The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Azure Glyph
1x $1.35
Echoing Sands
1x $2.00
Garter-9
1x $0.26
Mustard Gas
3x $0.35
Marsh
3x $0.38
Acid Dart
1x $0.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Black Nile
5.0% $49.75
Mummy's Rot
5.0% $45.74
Steel Delta
5.0% $34.44
Copper Coated
5.0% $24.45
Wintergreen
16.0% $10.66
Tropical Breeze
16.0% $3.67
Max Win
$49.75 (+429.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.77 (+14.5%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+158.9%
Cost
$9.40
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $9.40
Ask Price EV $10.77 (+14.5%)
Bid Price EV $10.40 (+10.6%)
Ask Profit $1.37 (+14.5%)
Bid Profit $1.00 (+10.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+3.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.37
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.00
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $49.75 (+429.2%)
Worst Case $1.53 (-83.7%)
Volatility +158.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 64.0%
Avg Win +$16.78
Avg Loss -$7.30
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.53 (-83.7%)
Std Dev $14.94
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 146h 34m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Azure Glyph
—
Field-Tested
$1.35 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Echoing Sands
—
Minimal Wear
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$1.46 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 23S //TOTAL COST $9.40 //ASK PRICE EV $10.77 //BID PRICE EV $10.40 //ASK PROFIT $1.37 (+14.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.00 (+10.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $49.75 //VOLATILITY +158.9% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
5.0%
$49.75
+$40.35
+429.2%
$49.11
+$39.71
+422.4%
$0.64
1.3%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$45.74
+$36.34
+386.6%
$45.31
+$35.91
+382.0%
$0.43
0.9%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$34.44
+$25.04
+266.4%
$34.11
+$24.71
+262.9%
$0.33
1.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$24.45
+$15.05
+160.1%
$22.63
+$13.23
+140.7%
$1.82
7.4%
—
SMALL WIN
16.0%
$10.66
+$1.26
+13.4%
$9.81
+$0.41
+4.4%
$0.85
8.0%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$3.67
-$5.73
-60.9%
$3.64
-$5.76
-61.3%
$0.03
0.8%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.63
-$7.77
-82.6%
$1.28
-$8.12
-86.4%
$0.35
21.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.55
-$7.85
-83.5%
$1.49
-$7.91
-84.1%
$0.06
4.0%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.53
-$7.87
-83.7%
$1.52
-$7.88
-83.8%
$0.01
0.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.052245,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 10.66,
"optimistic_value": 10.66,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 9.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:10.267254Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0473688,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 1.53,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:19:47.820594Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041796,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.552,
"optimistic_value": 1.51,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:29.665676Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.038313,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.041796,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.631,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:06.916143Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.050851799999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-80cb7aad6895",
"realistic_value": 34.4415,
"optimistic_value": 34.41,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta",
"conservative_value": 34.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:05.954513Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80cb7aad6895.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.052245,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05f333baf59c",
"realistic_value": 49.7455,
"optimistic_value": 49.7,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Black Nile",
"conservative_value": 49.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Black Nile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:55:42.172673Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05f333baf59c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7c46ff3046d0",
"realistic_value": 24.446,
"optimistic_value": 24.32,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated",
"conservative_value": 22.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:56:45.029162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7c46ff3046d0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29609fc133b0",
"realistic_value": 45.739,
"optimistic_value": 45.69,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot",
"conservative_value": 45.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:06.558569Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29609fc133b0.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_27f2f95f68311395d41f61f9",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.35,
"skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"listing_id": "497228024527630997",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:19:42.370186Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-eba9dcbab8fc",
"listing_id": "493850490549204004",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eba9dcbab8fc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:11.706855Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "523123888071660394",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:47.937954Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "523123888072931734",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:23.624789Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "525375688037451211",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:35.438140Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "652601015910513612",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:13.320222Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "502857689861815552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:23.624789Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625091045239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:35.438140Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625090884103",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:35.438140Z"
},
{
"price": 1.46,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "515242536108553321",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:23.624789Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 5.0% $49.75 Steel Delta 5.0% $34.44 Wintergreen 16.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 5.0% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 5.0% $7.58 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +673.6% | $8.03 +24.8% | 36.0% | +174.6% | $6.43 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Black Nile 5.0% $8.90 Steel Delta 5.0% $6.56 Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Mummy's Rot 5.0% $2.71 Copper Coated 5.0% $2.56 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 | $8.90 +389.2% | $2.27 +24.5% | 52.0% | +110.6% | $1.82 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile 10.0% $49.75 Mummy's Rot 10.0% $45.74 Steel Delta 10.0% $34.44 Copper Coated 10.0% $24.45 Wintergreen 12.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +254.1% | $17.70 +26.0% | 40.0% | +111.1% | $14.05 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 7.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 7.5% $34.44 Wintergreen 14.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 7.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 7.5% $7.58 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +505.2% | $10.11 +22.9% | 29.0% | +158.1% | $8.22 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical  12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands 12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph 12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec  12.5% $7.35 Polished Malachite  5.6% $1.69 VariCamo Grey  5.6% $1.21 | $14.55 +185.9% | $5.59 +9.7% | 50.0% | +82.3% | $5.09 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Waters of Nephthys  10.0% $549.87 Apep's Curse  10.0% $211.74 Green Energy  80.0% $109.76 | $549.87 +263.2% | $163.97 +8.3% | 20.0% | +87.3% | $151.38 | — |