The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Danger Close
5x $0.23
Fubar
1x $0.23
Modest Threat
1x $0.29
Motorized
1x $0.16
Dark Sigil
1x $0.17
Slag
1x $0.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Nevermore
14.0% $4.07
Signal
14.0% $3.49
Flashback
14.0% $3.00
Etch Lord
6.0% $2.35
Block-18
6.0% $2.01
Just Smile
6.0% $1.56
Max Win
$4.07 (+77.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.36 (+3.3%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+46.3%
Cost
$2.29
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.29
Ask Price EV $2.36 (+3.3%)
Bid Price EV $2.11 (-7.7%)
Ask Profit $0.07 (+3.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.18 (-7.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.25 (+10.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.07
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.18
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $4.07 (+77.9%)
Worst Case $1.28 (-44.1%)
Volatility +46.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 46.0%
Avg Win +$1.09
Avg Loss -$0.86
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.28 (-44.1%)
Std Dev $1.06
Avg Norm Float 0.2926
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 156h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Speculative Upside · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Fubar
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Modest Threat
—
Field-Tested
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 48M 55S //TOTAL COST $2.29 //ASK PRICE EV $2.36 //BID PRICE EV $2.11 //ASK PROFIT $0.07 (+3.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.18 (-7.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $4.07 //VOLATILITY +46.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
14.0%
$4.07
+$1.78
+77.9%
$3.42
+$1.13
+49.3%
$0.65
16.0%
—
BIG WIN
14.0%
$3.49
+$1.20
+52.6%
$3.13
+$0.84
+36.7%
$0.36
10.4%
—
WIN
14.0%
$3.00
+$0.71
+31.1%
$2.79
+$0.50
+21.8%
$0.21
7.1%
—
PAPER WIN
6.0%
$2.35
+$0.06
+2.5%
$2.07
-$0.22
-9.6%
$0.28
11.8%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$2.01
-$0.28
-12.4%
$1.93
-$0.36
-15.7%
$0.08
3.8%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.56
-$0.73
-31.9%
$1.43
-$0.86
-37.6%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.47
-$0.82
-35.8%
$1.39
-$0.90
-39.3%
$0.08
5.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.37
-$0.92
-40.3%
$1.24
-$1.05
-45.9%
$0.13
9.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.29
-$1.00
-43.6%
$1.20
-$1.09
-47.6%
$0.09
7.0%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.28
-$1.01
-44.1%
$1.11
-$1.18
-51.5%
$0.17
13.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1901705,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 1.2805,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:00.585926Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.146285,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 3.4935,
"optimistic_value": 3.42,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 3.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:30:19.682181Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.263313,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 1.291,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:39.834636Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11702800000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 4.0735,
"optimistic_value": 4.07,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:34.566282Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.146285,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 3.003,
"optimistic_value": 2.87,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 2.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:06:50.700773Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.29257,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:21:24.938683Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19657046875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 2.007,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:46:05.315017Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.29257,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.347,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:34.876512Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.29257,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1810598702,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:34.567927Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_1b17b0b78f3ca76c59518930",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "645845616403812921",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:44.216732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-876587e47bdc",
"listing_id": "511864888984398393",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Fubar",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-876587e47bdc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:34.461985Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527627540538524468",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:44.216732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "518620288313230024",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:44.216732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527626690814383256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:44.216732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "523123091077461898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:44.216732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-53d8377fc006",
"listing_id": "525375522203968243",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Modest Threat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53d8377fc006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:38.779948Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "524249840860184391",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:40:16.705226Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "519746241189696524",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:56.655675Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:35:02.484418Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:7+collection-set-community-33:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Flashback 14.0% $6.52 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.43 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 14.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +94.5% | $4.70 +21.2% | 54.0% | +42.1% | $3.88 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 10.0% $7.55 Nevermore 10.0% $7.11 Flashback 10.0% $6.52 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.43 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 10.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +112.5% | $4.30 +21.2% | 50.0% | +43.8% | $3.55 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 8.0% $7.55 Nevermore 8.0% $7.11 Flashback 8.0% $6.52 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 8.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +121.9% | $4.10 +20.6% | 48.0% | +43.6% | $3.40 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Flashback 12.0% $6.52 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Just Smile 8.0% $3.34 | $7.55 +102.3% | $4.50 +20.6% | 52.0% | +42.7% | $3.73 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 4.0% $7.55 Nevermore 4.0% $7.11 Flashback 4.0% $6.52 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.43 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 4.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +144.2% | $3.70 +19.8% | 64.0% | +39.7% | $3.09 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Nevermore 2.0% $7.11 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.46 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Signal 2.0% $3.49 Just Smile 18.0% $3.35 Pipe Down 2.0% $3.34 | $7.11 +153.1% | $3.36 +19.5% | 62.0% | +28.2% | $2.81 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 6.0% $7.55 Nevermore 6.0% $7.11 Flashback 6.0% $6.52 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Just Smile 14.0% $3.34 | $7.55 +130.7% | $3.90 +19.4% | 66.0% | +42.4% | $3.27 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Mecha Industries  3.3% $27.53 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $13.83 Momentum  3.3% $9.78 Phosphor  3.3% $9.63 | $37.06 +98.7% | $21.30 +14.2% | 33.3% | +57.2% | $18.65 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Well-Worn ST | Inheritance  35.0% $135.61 Asiimov  15.0% $98.82 Neo-Noir  15.0% $78.19 Chrome Cannon  35.0% $50.99 | $135.61 +61.3% | $91.86 +9.2% | 50.0% | +42.7% | $84.09 | — |