16.6% | 26.7% | +111.2% | $42.03 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.93 Chromatic Aberration 3.3% $64.75 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.53 Food Chain 3.3% $47.20 XOXO 3.3% $45.81 | $290.04 +198.2% | $130.51 +34.2% | 30.0% | +107.5% | $97.26 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Chromatic Aberration 10.0% $64.75 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.53 Food Chain 10.0% $47.20 XOXO 10.0% $45.81 | $290.04 +226.3% | $113.10 +27.2% | 23.3% | +110.1% | $88.88 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.93 Chromatic Aberration 13.3% $64.75 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.53 Food Chain 13.3% $47.20 XOXO 13.3% $45.81 | $290.04 +244.1% | $104.54 +24.0% | 20.0% | +110.4% | $84.30 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.91 Chromatic Aberration 16.7% $10.18 Food Chain 16.7% $9.95 XOXO 16.7% $6.67 | $63.86 +302.1% | $19.20 +20.9% | 16.7% | +126.3% | $15.88 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.91 Chromatic Aberration 20.0% $10.18 Food Chain 20.0% $9.95 XOXO 20.0% $6.67 | $63.86 +319.3% | $17.15 +12.6% | 13.3% | +121.0% | $15.23 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.12 Chromatic Aberration 23.3% $22.20 Deathgaze 10.0% $20.83 Food Chain 23.3% $18.93 XOXO 23.3% $12.83 | $126.41 +361.4% | $29.63 +8.1% | 10.0% | +118.5% | $27.40 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Slate  4.0% $22.82 Electrum  16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  16.0% $6.12 Trigger Discipline  4.0% $3.29 Galigator 16.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.24 | $22.82 +432.0% | $5.36 +25.1% | 36.0% | +100.1% | $4.29 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 The Traitor  5.0% $346.69 In Living Color  5.0% $188.85 | $843.46 +62.5% | $624.54 +20.4% | 45.0% | +40.3% | $518.91 | — |