The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2

Restricted → Classified MW 10 items

Factory New -14.5%Field-Tested +7.9%Minimal Wear +2.5%Well-Worn -11.5%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear

Inputs

Continuum

3x $1.08

Angel Eyes

4x $1.29

Ocular

1x $2.50

Glockingbird

2x $3.45

↓

Possible Outputs

Green Energy

20.0% $36.26

Ice Coaled

26.7% $24.72

Smoking Kills

26.7% $18.27

Mirror Mosaic

26.7% $17.18

Max Win

$36.26 (+59.5%)

EV (ROI %)

$23.30 (+2.5%)

Win %

46.7%

Volatility

+31.4%

Cost

$22.74

Age —

Financials

ASK-ONLY EDGE

Total Cost $22.74

Ask Price EV $23.30 (+2.5%)

Bid Price EV $21.21 (-6.7%)

Ask Profit $0.56 (+2.5%)

Bid Profit $-1.53 (-6.7%)

Liquidity Gap $2.09 (+9.2%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.56

Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.53

Risk

Win Probability 46.7%

Loss Probability 53.3%

Best Case $36.26 (+59.5%)

Worst Case $17.18 (-24.4%)

Volatility +31.4%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%

Avg Win +$6.93

Avg Loss -$5.01

Bottom 5% Outcome $17.18 (-24.4%)

Std Dev $7.13

Avg Norm Float 0.1495

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 22m

Oldest Output Price 139h 21m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

UMP-45 | Continuum

—

Field-Tested

$1.08 Float: HIDDEN

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

—

Field-Tested

$1.29 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Continuum

—

Minimal Wear

$2.00 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Continuum

—

Minimal Wear

$2.02 Float: HIDDEN

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

—

Minimal Wear

$2.14 Float: HIDDEN

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

—

Minimal Wear

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

—

Minimal Wear

$2.18 Float: HIDDEN

Nova | Ocular

—

Minimal Wear

$2.50 Float: HIDDEN

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

—

Minimal Wear

$3.45 Float: HIDDEN

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

—

Minimal Wear

$3.93 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 24S //TOTAL COST $22.74 //ASK PRICE EV $23.30 //BID PRICE EV $21.21 //ASK PROFIT $0.56 (+2.5%) //BID PROFIT $-1.53 (-6.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 46.7% //BEST CASE $36.26 //VOLATILITY +31.4% //

Possible Outputs · 4

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.14955,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
      "realistic_value": 24.722,
      "optimistic_value": 24.68,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
      "conservative_value": 21.45,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:46:37.717961Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.14955,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
      "realistic_value": 17.1815,
      "optimistic_value": 16.94,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
      "conservative_value": 15.93,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:46.058792Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.14955,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
      "realistic_value": 18.273000000000003,
      "optimistic_value": 17.51,
      "output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
      "conservative_value": 17.51,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:17.979108Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.1121625,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-b889cea4b0a8",
      "realistic_value": 36.26,
      "optimistic_value": 36.26,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Green Energy",
      "conservative_value": 32.86,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AWP | Green Energy (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:10:20.147035Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b889cea4b0a8.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_0e53aa9892bdffe0f01835b3",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "listing_id": "499479989896270453",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:21.881365Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.29,
      "skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "listing_id": "637964245134592097",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:21.648294Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2,
      "skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "listing_id": "514116688949695290",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:05.857257Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.02,
      "skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "listing_id": "507361289452350337",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:05.857257Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.14,
      "skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "listing_id": "527627487623854808",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:46.115226Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "listing_id": "521997935571766770",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:46.115226Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "listing_id": "492724538182954413",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:46.115226Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.5,
      "skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
      "listing_id": "512990623226461967",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Nova | Ocular",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:48:09.054973Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.45,
      "skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
      "listing_id": "528753387757151433",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:44.073452Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.93,
      "skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
      "listing_id": "496102290328909715",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:44.073452Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:8+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:2"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested	Green Energy 20.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 26.7% $11.85 Smoking Kills 26.7% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $9.32	$17.77 +60.1%	$11.98 +7.9%	46.7%	+27.4%	$11.10	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Boreal Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested	Green Energy 30.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 23.3% $11.85 Smoking Kills 23.3% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 23.3% $9.32	$17.77 +59.8%	$12.71 +14.3%	53.3%	+30.8%	$11.12	—
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested	Green Energy 40.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 20.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills 20.0% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $9.32	$17.77 +50.8%	$13.43 +13.9%	60.0%	+30.8%	$11.79	—
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested	Green Energy 50.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 16.7% $11.85 Smoking Kills 16.7% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 16.7% $9.32	$17.77 +42.1%	$14.15 +13.1%	50.0%	+29.5%	$12.51	—
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Well-Worn	Green Energy 70.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 10.0% $8.64 Smoking Kills 10.0% $7.44 Mirror Mosaic 10.0% $6.61	$17.77 +32.7%	$14.71 +9.9%	70.0%	+35.1%	$13.39	—
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested	Green Energy 60.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 13.3% $11.85 Smoking Kills 13.3% $10.21 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $9.64	$17.77 +29.5%	$14.89 +8.4%	60.0%	+26.1%	$13.73	—
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Boreal Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested	Green Energy 10.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 30.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills 30.0% $10.21 Mirror Mosaic 30.0% $9.63	$17.77 +69.3%	$11.28 +7.4%	40.0%	+22.3%	$10.50	—