The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Scrawl
2x $0.21
Foresight
2x $0.30
Ensnared
2x $0.32
Red Wing
1x $0.40
Trigger Discipline
2x $0.49
Caged
1x $0.65
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
8.0% $21.44
Cat Fight
8.0% $4.32
Angel Eyes
8.0% $4.21
Night Terror
12.0% $4.12
Continuum
8.0% $4.01
Ticket to Hell
12.0% $3.94
Max Win
$21.44 (+471.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.47 (+19.1%)
Win %
64.0%
Volatility
+137.9%
Cost
$3.75
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.75
Ask Price EV $4.47 (+19.1%)
Bid Price EV $3.89 (+3.9%)
Ask Profit $0.72 (+19.1%)
Bid Profit $0.14 (+3.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.57 (+15.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.72
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.14
Risk
Win Probability 64.0%
Loss Probability 36.0%
Best Case $21.44 (+471.7%)
Worst Case $1.21 (-67.7%)
Volatility +137.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$2.50
Avg Loss -$2.45
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.21 (-67.7%)
Std Dev $5.17
Avg Norm Float 0.1491
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 149h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Trigger Discipline
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Trigger Discipline
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 46S //TOTAL COST $3.75 //ASK PRICE EV $4.47 //BID PRICE EV $3.89 //ASK PROFIT $0.72 (+19.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.14 (+3.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 64.0% //BEST CASE $21.44 //VOLATILITY +137.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$21.44
+$17.69
+471.7%
$18.66
+$14.91
+397.6%
$2.78
13.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.32
+$0.57
+15.3%
$3.83
+$0.08
+2.1%
$0.49
11.4%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.21
+$0.46
+12.1%
$3.72
-$0.03
-0.8%
$0.49
11.5%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$4.12
+$0.37
+10.0%
$3.46
-$0.29
-7.7%
$0.66
16.1%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.01
+$0.26
+7.0%
$3.63
-$0.12
-3.2%
$0.38
9.6%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$3.94
+$0.19
+5.1%
$3.26
-$0.49
-13.1%
$0.68
17.3%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$3.92
+$0.17
+4.6%
$3.65
-$0.10
-2.7%
$0.27
6.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.47
-$2.28
-60.9%
$1.22
-$2.53
-67.5%
$0.25
16.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.21
-$2.54
-67.6%
$1.19
-$2.56
-68.3%
$0.02
2.0%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.21
-$2.54
-67.7%
$1.00
-$2.75
-73.3%
$0.21
17.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.4675,
"optimistic_value": 1.45,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:21.757846Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.10439799999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.09992380000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.214,
"optimistic_value": 1.2,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:11.586368Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1133464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.07457,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.21,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:49:46.759426Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 4.2055,
"optimistic_value": 4.09,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 3.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:16:32.226410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 21.439,
"optimistic_value": 21.32,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 18.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:31.788316Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 4.3245,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 3.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:21:53.502900Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 3.9219999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 3.88,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:06.777858Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 4.0135000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 3.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:32:46.868232Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ffff8ddb6d115e9769090a91",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "514116688948507758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:22:28.569785Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289451954337",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:22:28.569785Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292238590183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:55.019799Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292231168711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:55.019799Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "521997191218606146",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:16.715570Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "518620122755714344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:16.715570Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "496102290329494463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:34:59.527543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-ab9a15ef8110",
"listing_id": "505109489449413236",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab9a15ef8110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:28.357601Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-ab9a15ef8110",
"listing_id": "527627487624881960",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab9a15ef8110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:28.357601Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "527627435181074336",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:40.048512Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:6+collection-set-community-36:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 8.0% $11.18 Night Terror 12.0% $2.66 Cat Fight 8.0% $2.29 Angel Eyes 8.0% $2.07 Ocular 8.0% $2.07 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $1.87 | $11.18 +422.6% | $2.46 +14.8% | 28.0% | +116.0% | $2.14 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Liquidation 8.0% $46.21 Cat Fight 8.0% $10.59 Ocular 8.0% $10.40 Continuum 8.0% $10.38 Angel Eyes 8.0% $10.13 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $10.13 | $46.21 +348.6% | $10.53 +2.2% | 32.0% | +98.0% | $10.30 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Continuum 16.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +298.5% | $6.54 +21.6% | 16.0% | +115.6% | $5.38 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.11 Continuum 12.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +373.3% | $5.48 +20.9% | 12.0% | +124.1% | $4.53 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Night Terror 6.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.11 Continuum 14.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +331.4% | $5.99 +20.6% | 14.0% | +119.6% | $4.97 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.11 Continuum 10.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +416.6% | $4.96 +19.6% | 20.0% | +126.5% | $4.15 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Night Terror 2.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.11 Continuum 18.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 2.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +264.0% | $7.02 +19.2% | 18.0% | +110.5% | $5.89 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.11 Continuum 6.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +525.0% | $3.93 +14.7% | 58.0% | +125.0% | $3.43 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 4.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 4.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 4.0% $4.21 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 Continuum 4.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +598.3% | $3.43 +11.7% | 52.0% | +118.2% | $3.07 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Ice Coaled  20.0% $26.55 Smoking Kills  20.0% $21.54 Mirror Mosaic  20.0% $18.83 Rapid Eye Movement  13.3% $9.11 Abyssal Apparition  13.3% $8.58 Melondrama  13.3% $8.14 | $26.55 +93.1% | $16.83 +22.4% | 60.0% | +52.0% | $13.75 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | The Oligarch  20.0% $167.88 Full Throttle  20.0% $126.18 Starlight Protector  30.0% $95.25 Nightwish  30.0% $92.29 | $167.88 +64.6% | $115.07 +12.8% | 40.0% | +28.7% | $102.00 | — |