The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Limelight
1x $5.10
Urban Sovereign
6x $4.65
Amberline
1x $6.64
Galigator
2x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
Desolate Space
3.3% $180.75
Kintsugi
30.0% $65.51
Deathgaze
30.0% $61.47
Imperial Dragon
3.3% $58.29
Bloodsport
3.3% $53.46
Max Win
$290.04 (+188.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$134.86 (+34.3%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+103.4%
Cost
$100.39
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $100.39
Ask Price EV $134.86 (+34.3%)
Bid Price EV $109.43 (+9.0%)
Ask Profit $34.47 (+34.3%)
Bid Profit $9.04 (+9.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $25.43 (+25.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$34.47
Bid Slippage Buffer +$9.04
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $290.04 (+188.9%)
Worst Case $53.46 (-46.7%)
Volatility +103.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$178.73
Avg Loss -$37.66
Bottom 5% Outcome $58.29 (-41.9%)
Std Dev $103.78
Avg Norm Float 0.0693
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 139h 33m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Limelight
—
Minimal Wear
$5.10 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$13.85 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 08M 34S //TOTAL COST $100.39 //ASK PRICE EV $134.86 //BID PRICE EV $109.43 //ASK PROFIT $34.47 (+34.3%) //BID PROFIT $9.04 (+9.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +103.4% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$290.04
+$189.65
+188.9%
$229.11
+$128.72
+128.2%
$60.93
21.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$180.75
+$80.36
+80.0%
$144.98
+$44.59
+44.4%
$35.77
19.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$65.51
-$34.88
-34.7%
$55.11
-$45.28
-45.1%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$61.47
-$38.92
-38.8%
$55.38
-$45.01
-44.8%
$6.09
9.9%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$58.29
-$42.10
-41.9%
$49.19
-$51.20
-51.0%
$9.10
15.6%
—
NUKE THIN BID
3.3%
$53.46
-$46.93
-46.7%
$32.29
-$68.10
-67.8%
$21.17
39.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06928,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06928,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.723158Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06928,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:28.082311Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06928,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ca4eb6f53d0e",
"realistic_value": 180.75,
"optimistic_value": 167.87,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Desolate Space",
"conservative_value": 144.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:26.450747Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4eb6f53d0e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.043646399999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-76967e1c919f",
"realistic_value": 58.2935,
"optimistic_value": 57.59,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Imperial Dragon",
"conservative_value": 49.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:34.322707Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-76967e1c919f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.031176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a2cefa49e12",
"realistic_value": 53.459,
"optimistic_value": 49.28,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Bloodsport",
"conservative_value": 32.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T19:59:16.670308Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a2cefa49e12.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fe8dd0d54b37858df6bbe629",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 5.1,
"skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"listing_id": "520871291130131160",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:34:44.615115Z"
},
{
"price": 4.65,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "509613089304042939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:30.419249Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.555448Z"
},
{
"price": 9,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883506139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.555448Z"
},
{
"price": 13.85,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496102124625398987",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Desolate Space 3.3% $46.08 Bloodsport 3.3% $16.81 Imperial Dragon 3.3% $16.06 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.60 | $63.86 +149.8% | $29.07 +13.7% | 33.3% | +92.2% | $25.56 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Desolate Space 3.3% $71.39 Bloodsport 3.3% $53.46 Imperial Dragon 3.3% $28.30 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.12 Deathgaze 30.0% $20.41 | $126.41 +144.6% | $56.09 +8.5% | 36.7% | +91.3% | $51.68 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Desolate Space 6.7% $180.75 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.53 Imperial Dragon 6.7% $58.29 Bloodsport 6.7% $53.46 | $290.04 +194.2% | $130.72 +32.6% | 33.3% | +101.9% | $98.58 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 10.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 10.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 10.0% $53.46 | $290.04 +192.9% | $126.55 +27.8% | 33.3% | +97.9% | $99.01 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Desolate Space 13.3% $180.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 13.3% $58.29 Bloodsport 13.3% $53.46 | $290.04 +193.7% | $122.40 +23.9% | 33.3% | +94.1% | $98.77 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Desolate Space 16.7% $180.75 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 16.7% $58.29 Bloodsport 16.7% $53.46 | $290.04 +190.7% | $118.25 +18.5% | 33.3% | +88.9% | $99.78 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 20.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.53 Imperial Dragon 20.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 20.0% $53.46 | $290.04 +185.2% | $114.11 +12.2% | 33.3% | +82.6% | $101.70 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Phobos  2.0% $9.84 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Reboot  2.0% $3.51 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.23 | $10.69 +158.9% | $5.21 +26.2% | 38.0% | +66.0% | $4.13 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Wasteland Rebel  5.0% $191.80 Mecha Industries  5.0% $153.85 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  45.0% $105.54 | $191.80 +81.7% | $128.26 +21.5% | 55.0% | +22.0% | $105.56 | — |