The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Re.built
2x $0.14
Rebel
2x $0.14
Fragments
1x $0.26
Grip Tape
2x $0.34
Aeolian Light
2x $0.38
The Daily Deagle
1x $0.46
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
25.0% $12.25
Trace Lock
25.0% $4.57
Sakkaku
10.0% $1.43
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $1.39
Neoqueen
10.0% $1.10
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $0.75
Max Win
$12.25 (+248.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.74 (+35.0%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+130.2%
Cost
$3.51
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.51
Ask Price EV $4.74 (+35.0%)
Bid Price EV $4.35 (+24.0%)
Ask Profit $1.23 (+35.0%)
Bid Profit $0.84 (+24.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.39 (+11.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.23
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.84
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $12.25 (+248.9%)
Worst Case $0.67 (-80.9%)
Volatility +130.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$4.90
Avg Loss -$2.44
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.67 (-80.9%)
Std Dev $4.57
Avg Norm Float 0.1998
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 139h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.81 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 31S //TOTAL COST $3.51 //ASK PRICE EV $4.74 //BID PRICE EV $4.35 //ASK PROFIT $1.23 (+35.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.84 (+24.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $12.25 //VOLATILITY +130.2% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$12.25
+$8.74
+248.9%
$11.36
+$7.85
+223.6%
$0.89
7.2%
—
WIN
25.0%
$4.57
+$1.06
+30.1%
$4.10
+$0.59
+16.8%
$0.47
10.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.43
-$2.08
-59.2%
$1.42
-$2.09
-59.5%
$0.01
0.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.39
-$2.12
-60.4%
$1.19
-$2.32
-66.1%
$0.20
14.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.10
-$2.41
-68.7%
$0.93
-$2.58
-73.5%
$0.17
15.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.75
-$2.76
-78.7%
$0.70
-$2.81
-80.1%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.67
-$2.84
-80.9%
$0.62
-$2.89
-82.3%
$0.05
7.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.149835,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.139846,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.567500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 4.48,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:07.603854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.149835,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.39,
"optimistic_value": 1.39,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:59.339959Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.15982400000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.3258724,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.4335,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:25:33.397328Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.119868,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.1,
"optimistic_value": 1.1,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:38.384639Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.19978,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.6705,
"optimistic_value": 0.66,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:48:26.471957Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_037342176fdf6645f4d15415",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "518619491424619600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:48:33.113280Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518619491429205748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:24.728831Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "497228190141522857",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:35:42.229799Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "490472790737210523",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:18.321005Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "491598690698787182",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:57.575711Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "518620288313700148",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:43:09.170293Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "497228190141529805",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:27.519353Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "497228190141160121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:27.519353Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "491598690699020822",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:56.572012Z"
},
{
"price": 0.81,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "518620288313651836",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:47.900006Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 25.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 25.0% $15.24 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 10.0% $3.17 Banana Cannon 10.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $1.57 | $26.93 +156.7% | $11.75 +12.0% | 50.0% | +92.5% | $10.49 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 20.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 20.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.36 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +310.9% | $4.00 +34.3% | 40.0% | +140.7% | $2.98 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 6.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $1.36 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.10 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +164.5% | $6.21 +34.1% | 35.0% | +96.1% | $4.63 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 4.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $1.35 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +129.3% | $6.94 +30.0% | 40.0% | +81.3% | $5.34 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 2.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $1.35 Neoqueen 2.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +105.1% | $7.68 +28.6% | 45.0% | +69.2% | $5.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Achroma Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 15.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 15.0% $4.59 Sakkaku 14.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $1.35 Neoqueen 14.0% $1.09 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $0.75 | $12.25 +380.2% | $3.27 +28.1% | 30.0% | +151.3% | $2.55 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Achroma Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | The End  40.0% $27.17 Wild Child  20.0% $5.70 Duality  20.0% $5.44 Wicked Sick  20.0% $5.41 | $27.17 +125.1% | $14.18 +17.5% | 40.0% | +87.9% | $12.07 | — |