The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Mud-Spec
1x $0.66
Azure Glyph
1x $1.35
Leafhopper
1x $0.16
Acid Dart
1x $0.17
Garter-9
2x $0.26
Mustard Gas
2x $0.35
↓
Possible Outputs
Black Nile
5.0% $49.75
Steel Delta
5.0% $34.44
Wintergreen
16.0% $10.66
Copper Coated
5.0% $7.81
Mummy's Rot
5.0% $7.58
Tropical Breeze
16.0% $3.67
Max Win
$49.75 (+676.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.99 (+24.6%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+188.9%
Cost
$6.41
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.41
Ask Price EV $7.99 (+24.6%)
Bid Price EV $7.73 (+20.6%)
Ask Profit $1.58 (+24.6%)
Bid Profit $1.32 (+20.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.25 (+4.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.58
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.32
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $49.75 (+676.1%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-77.6%)
Volatility +188.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 64.0%
Avg Win +$12.16
Avg Loss -$4.38
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-77.6%)
Std Dev $12.11
Avg Norm Float 0.0933
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 147h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec
—
Field-Tested
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Azure Glyph
—
Field-Tested
$1.35 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 18M 46S //TOTAL COST $6.41 //ASK PRICE EV $7.99 //BID PRICE EV $7.73 //ASK PROFIT $1.58 (+24.6%) //BID PROFIT $1.32 (+20.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $49.75 //VOLATILITY +188.9% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$49.75
+$43.34
+676.1%
$49.11
+$42.70
+666.1%
$0.64
1.3%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$34.44
+$28.03
+437.3%
$34.11
+$27.70
+432.1%
$0.33
1.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$10.66
+$4.25
+66.3%
$9.81
+$3.40
+53.0%
$0.85
8.0%
—
WIN
5.0%
$7.81
+$1.40
+21.8%
$7.33
+$0.92
+14.4%
$0.48
6.1%
—
WIN
5.0%
$7.58
+$1.17
+18.2%
$7.33
+$0.92
+14.4%
$0.25
3.3%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$3.67
-$2.74
-42.7%
$3.64
-$2.77
-43.2%
$0.03
0.8%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.53
-$4.88
-76.1%
$1.52
-$4.89
-76.3%
$0.01
0.7%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.50
-$4.91
-76.5%
$1.49
-$4.92
-76.8%
$0.01
0.9%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.44
-$4.97
-77.6%
$1.28
-$5.13
-80.0%
$0.16
10.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.069975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 10.66,
"optimistic_value": 10.66,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 9.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:10.267254Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.063444,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 1.53,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:31.116380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.055979999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.5035,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:17.047346Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.051315,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.055979999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.4355,
"optimistic_value": 1.32,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:13:54.833560Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06810899999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-80cb7aad6895",
"realistic_value": 34.4415,
"optimistic_value": 34.41,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta",
"conservative_value": 34.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:05.954513Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80cb7aad6895.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.069975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05f333baf59c",
"realistic_value": 49.7455,
"optimistic_value": 49.7,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Black Nile",
"conservative_value": 49.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Black Nile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:55:42.172673Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05f333baf59c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.0933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7c46ff3046d0",
"realistic_value": 7.807,
"optimistic_value": 7.66,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated",
"conservative_value": 7.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:44.185231Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7c46ff3046d0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.0933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29609fc133b0",
"realistic_value": 7.577999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 7.55,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot",
"conservative_value": 7.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:05.877296Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29609fc133b0.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_27f2f95f68311395d41f61f9",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-41f71f1a5f50",
"listing_id": "524249529997105599",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41f71f1a5f50.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:50.790410Z"
},
{
"price": 1.35,
"skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"listing_id": "497228024527630997",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:26.086234Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:10:17.443212Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "523123091069934802",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:46.686245Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "523123888071660394",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:05:11.517801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "511864888985873745",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:05:11.517801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "523123888072931734",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:32.229765Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "502857689861815552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:32.229765Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625091045239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:15.764403Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625090884103",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:15.764403Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Black Nile 5.0% $8.90 Steel Delta 5.0% $6.56 Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Mummy's Rot 5.0% $2.71 Copper Coated 5.0% $2.54 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 | $8.90 +386.6% | $2.26 +23.7% | 36.0% | +110.0% | $1.83 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile 5.0% $49.75 Mummy's Rot 5.0% $45.74 Steel Delta 5.0% $34.44 Copper Coated 5.0% $24.45 Wintergreen 16.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +427.0% | $10.73 +13.6% | 36.0% | +143.3% | $9.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Black Nile 2.5% $8.90 Steel Delta 2.5% $6.56 Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Mummy's Rot 2.5% $2.71 Copper Coated 2.5% $2.56 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 | $8.90 +518.3% | $1.90 +32.2% | 46.0% | +122.5% | $1.44 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile 10.0% $49.75 Mummy's Rot 10.0% $45.74 Steel Delta 10.0% $34.44 Copper Coated 10.0% $24.45 Wintergreen 12.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +253.3% | $17.69 +25.7% | 40.0% | +110.8% | $14.08 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 7.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 7.5% $34.44 Wintergreen 14.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 7.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 7.5% $7.58 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +503.0% | $10.10 +22.4% | 29.0% | +157.6% | $8.25 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical  12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands  12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph 12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec 12.5% $7.35 Polished Malachite  5.6% $1.69 VariCamo Grey  5.6% $1.16 | $14.55 +192.2% | $5.59 +12.2% | 50.0% | +84.2% | $4.98 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Waters of Nephthys  10.0% $549.87 Apep's Curse  10.0% $211.74 Green Energy  80.0% $109.76 | $549.87 +263.2% | $163.97 +8.3% | 20.0% | +87.3% | $151.38 | — |