The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8

Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items

Factory New +33.0%Field-Tested +17.7%Minimal Wear +19.9%Well-Worn -11.7%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™

Inputs

Button Masher

2x $0.88

Amberline

8x $2.08

↓

Possible Outputs

Crane Flight

26.7% $45.29

Chromatic Aberration

6.7% $9.19

Deathgaze

26.7% $9.04

Kintsugi

26.7% $7.96

Food Chain

6.7% $7.11

XOXO

6.7% $6.60

Max Win

$45.29 (+120.5%)

EV (ROI %)

$18.14 (-11.7%)

Win %

26.7%

Volatility

+79.8%

Cost

$20.54

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $20.54

Ask Price EV $18.14 (-11.7%)

Bid Price EV $16.80 (-18.2%)

Ask Profit $-2.40 (-11.7%)

Bid Profit $-3.74 (-18.2%)

Liquidity Gap $1.33 (+6.5%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.40

Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.74

Risk

Win Probability 26.7%

Loss Probability 73.3%

Best Case $45.29 (+120.5%)

Worst Case $6.60 (-67.9%)

Volatility +79.8%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%

Avg Win +$24.74

Avg Loss -$12.28

Bottom 5% Outcome $6.60 (-67.9%)

Std Dev $16.39

Avg Norm Float 0.4118

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 19m

Oldest Output Price 139h 34m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Safe

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

MAC-10 | Button Masher

—

Well-Worn

$0.88 Float: HIDDEN

MAC-10 | Button Masher

—

Field-Tested

$0.89 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.31 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.33 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Field-Tested

$3.17 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 03M 44S //TOTAL COST $20.54 //ASK PRICE EV $18.14 //BID PRICE EV $16.80 //ASK PROFIT $-2.40 (-11.7%) //BID PROFIT $-3.74 (-18.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +79.8% //

Possible Outputs · 6

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-28|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.41178,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 45.285,
      "optimistic_value": 44.9,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 41.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.41178,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 7.96,
      "optimistic_value": 7.89,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 7.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:15.433714Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.41178,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 9.0395,
      "optimistic_value": 8.98,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.25,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:22.157713Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.41178,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-69f2e17b78f2",
      "realistic_value": 9.1915,
      "optimistic_value": 9.16,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration",
      "conservative_value": 9.04,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:52.560092Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69f2e17b78f2.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.41178,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-6d14d557c648",
      "realistic_value": 7.111,
      "optimistic_value": 7.02,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Food Chain",
      "conservative_value": 6.73,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T17:43:36.558087Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6d14d557c648.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.370602,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-dad23c017c83",
      "realistic_value": 6.596,
      "optimistic_value": 6.47,
      "output_full_name": "XM1014 | XOXO",
      "conservative_value": 5.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:29.469031Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dad23c017c83.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_2c37e4625fde4fab8dea4313",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.88,
      "skin_id": "skin-d5acd24fcb47",
      "listing_id": "509613089303609967",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Button Masher",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5acd24fcb47.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:00.525374Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.89,
      "skin_id": "skin-d5acd24fcb47",
      "listing_id": "499479989896561585",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Button Masher",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5acd24fcb47.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:27.686655Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:29.984381Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:29.984381Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:29.984381Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.092827Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.092827Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.092827Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.092827Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "496102290329110667",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.699653Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-28:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Chromatic Aberration 6.7% $64.75 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Food Chain 6.7% $47.20 XOXO 6.7% $45.81	$290.04 +216.8%	$121.72 +33.0%	26.7%	+111.1%	$91.55	—
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.62 Chromatic Aberration 6.7% $22.59 Deathgaze 26.7% $20.41 Food Chain 6.7% $18.93 XOXO 6.7% $12.83	$126.41 +210.5%	$48.81 +19.9%	26.7%	+115.1%	$40.71	—
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.60 Chromatic Aberration 6.7% $10.05 Food Chain 6.7% $9.95 XOXO 6.7% $6.60	$63.86 +197.4%	$25.27 +17.7%	26.7%	+108.6%	$21.47	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Chromatic Aberration 3.3% $64.75 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.53 Food Chain 3.3% $47.20 XOXO 3.3% $45.81	$290.04 +198.2%	$130.38 +34.1%	30.0%	+107.6%	$97.26	—
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Chromatic Aberration 10.0% $64.75 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Food Chain 10.0% $47.20 XOXO 10.0% $45.81	$290.04 +227.0%	$113.08 +27.5%	23.3%	+110.3%	$88.71	—
The Snakebite Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Chromatic Aberration 13.3% $64.75 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.53 Food Chain 13.3% $47.20 XOXO 13.3% $45.81	$290.04 +235.1%	$104.45 +20.7%	20.0%	+107.6%	$86.55	—
The Snakebite Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $23.12 Chromatic Aberration 16.7% $22.59 Deathgaze 16.7% $20.83 Food Chain 16.7% $18.93 XOXO 16.7% $12.83	$126.41 +295.5%	$37.45 +17.2%	16.7%	+124.9%	$31.96	—
The Snakebite Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $23.12 Chromatic Aberration 20.0% $22.59 Deathgaze 13.3% $20.41 Food Chain 20.0% $18.93 XOXO 20.0% $12.83	$126.41 +328.2%	$33.53 +13.6%	13.3%	+124.0%	$29.52	—
The Snakebite Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.12 Chromatic Aberration 23.3% $22.59 Deathgaze 10.0% $20.41 Food Chain 23.3% $18.93 XOXO 23.3% $12.83	$126.41 +361.4%	$29.67 +8.3%	10.0%	+118.5%	$27.40	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST	Slate 6.0% $22.82 Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 14.0% $6.12 Trigger Discipline 6.0% $3.29 Galigator 14.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $3.23	$22.82 +435.8%	$5.46 +28.2%	34.0%	+114.1%	$4.26	—
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Queen's Gambit 35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 35.0% $105.54 The Traitor 15.0% $79.54 In Living Color 15.0% $48.27	$141.08 +67.7%	$105.49 +25.4%	70.0%	+38.2%	$84.14	—