The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified FN 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Inputs
Ocular
2x $2.50
Continuum
3x $3.35
Cat Fight
2x $6.41
Angel Eyes
1x $7.29
Glockingbird
2x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Green Energy
20.0% $109.76
Ice Coaled
26.7% $52.47
Smoking Kills
26.7% $47.40
Mirror Mosaic
26.7% $44.00
Max Win
$109.76 (+55.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$60.32 (-14.5%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+35.3%
Cost
$70.58
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $70.58
Ask Price EV $60.32 (-14.5%)
Bid Price EV $57.27 (-18.9%)
Ask Profit $-10.26 (-14.5%)
Bid Profit $-13.31 (-18.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.05 (+4.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$10.26
Bid Slippage Buffer -$13.31
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $109.76 (+55.5%)
Worst Case $44.00 (-37.7%)
Volatility +35.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$39.18
Avg Loss -$22.62
Bottom 5% Outcome $44.00 (-37.7%)
Std Dev $24.91
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 139h 25m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Ocular
—
Minimal Wear
$2.50 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Minimal Wear
$3.35 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Factory New
$6.13 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Factory New
$6.27 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Cat Fight
—
Factory New
$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Cat Fight
—
Factory New
$6.71 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Factory New
$6.99 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Factory New
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
—
Factory New
$17.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 25S //TOTAL COST $70.58 //ASK PRICE EV $60.32 //BID PRICE EV $57.27 //ASK PROFIT $-10.26 (-14.5%) //BID PROFIT $-13.31 (-18.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $109.76 //VOLATILITY +35.3% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$109.76
+$39.18
+55.5%
$105.47
+$34.89
+49.4%
$4.29
3.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$52.47
-$18.11
-25.7%
$50.08
-$20.50
-29.0%
$2.39
4.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$47.40
-$23.18
-32.8%
$43.53
-$27.05
-38.3%
$3.87
8.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$44.00
-$26.58
-37.7%
$42.04
-$28.54
-40.4%
$1.96
4.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
"realistic_value": 52.474500000000006,
"optimistic_value": 52.45,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 50.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:42:31.068610Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
"realistic_value": 44.0045,
"optimistic_value": 43.77,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
"conservative_value": 42.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:07.546074Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
"realistic_value": 47.402,
"optimistic_value": 47.08,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
"conservative_value": 43.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:52:54.116582Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.0524325,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b889cea4b0a8",
"realistic_value": 109.7565,
"optimistic_value": 109.27,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Green Energy",
"conservative_value": 105.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Green Energy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:42:12.408920Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b889cea4b0a8.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_0e53aa9892bdffe0f01835b3",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.5,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "512990623226461967",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:48:09.054973Z"
},
{
"price": 3.35,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "652601015911524384",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:05.857257Z"
},
{
"price": 6.13,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "507361237008637609",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:07.337312Z"
},
{
"price": 6.27,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "503983423969386115",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:07.337312Z"
},
{
"price": 6.41,
"skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"listing_id": "491598638256128498",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:34.947008Z"
},
{
"price": 6.71,
"skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"listing_id": "525375522200555911",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:34.947008Z"
},
{
"price": 6.99,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "517494222855298198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:30.285381Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "528753387756600525",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:22.180238Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
"listing_id": "521997191221904034",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:44.073452Z"
},
{
"price": 17.64,
"skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
"listing_id": "515242423036440493",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:51:02.126913Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:8+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 20.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 26.7% $11.85 Smoking Kills 26.7% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $9.32 | $17.77 +60.1% | $11.98 +7.9% | 46.7% | +27.4% | $11.10 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Green Energy 20.0% $36.26 Ice Coaled 26.7% $24.72 Smoking Kills 26.7% $18.27 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $17.18 | $36.26 +59.5% | $23.30 +2.5% | 46.7% | +31.4% | $22.74 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Boreal Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 30.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 23.3% $11.85 Smoking Kills 23.3% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 23.3% $9.32 | $17.77 +59.8% | $12.71 +14.3% | 53.3% | +30.8% | $11.12 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 40.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 20.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills 20.0% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $9.32 | $17.77 +50.8% | $13.43 +13.9% | 60.0% | +30.8% | $11.79 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 50.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 16.7% $11.85 Smoking Kills 16.7% $10.43 Mirror Mosaic 16.7% $9.32 | $17.77 +42.1% | $14.15 +13.1% | 50.0% | +29.5% | $12.51 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Well-Worn | Green Energy 70.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 10.0% $8.64 Smoking Kills 10.0% $7.44 Mirror Mosaic 10.0% $6.61 | $17.77 +32.7% | $14.71 +9.9% | 70.0% | +35.1% | $13.39 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 60.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 13.3% $11.85 Smoking Kills 13.3% $10.21 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $9.64 | $17.77 +29.5% | $14.89 +8.4% | 60.0% | +26.1% | $13.73 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Boreal Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy 10.0% $17.77 Ice Coaled 30.0% $11.85 Smoking Kills 30.0% $10.21 Mirror Mosaic 30.0% $9.63 | $17.77 +69.3% | $11.28 +7.4% | 40.0% | +22.3% | $10.50 | — |