← Results

The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8

Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Factory New +33.0%Field-Tested +17.7%Minimal Wear +19.9%Well-Worn -11.7%
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
dev_texture
Negev | dev_texture
2x $1.87
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
2x $3.17
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
6x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $126.41
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $22.62
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
6.7% $22.59
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $20.41
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
6.7% $18.93
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
6.7% $12.83
Max Win
$126.41 (+210.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$48.81 (+19.9%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+115.1%
Cost
$40.71
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $40.71
Ask Price EV $48.81 (+19.9%)
Bid Price EV $43.80 (+7.6%)
Ask Profit $8.10 (+19.9%)
Bid Profit $3.09 (+7.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.01 (+12.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$8.10
Bid Slippage Buffer +$3.09
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+210.5%)
Worst Case $12.83 (-68.5%)
Volatility +115.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$85.70
Avg Loss -$20.12
Bottom 5% Outcome $12.83 (-68.5%)
Std Dev $46.86
Avg Norm Float 0.1487
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 139h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Negev | dev_texture
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Minimal Wear)
$1.87 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | dev_texture
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Minimal Wear)
$1.95 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$3.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 03M 44S //TOTAL COST $40.71 //ASK PRICE EV $48.81 //BID PRICE EV $43.80 //ASK PROFIT $8.10 (+19.9%) //BID PROFIT $3.09 (+7.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +115.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-28|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.1487,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 124,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 112.39,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.1487,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 22.619999999999997,
      "optimistic_value": 22.2,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 20.66,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:16.017954Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.1487,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 20.407,
      "optimistic_value": 19.98,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 19.37,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:15.644226Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.1487,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-69f2e17b78f2",
      "realistic_value": 22.590500000000002,
      "optimistic_value": 22.37,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration",
      "conservative_value": 19.06,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:43.335564Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69f2e17b78f2.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.1487,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-6d14d557c648",
      "realistic_value": 18.9265,
      "optimistic_value": 18.51,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Food Chain",
      "conservative_value": 17.34,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:52.854613Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6d14d557c648.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.13383,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-dad23c017c83",
      "realistic_value": 12.8255,
      "optimistic_value": 12.5,
      "output_full_name": "XM1014 | XOXO",
      "conservative_value": 10.94,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:11:28.773579Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dad23c017c83.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_2c37e4625fde4fab8dea4313",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.87,
      "skin_id": "skin-bce9af58ff21",
      "listing_id": "526501587737223809",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Negev | dev_texture",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bce9af58ff21.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:28.575734Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.95,
      "skin_id": "skin-bce9af58ff21",
      "listing_id": "503983423971138955",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Negev | dev_texture",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bce9af58ff21.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:28.575734Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "496102290329110667",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.699653Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "493850490550002916",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:15.434355Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.64,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "498354037510570279",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:15.434355Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.72,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "500605889840023871",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.75,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "521997988014719718",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.38,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "500605837398261191",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.4,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "506235337025176368",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 6.64,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182346589",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:30.419249Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-28:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $65.51
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
6.7% $64.75
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $61.47
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
6.7% $47.20
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
6.7% $45.81
$290.04
+216.8%
$121.72
+33.0%
26.7%+111.1%$91.55—
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $63.86
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $11.60
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
6.7% $10.05
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
6.7% $9.95
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
6.7% $6.60
$63.86
+197.4%
$25.27
+17.7%
26.7%+108.6%$21.47—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $65.51
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
3.3% $64.75
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $61.53
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
3.3% $47.20
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
3.3% $45.81
$290.04
+198.2%
$130.38
+34.1%
30.0%+107.6%$97.26—
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $65.51
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
10.0% $64.75
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $61.47
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
10.0% $47.20
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
10.0% $45.81
$290.04
+227.0%
$113.08
+27.5%
23.3%+110.3%$88.71—
The Snakebite Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
20.0% $65.51
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
13.3% $64.75
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
20.0% $61.53
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
13.3% $47.20
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
13.3% $45.81
$290.04
+235.1%
$104.45
+20.7%
20.0%+107.6%$86.55—
The Snakebite Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
16.7% $126.41
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
16.7% $23.12
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
16.7% $22.59
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
16.7% $20.83
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
16.7% $18.93
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
16.7% $12.83
$126.41
+295.5%
$37.45
+17.2%
16.7%+124.9%$31.96—
The Snakebite Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $126.41
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $23.12
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
20.0% $22.59
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $20.41
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
20.0% $18.93
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
20.0% $12.83
$126.41
+328.2%
$33.53
+13.6%
13.3%+124.0%$29.52—
The Snakebite Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
10.0% $126.41
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
10.0% $23.12
Chromatic Aberration
Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration
23.3% $22.59
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
10.0% $20.41
Food Chain
MP9 | Food Chain
23.3% $18.93
XOXO
XM1014 | XOXO
23.3% $12.83
$126.41
+361.4%
$29.67
+8.3%
10.0%+118.5%$27.40—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST
Slate
AK-47 | Slate
6.0% $22.82
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
14.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
14.0% $6.12
Trigger Discipline
Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline
6.0% $3.29
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
14.0% $3.26
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
14.0% $3.23
$22.82
+435.8%
$5.46
+28.2%
34.0%+114.1%$4.26—
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
35.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
35.0% $105.54
The Traitor
USP-S | The Traitor
15.0% $79.54
In Living Color
M4A4 | In Living Color
15.0% $48.27
$141.08
+67.7%
$105.49
+25.4%
70.0%+38.2%$84.14—
FS

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