The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Fragments
3x $0.32
Re.built
1x $0.43
Cyberforce
1x $1.62
Grip Tape
3x $0.85
Aeolian Light
1x $0.94
Creep
1x $1.43
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
25.0% $26.93
Trace Lock
25.0% $15.24
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $4.30
Neoqueen
10.0% $3.17
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $1.64
Banana Cannon
10.0% $1.61
Max Win
$26.93 (+166.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$11.76 (+16.5%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+101.4%
Cost
$10.09
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $10.09
Ask Price EV $11.76 (+16.5%)
Bid Price EV $11.13 (+10.3%)
Ask Profit $1.67 (+16.5%)
Bid Profit $1.04 (+10.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.62 (+6.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.67
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.04
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $26.93 (+166.9%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-85.7%)
Volatility +101.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$10.99
Avg Loss -$7.66
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-85.7%)
Std Dev $10.23
Avg Norm Float 0.0932
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 87h 53m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.99 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Factory New
$2.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 33S //TOTAL COST $10.09 //ASK PRICE EV $11.76 //BID PRICE EV $11.13 //ASK PROFIT $1.67 (+16.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.04 (+10.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $26.93 //VOLATILITY +101.4% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$26.93
+$16.84
+166.9%
$26.63
+$16.54
+163.9%
$0.30
1.1%
—
BIG WIN
25.0%
$15.24
+$5.15
+51.0%
$13.15
+$3.06
+30.3%
$2.09
13.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$4.30
-$5.79
-57.3%
$4.29
-$5.80
-57.5%
$0.01
0.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.17
-$6.92
-68.6%
$3.16
-$6.93
-68.7%
$0.01
0.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.64
-$8.45
-83.7%
$1.44
-$8.65
-85.7%
$0.20
12.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.61
-$8.48
-84.0%
$1.58
-$8.51
-84.3%
$0.03
2.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.44
-$8.65
-85.7%
$1.42
-$8.67
-85.9%
$0.02
1.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.0698925,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 26.926499999999997,
"optimistic_value": 26.72,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 26.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:41:55.655672Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.065233,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 15.2405,
"optimistic_value": 14.81,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 13.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:53:53.680630Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0698925,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 4.3035,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 4.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:09.863236Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.074552,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.6435,
"optimistic_value": 1.64,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:31:21.120944Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.2640502,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:14:29.979912Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.055914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.17,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:41.879123Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09319,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.6135000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T10:05:40.697941Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_037342176fdf6645f4d15415",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "634586617398538707",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:04.453608Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "520872035662847616",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:04.453608Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "497228137695378905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:57:31.013788Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "508487189340038978",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:02.078930Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "510738823412252854",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:21.565939Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "524249735517932847",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:19.617311Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "518620288313427412",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:28.913662Z"
},
{
"price": 0.99,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "652600943945535924",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:19.617311Z"
},
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "507361289453312365",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:56.235536Z"
},
{
"price": 2.18,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "520872088106613300",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:17.443395Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.03 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +242.0% | $4.71 +31.7% | 50.0% | +122.7% | $3.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Breakthrough 25.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 25.0% $2.17 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $0.74 Neoqueen 10.0% $0.65 Banana Cannon 10.0% $0.64 | $5.85 +158.9% | $2.35 +3.8% | 25.0% | +90.4% | $2.26 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 20.0% $4.57 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +312.3% | $4.00 +34.8% | 40.0% | +141.0% | $2.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.45 Sakkaku 8.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.04 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +190.9% | $5.43 +29.0% | 60.0% | +106.5% | $4.21 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.45 Sakkaku 6.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.04 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +152.5% | $6.16 +27.0% | 35.0% | +92.2% | $4.85 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 15.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 15.0% $4.51 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 14.0% $1.03 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +374.6% | $3.25 +26.0% | 30.0% | +149.5% | $2.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.57 Sakkaku 4.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +121.8% | $6.94 +25.7% | 40.0% | +78.7% | $5.52 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.57 Sakkaku 2.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 2.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +97.2% | $7.67 +23.6% | 45.0% | +66.7% | $6.21 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | The End  40.0% $27.17 Wild Child  20.0% $5.70 Duality  20.0% $5.38 Wicked Sick  20.0% $5.38 | $27.17 +131.6% | $14.16 +20.7% | 40.0% | +90.6% | $11.73 | — |