The Genesis Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified MW 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear
Inputs
Continuum
3x $2.01
Ocular
3x $2.08
Angel Eyes
3x $2.10
Pink DDPAT
1x $52.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Master Piece
10.0% $462.92
Ice Coaled
30.0% $24.72
Smoking Kills
30.0% $18.91
Mirror Mosaic
30.0% $16.51
Max Win
$462.92 (+525.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$64.34 (-13.0%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+179.6%
Cost
$73.99
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $73.99
Ask Price EV $64.34 (-13.0%)
Bid Price EV $52.01 (-29.7%)
Ask Profit $-9.65 (-13.0%)
Bid Profit $-21.98 (-29.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $12.33 (+16.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$9.65
Bid Slippage Buffer -$21.98
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $462.92 (+525.7%)
Worst Case $16.51 (-77.7%)
Volatility +179.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$388.93
Avg Loss -$53.94
Bottom 5% Outcome $16.51 (-77.7%)
Std Dev $132.90
Avg Norm Float 0.1493
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 154h 34m
Oldest Output Price 154h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Minimal Wear
$2.01 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Minimal Wear
$2.03 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Minimal Wear
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Minimal Wear
$2.10 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Minimal Wear
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Minimal Wear
$2.24 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Minimal Wear
$2.50 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Minimal Wear
$3.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Minimal Wear
$3.53 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Pink DDPAT
—
Well-Worn
$52.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 39M 31S //TOTAL COST $73.99 //ASK PRICE EV $64.34 //BID PRICE EV $52.01 //ASK PROFIT $-9.65 (-13.0%) //BID PROFIT $-21.98 (-29.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $462.92 //VOLATILITY +179.6% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$462.92
+$388.93
+525.7%
$356.00
+$282.01
+381.1%
$106.92
23.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$24.72
-$49.27
-66.6%
$21.45
-$52.54
-71.0%
$3.27
13.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$18.91
-$55.08
-74.4%
$17.53
-$56.46
-76.3%
$1.38
7.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$16.51
-$57.48
-77.7%
$15.72
-$58.27
-78.8%
$0.79
4.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
"realistic_value": 24.722,
"optimistic_value": 24.68,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 21.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:46:37.717961Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
"realistic_value": 16.5135,
"optimistic_value": 16.44,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
"conservative_value": 15.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:25.830473Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
"realistic_value": 18.909,
"optimistic_value": 18.86,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
"conservative_value": 17.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:41.589828Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5e983b2fc436",
"realistic_value": 462.91949999999997,
"optimistic_value": 400,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece",
"conservative_value": 356,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:53:47.336482Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5e983b2fc436.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_21e44d24e9d667c67ec76f81",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.01,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "512990841908681459",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:35.940123Z"
},
{
"price": 2.03,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "514116741796959270",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:35.940123Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "511864888984958301",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:56.122993Z"
},
{
"price": 2.1,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "511864941882469461",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:27.122805Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "521997935571766770",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:27.122805Z"
},
{
"price": 2.24,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "494976338033400666",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:27.122805Z"
},
{
"price": 2.5,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "512990623226461967",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:56.122993Z"
},
{
"price": 3.35,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "652601015911524384",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:35.940123Z"
},
{
"price": 3.53,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "491598743581062998",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:56.122993Z"
},
{
"price": 52,
"skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"listing_id": "520871291119744800",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn)",
"name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:38.878100Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:9+collection-set-overpass:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 10.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 30.0% $52.00 Smoking Kills 30.0% $46.83 Mirror Mosaic 30.0% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +851.1% | $175.97 +25.7% | 10.0% | +275.1% | $139.94 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 20.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 26.7% $52.00 Smoking Kills 26.7% $46.83 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +453.8% | $304.30 +26.6% | 20.0% | +213.6% | $240.34 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 30.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 23.3% $52.00 Smoking Kills 23.3% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 23.3% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +269.8% | $432.70 +20.2% | 30.0% | +163.4% | $359.86 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 40.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 20.0% $52.00 Smoking Kills 20.0% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +171.3% | $561.02 +14.3% | 40.0% | +128.1% | $490.64 | — |