The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified WW 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn
Inputs
Continuum
3x $0.65
Ocular
3x $0.78
Angel Eyes
2x $1.05
Sheet Lightning
2x $1.32
↓
Possible Outputs
Green Energy
20.0% $17.77
Ice Coaled
26.7% $8.64
Smoking Kills
26.7% $7.44
Mirror Mosaic
26.7% $6.61
Max Win
$17.77 (+63.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$9.60 (-11.5%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+38.3%
Cost
$10.85
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $10.85
Ask Price EV $9.60 (-11.5%)
Bid Price EV $8.82 (-18.7%)
Ask Profit $-1.25 (-11.5%)
Bid Profit $-2.03 (-18.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.78 (+7.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.25
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.03
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $17.77 (+63.8%)
Worst Case $6.61 (-39.1%)
Volatility +38.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 53.3%
Avg Win +$6.92
Avg Loss -$3.29
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.61 (-39.1%)
Std Dev $4.15
Avg Norm Float 0.4150
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 139h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Well-Worn
$0.82 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Field-Tested
$1.05 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested
$1.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Field-Tested
$1.29 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Field-Tested
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.32 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.42 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 24S //TOTAL COST $10.85 //ASK PRICE EV $9.60 //BID PRICE EV $8.82 //ASK PROFIT $-1.25 (-11.5%) //BID PROFIT $-2.03 (-18.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $17.77 //VOLATILITY +38.3% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$17.77
+$6.92
+63.8%
$15.91
+$5.06
+46.6%
$1.86
10.5%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$8.64
-$2.21
-20.4%
$8.08
-$2.77
-25.5%
$0.56
6.5%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$7.44
-$3.41
-31.4%
$6.74
-$4.11
-37.9%
$0.70
9.4%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$6.61
-$4.24
-39.1%
$6.33
-$4.52
-41.7%
$0.28
4.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.41505,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
"realistic_value": 8.642,
"optimistic_value": 8.39,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 8.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:48:03.535993Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.41505,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
"realistic_value": 6.606,
"optimistic_value": 6.55,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
"conservative_value": 6.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:36.590148Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.41505,
"output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
"realistic_value": 7.438,
"optimistic_value": 7.13,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
"conservative_value": 6.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:31.199716Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.3112875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b889cea4b0a8",
"realistic_value": 17.774,
"optimistic_value": 17.48,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Green Energy",
"conservative_value": 15.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Green Energy (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:52.320574Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b889cea4b0a8.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0e53aa9892bdffe0f01835b3",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "497228190141250589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:54:00.464661Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "511864888984674981",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:54:00.464661Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "502856892586816264",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:48:24.906668Z"
},
{
"price": 0.82,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "507361289452791121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:54:14.023408Z"
},
{
"price": 1.05,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "509613089304316863",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:21.648294Z"
},
{
"price": 1.08,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "499479989896270453",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:21.881365Z"
},
{
"price": 1.29,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "637964245134592097",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:21.648294Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "520871291142486792",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:35.611521Z"
},
{
"price": 1.32,
"skin_id": "skin-25e2a5c0a7df",
"listing_id": "517494388633079158",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25e2a5c0a7df.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:59.372396Z"
},
{
"price": 1.42,
"skin_id": "skin-25e2a5c0a7df",
"listing_id": "514116523132033314",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25e2a5c0a7df.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:59.372396Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:8+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 20.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 26.7% $11.85 Smoking Kills 26.7% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $9.32 | $17.77 +60.1% | $11.98 +7.9% | 46.7% | +27.4% | $11.10 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Green Energy 20.0% $36.26 Ice Coaled 26.7% $24.72 Smoking Kills 26.7% $18.27 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $17.18 | $36.26 +59.5% | $23.30 +2.5% | 46.7% | +31.4% | $22.74 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Boreal Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 30.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 23.3% $11.85 Smoking Kills 23.3% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 23.3% $9.32 | $17.77 +59.8% | $12.71 +14.3% | 53.3% | +30.8% | $11.12 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 40.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 20.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills 20.0% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $9.32 | $17.77 +50.8% | $13.43 +13.9% | 60.0% | +30.8% | $11.79 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 50.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 16.7% $11.85 Smoking Kills 16.7% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 16.7% $9.32 | $17.77 +42.1% | $14.15 +13.1% | 50.0% | +29.5% | $12.51 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Well-Worn | Green Energy 70.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 10.0% $8.64 Smoking Kills 10.0% $7.44 Mirror Mosaic 10.0% $6.61 | $17.77 +32.7% | $14.71 +9.9% | 70.0% | +35.1% | $13.39 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 60.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 13.3% $11.85 Smoking Kills 13.3% $10.21 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $9.64 | $17.77 +29.5% | $14.89 +8.4% | 60.0% | +26.1% | $13.73 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Boreal Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 10.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 30.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills 30.0% $10.21 Mirror Mosaic 30.0% $9.63 | $17.77 +69.3% | $11.28 +7.4% | 40.0% | +22.3% | $10.50 | — |