The Genesis Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified WW 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn
Inputs
Ocular
5x $0.65
Angel Eyes
2x $1.00
Continuum
2x $1.01
Pink DDPAT
1x $52.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Master Piece
10.0% $196.47
Ice Coaled
30.0% $8.64
Smoking Kills
30.0% $7.95
Mirror Mosaic
30.0% $6.47
Max Win
$196.47 (+226.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$26.57 (-55.8%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+94.2%
Cost
$60.11
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $60.11
Ask Price EV $26.57 (-55.8%)
Bid Price EV $20.75 (-65.5%)
Ask Profit $-33.54 (-55.8%)
Bid Profit $-39.36 (-65.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.82 (+9.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$33.54
Bid Slippage Buffer -$39.36
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $196.47 (+226.8%)
Worst Case $6.47 (-89.2%)
Volatility +94.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$136.36
Avg Loss -$52.42
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.47 (-89.2%)
Std Dev $56.64
Avg Norm Float 0.4166
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 154h 34m
Oldest Output Price 154h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Ocular
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Well-Worn
$0.82 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Well-Worn
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Field-Tested
$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested
$1.01 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested
$1.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Field-Tested
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Pink DDPAT
—
Well-Worn
$52.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 39M 31S //TOTAL COST $60.11 //ASK PRICE EV $26.57 //BID PRICE EV $20.75 //ASK PROFIT $-33.54 (-55.8%) //BID PROFIT $-39.36 (-65.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $196.47 //VOLATILITY +94.2% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
10.0%
$196.47
+$136.36
+226.8%
$143.91
+$83.80
+139.4%
$52.56
26.8%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$8.64
-$51.47
-85.6%
$8.08
-$52.03
-86.6%
$0.56
6.5%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$7.95
-$52.16
-86.8%
$6.74
-$53.37
-88.8%
$1.21
15.2%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$6.47
-$53.64
-89.2%
$6.37
-$53.74
-89.4%
$0.10
1.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.41662,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
"realistic_value": 8.642,
"optimistic_value": 8.39,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 8.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:48:03.535993Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.41662,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
"realistic_value": 6.4675,
"optimistic_value": 6.45,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
"conservative_value": 6.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:31.526602Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.41662,
"output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
"realistic_value": 7.952500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 7.9,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
"conservative_value": 6.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:55:04.070396Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.41662,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5e983b2fc436",
"realistic_value": 196.467,
"optimistic_value": 183.93,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece",
"conservative_value": 143.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:37.107137Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5e983b2fc436.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_21e44d24e9d667c67ec76f81",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "496102343226325475",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:24.260537Z"
},
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "499480042828226125",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:24.260537Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "502856892586816264",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:24.260537Z"
},
{
"price": 0.82,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "493850543432811568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:51.089283Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "505109437005965540",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:51.089283Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "525375740886424291",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:16.864198Z"
},
{
"price": 1.01,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "518620341243989992",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:38.750706Z"
},
{
"price": 1.08,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "517494441498399118",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:38.750706Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "528753440605410525",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:16.864198Z"
},
{
"price": 52,
"skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"listing_id": "520871291119744800",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn)",
"name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:38.878100Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:9+collection-set-overpass:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 10.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 30.0% $52.00 Smoking Kills 30.0% $46.83 Mirror Mosaic 30.0% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +851.1% | $175.97 +25.7% | 10.0% | +275.1% | $139.94 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 20.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 26.7% $52.00 Smoking Kills 26.7% $46.83 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +453.8% | $304.30 +26.6% | 20.0% | +213.6% | $240.34 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 30.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 23.3% $52.00 Smoking Kills 23.3% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 23.3% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +269.8% | $432.70 +20.2% | 30.0% | +163.4% | $359.86 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 40.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 20.0% $52.00 Smoking Kills 20.0% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +171.3% | $561.02 +14.3% | 40.0% | +128.1% | $490.64 | — |