The Genesis Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1

Restricted → Classified FN 10 items

Factory New +29.0%Field-Tested -42.9%Minimal Wear -13.2%Well-Worn -55.6%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Factory New

Inputs

Cat Fight

1x $4.06

Ocular

2x $6.09

Continuum

2x $6.16

Angel Eyes

4x $6.27

Pink DDPAT

1x $70.65

↓

Possible Outputs

Master Piece

10.0% $1,330.91

Ice Coaled

30.0% $52.00

Smoking Kills

30.0% $47.16

Mirror Mosaic

30.0% $44.23

Max Win

$1,330.91 (+875.2%)

EV (ROI %)

$176.10 (+29.0%)

Win %

10.0%

Volatility

+282.1%

Cost

$136.47

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $136.47

Ask Price EV $176.10 (+29.0%)

Bid Price EV $137.25 (+0.6%)

Ask Profit $39.63 (+29.0%)

Bid Profit $0.78 (+0.6%)

Liquidity Gap $38.85 (+28.5%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$39.63

Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.78

Risk

Win Probability 10.0%

Loss Probability 90.0%

Best Case $1,330.91 (+875.2%)

Worst Case $44.23 (-67.6%)

Volatility +282.1%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%

Avg Win +$1,194.44

Avg Loss -$88.68

Bottom 5% Outcome $44.23 (-67.6%)

Std Dev $384.95

Avg Norm Float 0.0699

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 16m

Oldest Output Price 153h 28m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

MAC-10 | Cat Fight

—

Minimal Wear

$4.06 Float: HIDDEN

Nova | Ocular

—

Factory New

$6.09 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Continuum

—

Factory New

$6.16 Float: HIDDEN

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

—

Factory New

$6.27 Float: HIDDEN

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

—

Factory New

$6.29 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Continuum

—

Factory New

$6.32 Float: HIDDEN

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

—

Factory New

$8.39 Float: HIDDEN

Nova | Ocular

—

Factory New

$9.44 Float: HIDDEN

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

—

Factory New

$12.80 Float: HIDDEN

AWP | Pink DDPAT

—

Field-Tested

$70.65 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 36M 20S //TOTAL COST $136.47 //ASK PRICE EV $176.10 //BID PRICE EV $137.25 //ASK PROFIT $39.63 (+29.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.78 (+0.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $1,330.91 //VOLATILITY +282.1% //

Possible Outputs · 4

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 9,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 1,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
      "realistic_value": 51.995,
      "optimistic_value": 51.75,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
      "conservative_value": 50.08,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:54.920969Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
      "realistic_value": 44.2275,
      "optimistic_value": 44,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
      "conservative_value": 42.13,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:56:35.444305Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
      "realistic_value": 47.155,
      "optimistic_value": 46.7,
      "output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
      "conservative_value": 43.53,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:29.910784Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-5e983b2fc436",
      "realistic_value": 1330.9089999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 1319.87,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece",
      "conservative_value": 965.28,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:52:46.538546Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5e983b2fc436.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_21e44d24e9d667c67ec76f81",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 4.06,
      "skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
      "listing_id": "523123888072513270",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:10:05.474259Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 6.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
      "listing_id": "528753440604664353",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
      "name": "Nova | Ocular",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:36.278850Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 6.16,
      "skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "listing_id": "517493591328412738",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:13.100361Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 6.27,
      "skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "listing_id": "503983589620159867",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:40.596075Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 6.29,
      "skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "listing_id": "496102290329603039",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:40.596075Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 6.32,
      "skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "listing_id": "520872141038216280",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:13.100361Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 8.39,
      "skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "listing_id": "492724538182306053",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:40.596075Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 9.44,
      "skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
      "listing_id": "523123940968668382",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
      "name": "Nova | Ocular",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:36.278850Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 12.8,
      "skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "listing_id": "494976224707847982",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:40.596075Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 70.65,
      "skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
      "listing_id": "492724590625904877",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
      "market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:04.299601Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:9+collection-set-overpass:1"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Master Piece 20.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 26.7% $52.00 Smoking Kills 26.7% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $44.12	$1,330.91 +466.9%	$304.39 +29.6%	20.0%	+218.6%	$234.79	—
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Master Piece 30.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 23.3% $52.00 Smoking Kills 23.3% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 23.3% $44.23	$1,330.91 +273.6%	$432.73 +21.5%	30.0%	+165.1%	$356.20	—
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Master Piece 40.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 20.0% $52.00 Smoking Kills 20.0% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $44.12	$1,330.91 +171.3%	$561.02 +14.3%	40.0%	+128.1%	$490.64	—