The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Continuum

3x $0.69
Ocular

4x $0.78
Angel Eyes

1x $0.84
Glockingbird

2x $1.50
↓
Possible Outputs
Green Energy

20.0% $17.77
Ice Coaled

26.7% $11.85
Smoking Kills

26.7% $10.43
Mirror Mosaic

26.7% $9.63
Max Win
$17.77 (+76.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$12.06 (+19.4%)
Win %
73.3%
Volatility
+29.4%
Cost
$10.10
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $10.10
Ask Price EV $12.06 (+19.4%)
Bid Price EV $10.94 (+8.3%)
Ask Profit $1.96 (+19.4%)
Bid Profit $0.84 (+8.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.12 (+11.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.96
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.84
Risk
Win Probability 73.3%
Loss Probability 26.7%
Best Case $17.77 (+76.0%)
Worst Case $9.63 (-4.7%)
Volatility +29.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$2.85
Avg Loss -$0.47
Bottom 5% Outcome $9.63 (-4.7%)
Std Dev $2.97
Avg Norm Float 0.3765
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 138h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Battle-Scarred

$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Battle-Scarred

$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Well-Worn

$0.82 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Well-Worn

$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Well-Worn

$0.84 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Well-Worn

$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested

$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested

$1.08 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
—
Field-Tested

$1.50 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
—
Field-Tested

$1.55 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 10M 16S //TOTAL COST $10.10 //ASK PRICE EV $12.06 //BID PRICE EV $10.94 //ASK PROFIT $1.96 (+19.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.84 (+8.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 73.3% //BEST CASE $17.77 //VOLATILITY +29.4% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN
20.0%
$17.77
+$7.67
+76.0%
$15.91
+$5.81
+57.5%
$1.86
10.5%
—

WIN
26.7%
$11.85
+$1.75
+17.3%
$10.74
+$0.64
+6.3%
$1.11
9.3%
—

PAPER WIN
26.7%
$10.43
+$0.33
+3.3%
$9.80
-$0.30
-3.0%
$0.63
6.1%
—

LOSS
26.7%
$9.63
-$0.47
-4.7%
$8.56
-$1.54
-15.2%
$1.07
11.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37652,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
"realistic_value": 11.8465,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 10.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:03.340152Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37652,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
"realistic_value": 9.627,
"optimistic_value": 9.55,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
"conservative_value": 8.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:57:43.521761Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37652,
"output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
"realistic_value": 10.434,
"optimistic_value": 10.35,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
"conservative_value": 9.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:08:03.100256Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.28239000000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b889cea4b0a8",
"realistic_value": 17.774,
"optimistic_value": 17.48,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Green Energy",
"conservative_value": 15.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Green Energy (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:52.320574Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b889cea4b0a8.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0e53aa9892bdffe0f01835b3",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "511864888984674981",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:03:11.266766Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "502856892586816264",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:57:44.906559Z"
},
{
"price": 0.82,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "510738989039920078",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:03:14.659993Z"
},
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "509613089303902755",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:03:14.659993Z"
},
{
"price": 0.84,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "519746188257722816",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:06:04.433089Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "518620235867297932",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:03:14.659993Z"
},
{
"price": 1.07,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "518620288313634376",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:00:57.401470Z"
},
{
"price": 1.08,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "499479989896270453",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:00:57.401470Z"
},
{
"price": 1.5,
"skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
"listing_id": "525375688036632571",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:05:29.583663Z"
},
{
"price": 1.55,
"skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
"listing_id": "517494388633078510",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:05:29.583663Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:8+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Green Energy ![]() 20.0% $36.26 Ice Coaled ![]() 26.7% $24.72 Smoking Kills ![]() 26.7% $18.79 Mirror Mosaic ![]() 26.7% $17.18 | $36.26 +61.3% | $23.44 +4.3% | 46.7% | +31.3% | $22.48 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Well-Worn | Green Energy ![]() 20.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled ![]() 26.7% $8.64 Smoking Kills ![]() 26.7% $7.44 Mirror Mosaic ![]() 26.7% $6.65 | $17.77 +88.3% | $9.62 +1.9% | 20.0% | +43.9% | $9.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Boreal Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy ![]() 10.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled ![]() 30.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills ![]() 30.0% $10.59 Mirror Mosaic ![]() 30.0% $9.28 | $17.77 +86.1% | $11.29 +18.3% | 70.0% | +24.9% | $9.55 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Boreal Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy ![]() 30.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled ![]() 23.3% $11.85 Smoking Kills ![]() 23.3% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic ![]() 23.3% $9.63 | $17.77 +59.6% | $12.78 +14.7% | 53.3% | +30.2% | $11.14 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy ![]() 40.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled ![]() 20.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills ![]() 20.0% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic ![]() 20.0% $9.63 | $17.77 +50.5% | $13.49 +14.2% | 60.0% | +30.2% | $11.81 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy ![]() 50.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled ![]() 16.7% $11.85 Smoking Kills ![]() 16.7% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic ![]() 16.7% $9.63 | $17.77 +40.8% | $14.20 +12.6% | 50.0% | +28.7% | $12.62 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Well-Worn | Green Energy ![]() 70.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled ![]() 10.0% $8.64 Smoking Kills ![]() 10.0% $7.44 Mirror Mosaic ![]() 10.0% $6.65 | $17.77 +32.7% | $14.71 +9.9% | 70.0% | +35.1% | $13.39 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Green Energy ![]() 60.0% $109.76 Ice Coaled ![]() 13.3% $24.72 Smoking Kills ![]() 13.3% $19.45 Mirror Mosaic ![]() 13.3% $17.18 | $109.76 +57.1% | $74.03 +5.9% | 60.0% | +62.7% | $69.88 | — |