The Genesis Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Ocular
5x $0.66
Angel Eyes
2x $1.00
Continuum
2x $1.01
Pink DDPAT
1x $52.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Master Piece
10.0% $254.72
Ice Coaled
30.0% $11.85
Smoking Kills
30.0% $10.29
Mirror Mosaic
30.0% $8.67
Max Win
$254.72 (+316.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$34.71 (-43.3%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+119.8%
Cost
$61.21
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $61.21
Ask Price EV $34.71 (-43.3%)
Bid Price EV $28.29 (-53.8%)
Ask Profit $-26.50 (-43.3%)
Bid Profit $-32.92 (-53.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.42 (+10.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$26.50
Bid Slippage Buffer -$32.92
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $254.72 (+316.1%)
Worst Case $8.67 (-85.8%)
Volatility +119.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$193.51
Avg Loss -$50.94
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.67 (-85.8%)
Std Dev $73.35
Avg Norm Float 0.3440
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 154h 34m
Oldest Output Price 154h 28m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Ocular
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Well-Worn
$0.82 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Well-Worn
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Field-Tested
$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested
$1.01 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested
$1.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Field-Tested
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Field-Tested
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Pink DDPAT
—
Well-Worn
$52.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 39M 31S //TOTAL COST $61.21 //ASK PRICE EV $34.71 //BID PRICE EV $28.29 //ASK PROFIT $-26.50 (-43.3%) //BID PROFIT $-32.92 (-53.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $254.72 //VOLATILITY +119.8% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$254.72
+$193.51
+316.1%
$195.98
+$134.77
+220.2%
$58.74
23.1%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$11.85
-$49.36
-80.6%
$10.74
-$50.47
-82.5%
$1.11
9.3%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$10.29
-$50.92
-83.2%
$9.71
-$51.50
-84.1%
$0.58
5.7%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$8.67
-$52.54
-85.8%
$8.54
-$52.67
-86.0%
$0.13
1.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.34399,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
"realistic_value": 11.8465,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 10.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:03.340152Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.34399,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
"realistic_value": 8.67,
"optimistic_value": 8.67,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
"conservative_value": 8.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:25.038164Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.34399,
"output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
"realistic_value": 10.292,
"optimistic_value": 10.18,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
"conservative_value": 9.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:37.751468Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.34399,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5e983b2fc436",
"realistic_value": 254.719,
"optimistic_value": 235.14,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece",
"conservative_value": 195.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:53:48.183259Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5e983b2fc436.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_21e44d24e9d667c67ec76f81",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "499480042828226125",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:24.260537Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "502856892586816264",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:24.260537Z"
},
{
"price": 0.82,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "493850543432811568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:51.089283Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "505109437005965540",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:51.089283Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "525375740886424291",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:16.864198Z"
},
{
"price": 1.01,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "518620341243989992",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:38.750706Z"
},
{
"price": 1.08,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "517494441498399118",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:38.750706Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "528753440605410525",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:16.864198Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "520871291142486792",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:31.504006Z"
},
{
"price": 52,
"skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"listing_id": "520871291119744800",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn)",
"name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:38.878100Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:9+collection-set-overpass:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 10.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 30.0% $52.00 Smoking Kills 30.0% $46.83 Mirror Mosaic 30.0% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +851.1% | $175.97 +25.7% | 10.0% | +275.1% | $139.94 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 20.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 26.7% $52.00 Smoking Kills 26.7% $46.83 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +453.8% | $304.30 +26.6% | 20.0% | +213.6% | $240.34 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 30.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 23.3% $52.00 Smoking Kills 23.3% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 23.3% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +269.8% | $432.70 +20.2% | 30.0% | +163.4% | $359.86 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 40.0% $1,330.91 Ice Coaled 20.0% $52.00 Smoking Kills 20.0% $47.16 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $44.12 | $1,330.91 +171.3% | $561.02 +14.3% | 40.0% | +128.1% | $490.64 | — |