The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Danger Close
1x $0.26
Modest Threat
2x $0.29
Fubar
1x $0.47
Wood Fired
2x $0.52
Black Sand
1x $0.52
Irezumi
2x $0.31
↓
Possible Outputs
Signal
14.0% $7.55
Nevermore
14.0% $7.11
Flashback
14.0% $6.12
Etch Lord
6.0% $4.43
Block-18
6.0% $4.19
Pipe Down
14.0% $3.40
Max Win
$7.55 (+91.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.65 (+17.7%)
Win %
54.0%
Volatility
+53.0%
Cost
$3.95
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.95
Ask Price EV $4.65 (+17.7%)
Bid Price EV $4.05 (+2.5%)
Ask Profit $0.70 (+17.7%)
Bid Profit $0.10 (+2.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.60 (+15.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.70
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.10
Risk
Win Probability 54.0%
Loss Probability 46.0%
Best Case $7.55 (+91.0%)
Worst Case $1.90 (-51.8%)
Volatility +53.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 26.0%
Avg Win +$2.40
Avg Loss -$1.29
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.90 (-51.8%)
Std Dev $2.09
Avg Norm Float 0.1390
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 154h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Modest Threat
—
Field-Tested
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Modest Threat
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Fubar
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wood Fired
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wood Fired
—
Minimal Wear
$0.57 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Irezumi
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Irezumi
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 52S //TOTAL COST $3.95 //ASK PRICE EV $4.65 //BID PRICE EV $4.05 //ASK PROFIT $0.70 (+17.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.10 (+2.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 54.0% //BEST CASE $7.55 //VOLATILITY +53.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$7.55
+$3.60
+91.0%
$6.50
+$2.55
+64.6%
$1.05
13.9%
—
BIG WIN
14.0%
$7.11
+$3.16
+80.1%
$5.90
+$1.95
+49.4%
$1.21
17.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$6.12
+$2.17
+55.0%
$5.35
+$1.40
+35.4%
$0.77
12.6%
—
PAPER WIN
6.0%
$4.43
+$0.48
+12.3%
$3.77
-$0.18
-4.6%
$0.66
15.0%
—
PAPER WIN
6.0%
$4.19
+$0.24
+6.1%
$3.88
-$0.07
-1.8%
$0.31
7.4%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$3.40
-$0.55
-14.0%
$3.08
-$0.87
-22.0%
$0.32
9.3%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$3.34
-$0.61
-15.5%
$2.85
-$1.10
-27.8%
$0.49
14.6%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$2.65
-$1.30
-32.9%
$2.60
-$1.35
-34.2%
$0.05
1.9%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.95
-$2.00
-50.5%
$1.68
-$2.27
-57.5%
$0.27
14.0%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.90
-$2.05
-51.8%
$1.85
-$2.10
-53.2%
$0.05
2.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.09034350000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 1.9545,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 1.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:38.562472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.069495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 7.5455,
"optimistic_value": 7.5,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 6.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:26.184919Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.125091,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 3.396,
"optimistic_value": 3.34,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:52:49.684010Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.055596000000000007,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 7.1135,
"optimistic_value": 7.04,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 5.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:33.060154Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.069495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 6.122,
"optimistic_value": 6.01,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:34.097598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.13899,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:23.045771Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.09338390625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.13899,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.434,
"optimistic_value": 4.42,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.101680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.13899,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.337,
"optimistic_value": 3.33,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:08.866053Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0860153514,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:34.770098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_1b17b0b78f3ca76c59518930",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527626690814383256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:43.558947Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-53d8377fc006",
"listing_id": "525375522203968243",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Modest Threat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53d8377fc006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:36:45.298657Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-53d8377fc006",
"listing_id": "751679596825183787",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Modest Threat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53d8377fc006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:36:45.298657Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-876587e47bdc",
"listing_id": "498354089953387435",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Fubar",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-876587e47bdc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:27.014077Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-3a61ea6e759f",
"listing_id": "510738989041247866",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wood Fired",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a61ea6e759f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:21.053811Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-d85d77873f80",
"listing_id": "492724643507540685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85d77873f80.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:30:37.482031Z"
},
{
"price": 0.57,
"skin_id": "skin-3a61ea6e759f",
"listing_id": "506234592361711584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wood Fired",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a61ea6e759f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:21.053811Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8c2ae17ac090",
"listing_id": "492724643508413757",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Irezumi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8c2ae17ac090.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:39.629924Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8c2ae17ac090",
"listing_id": "517494441499079446",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Irezumi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8c2ae17ac090.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:39.629924Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "515242641502660669",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:36.370297Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:7+collection-set-community-33:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Nevermore 14.0% $4.07 Signal 14.0% $3.49 Flashback 14.0% $3.00 Etch Lord 6.0% $2.40 Block-18 6.0% $2.01 Just Smile 6.0% $1.56 | $4.07 +81.0% | $2.37 +5.4% | 48.0% | +36.8% | $2.25 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 8.0% $7.55 Nevermore 8.0% $7.11 Flashback 8.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 8.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +122.6% | $4.07 +20.1% | 56.0% | +42.7% | $3.39 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 6.0% $7.55 Nevermore 6.0% $7.11 Flashback 6.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.43 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 6.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +133.6% | $3.88 +20.1% | 66.0% | +41.6% | $3.23 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Flashback 12.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.43 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 12.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +102.8% | $4.46 +19.8% | 52.0% | +42.2% | $3.72 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 10.0% $7.55 Nevermore 10.0% $7.11 Flashback 10.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.43 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 10.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +112.0% | $4.26 +19.8% | 50.0% | +42.7% | $3.56 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Nevermore 2.0% $7.11 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.43 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Signal 2.0% $3.49 Pipe Down 2.0% $3.40 Just Smile 18.0% $3.32 | $7.11 +151.4% | $3.35 +18.3% | 62.0% | +27.9% | $2.83 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 4.0% $7.55 Nevermore 4.0% $7.11 Flashback 4.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.43 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 4.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +138.0% | $3.69 +16.3% | 64.0% | +37.8% | $3.17 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  23.3% $37.06 Mecha Industries  10.0% $27.53 Jawbreaker  23.3% $14.90 Olympus  23.3% $14.32 Momentum  10.0% $9.89 Phosphor  10.0% $9.63 | $37.06 +103.4% | $20.17 +10.7% | 33.3% | +57.1% | $18.22 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Well-Worn ST | Inheritance  35.0% $135.61 Asiimov  15.0% $98.82 Neo-Noir  15.0% $78.19 Chrome Cannon  35.0% $50.99 | $135.61 +60.1% | $91.86 +8.5% | 50.0% | +42.4% | $84.68 | — |