The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Foresight
2x $0.14
Spirit Board
1x $0.17
Scrawl
3x $0.18
Bullfrog
2x $0.20
Red Wing
2x $0.23
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
8.0% $11.18
Night Terror
12.0% $2.66
Cat Fight
8.0% $2.26
Angel Eyes
8.0% $2.07
Ocular
8.0% $2.07
Ticket to Hell
12.0% $1.87
Max Win
$11.18 (+406.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.44 (+10.6%)
Win %
28.0%
Volatility
+119.8%
Cost
$2.21
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.21
Ask Price EV $2.44 (+10.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.12 (-4.0%)
Ask Profit $0.23 (+10.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.09 (-4.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.32 (+14.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.23
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.09
Risk
Win Probability 28.0%
Loss Probability 72.0%
Best Case $11.18 (+406.1%)
Worst Case $0.83 (-62.6%)
Volatility +119.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$2.77
Avg Loss -$0.75
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.83 (-62.6%)
Std Dev $2.65
Avg Norm Float 0.2953
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 150h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 33M 51S //TOTAL COST $2.21 //ASK PRICE EV $2.44 //BID PRICE EV $2.12 //ASK PROFIT $0.23 (+10.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.09 (-4.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 28.0% //BEST CASE $11.18 //VOLATILITY +119.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$11.18
+$8.97
+406.1%
$9.26
+$7.05
+319.0%
$1.92
17.2%
—
WIN
12.0%
$2.66
+$0.44
+20.1%
$2.39
+$0.18
+8.1%
$0.26
10.0%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$2.26
+$0.05
+2.4%
$1.96
-$0.25
-11.3%
$0.30
13.4%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.07
-$0.14
-6.2%
$1.85
-$0.36
-16.3%
$0.22
10.8%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.07
-$0.14
-6.5%
$1.81
-$0.40
-18.1%
$0.26
12.4%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.87
-$0.34
-15.4%
$1.54
-$0.67
-30.3%
$0.33
17.6%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$1.85
-$0.36
-16.1%
$1.84
-$0.37
-16.7%
$0.01
0.7%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.09
-$1.12
-50.5%
$1.00
-$1.21
-54.8%
$0.09
8.5%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.95
-$1.26
-56.9%
$0.80
-$1.41
-63.8%
$0.15
16.1%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.83
-$1.38
-62.6%
$0.80
-$1.41
-63.8%
$0.03
3.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.2953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.9534999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:10.353285Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.20671,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 2.655,
"optimistic_value": 2.55,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 2.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:08.010392Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19785100000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 0.8275,
"optimistic_value": 0.81,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 0.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:29.901520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.22442800000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 1.87,
"optimistic_value": 1.87,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 1.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:48.305797Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14765,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.093,
"optimistic_value": 1.03,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:54.721143Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 2.0735,
"optimistic_value": 2.07,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:25:47.557866Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 11.1845,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 9.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:37.549162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 2.2635,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:45:43.774240Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 2.0665,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T06:00:08.287380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.8535000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.85,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 1.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:07.808011Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ffff8ddb6d115e9769090a91",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "528753440605018701",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:39.110858Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "490472843632470243",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:39.110858Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "508487242222001810",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:34.830976Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "518620341243223012",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:47.594767Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "514116688948507758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:47.594767Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289451954337",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:47.594767Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "511864888984098909",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:47.402604Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "512990789044186079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:01.707348Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "511864836540685089",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:14.111854Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "518620341243053200",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:00.631114Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:6+collection-set-community-36:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 8.0% $4.21 Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 8.0% $4.11 Continuum 8.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +465.7% | $4.43 +17.0% | 64.0% | +127.1% | $3.79 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.11 Continuum 16.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +295.6% | $6.50 +19.9% | 16.0% | +115.1% | $5.42 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.11 Continuum 12.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +363.0% | $5.47 +18.2% | 12.0% | +121.4% | $4.63 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Night Terror 6.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.11 Continuum 14.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +322.0% | $5.98 +17.8% | 14.0% | +117.1% | $5.08 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Night Terror 2.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.11 Continuum 18.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 2.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +259.7% | $7.02 +17.7% | 18.0% | +109.2% | $5.96 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.11 Continuum 10.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +406.8% | $4.95 +17.0% | 10.0% | +124.1% | $4.23 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.11 Continuum 6.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +534.3% | $3.92 +15.8% | 58.0% | +127.0% | $3.38 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 4.0% $21.44 Angel Eyes 4.0% $4.21 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 Cat Fight 4.0% $4.11 Continuum 4.0% $4.01 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $3.94 | $21.44 +589.4% | $3.40 +9.3% | 52.0% | +116.8% | $3.11 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Ice Coaled  16.7% $26.55 Smoking Kills  16.7% $21.68 Mirror Mosaic  16.7% $18.83 Rapid Eye Movement  16.7% $9.11 Abyssal Apparition  16.7% $8.58 Melondrama  16.7% $8.14 | $26.55 +112.7% | $15.48 +24.1% | 50.0% | +58.0% | $12.48 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | The Oligarch  20.0% $167.88 Full Throttle  20.0% $126.18 Starlight Protector  30.0% $95.25 Nightwish  30.0% $92.29 | $167.88 +63.3% | $115.07 +11.9% | 40.0% | +28.5% | $102.82 | — |