The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Desert Tactical
2x $0.34
Leafhopper
3x $0.08
Tiger Tear
3x $0.12
Acid Dart
2x $0.16
↓
Possible Outputs
Black Nile
5.0% $8.90
Steel Delta
5.0% $6.56
Wintergreen
16.0% $4.61
Mummy's Rot
5.0% $2.72
Copper Coated
5.0% $2.56
Tropical Breeze
16.0% $1.82
Max Win
$8.90 (+386.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.26 (+23.8%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+130.4%
Cost
$1.83
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.83
Ask Price EV $2.26 (+23.8%)
Bid Price EV $1.97 (+7.8%)
Ask Profit $0.43 (+23.8%)
Bid Profit $0.14 (+7.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.29 (+16.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.43
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.14
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $8.90 (+386.6%)
Worst Case $0.40 (-78.0%)
Volatility +130.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$3.10
Avg Loss -$1.06
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.40 (-78.0%)
Std Dev $2.39
Avg Norm Float 0.1984
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 119h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
USP-S | Desert Tactical
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Desert Tactical
—
Well-Worn
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 58S //TOTAL COST $1.83 //ASK PRICE EV $2.26 //BID PRICE EV $1.97 //ASK PROFIT $0.43 (+23.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.14 (+7.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $8.90 //VOLATILITY +130.4% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
5.0%
$8.90
+$7.07
+386.6%
$7.65
+$5.82
+318.0%
$1.25
14.1%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$6.56
+$4.73
+258.2%
$5.80
+$3.97
+216.9%
$0.76
11.5%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$4.61
+$2.78
+151.9%
$3.81
+$1.98
+108.2%
$0.80
17.4%
—
WIN
5.0%
$2.72
+$0.89
+48.7%
$2.35
+$0.52
+28.4%
$0.37
13.6%
—
WIN
5.0%
$2.56
+$0.73
+39.8%
$2.34
+$0.51
+27.9%
$0.22
8.5%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.82
-$0.01
-0.5%
$1.70
-$0.13
-7.1%
$0.12
6.6%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.43
-$1.40
-76.5%
$0.41
-$1.42
-77.6%
$0.02
4.7%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.41
-$1.42
-77.6%
$0.38
-$1.45
-79.2%
$0.03
7.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.40
-$1.43
-78.0%
$0.36
-$1.47
-80.3%
$0.04
10.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1488075,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1349188,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.43,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:37.483724Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.119046,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.10912550000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.119046,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.4035,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:55.869914Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1448393,
"output_skin_id": "skin-80cb7aad6895",
"realistic_value": 6.5555,
"optimistic_value": 6.37,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta",
"conservative_value": 5.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:38:20.299969Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80cb7aad6895.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1488075,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05f333baf59c",
"realistic_value": 8.904,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Black Nile",
"conservative_value": 7.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Black Nile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T09:27:27.866870Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05f333baf59c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.19841,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7c46ff3046d0",
"realistic_value": 2.558,
"optimistic_value": 2.53,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated",
"conservative_value": 2.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:03:52.634968Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7c46ff3046d0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.19841,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29609fc133b0",
"realistic_value": 2.721,
"optimistic_value": 2.7,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot",
"conservative_value": 2.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:19.491559Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29609fc133b0.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_27f2f95f68311395d41f61f9",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-808bfc3a4f41",
"listing_id": "526501587737542229",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical (Well-Worn)",
"name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808bfc3a4f41.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:06:26.845533Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-808bfc3a4f41",
"listing_id": "519746135813339912",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical (Well-Worn)",
"name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808bfc3a4f41.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:06:26.845533Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746135814788696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:48.172541Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "517494388633861186",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:00:10.786852Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "515242588555269565",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:58.260091Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "512990623225420919",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:00:10.786852Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "527627322006725396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:00:10.786852Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:33.603957Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:58.260091Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "515242423037531833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:33.603957Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile 5.0% $49.75 Mummy's Rot 5.0% $45.74 Steel Delta 5.0% $34.44 Copper Coated 5.0% $24.45 Wintergreen 16.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +432.6% | $10.77 +15.3% | 36.0% | +144.6% | $9.34 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 2.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 2.5% $34.44 Wintergreen 18.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 2.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 2.5% $7.58 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +1015.4% | $5.92 +32.8% | 28.0% | +192.2% | $4.46 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile 10.0% $49.75 Mummy's Rot 10.0% $45.74 Steel Delta 10.0% $34.44 Copper Coated 10.0% $24.45 Wintergreen 12.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +254.3% | $17.73 +26.3% | 40.0% | +111.1% | $14.04 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 7.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 7.5% $34.44 Wintergreen 14.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 7.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 7.5% $7.58 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +505.9% | $10.14 +23.5% | 29.0% | +158.2% | $8.21 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands  12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph  12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec  12.5% $7.35 Polished Malachite  5.6% $1.69 VariCamo Grey  5.6% $1.12 | $14.55 +192.8% | $5.58 +12.3% | 50.0% | +84.5% | $4.97 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Waters of Nephthys  10.0% $549.87 Apep's Curse  10.0% $211.74 Green Energy  80.0% $109.76 | $549.87 +262.5% | $163.97 +8.1% | 20.0% | +87.1% | $151.68 | — |