The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Limelight
1x $2.11
Amberline
8x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $45.29
Desolate Space
3.3% $37.07
Bloodsport
3.3% $16.81
Imperial Dragon
3.3% $15.84
Deathgaze
30.0% $10.22
Kintsugi
30.0% $7.96
Max Win
$45.29 (+88.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$21.36 (-11.2%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+68.6%
Cost
$24.07
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $24.07
Ask Price EV $21.36 (-11.2%)
Bid Price EV $19.37 (-19.5%)
Ask Profit $-2.71 (-11.2%)
Bid Profit $-4.70 (-19.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.99 (+8.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.71
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.70
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $45.29 (+88.1%)
Worst Case $7.96 (-66.9%)
Volatility +68.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$20.39
Avg Loss -$14.26
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-66.9%)
Std Dev $16.52
Avg Norm Float 0.4032
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 140h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Limelight
—
Well-Worn
$2.11 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 16S //TOTAL COST $24.07 //ASK PRICE EV $21.36 //BID PRICE EV $19.37 //ASK PROFIT $-2.71 (-11.2%) //BID PROFIT $-4.70 (-19.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +68.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$45.29
+$21.21
+88.1%
$41.72
+$17.65
+73.3%
$3.56
7.9%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$37.07
+$13.00
+54.0%
$34.69
+$10.62
+44.1%
$2.38
6.4%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$16.81
-$7.26
-30.2%
$13.18
-$10.89
-45.2%
$3.63
21.6%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$15.84
-$8.23
-34.2%
$14.61
-$9.46
-39.3%
$1.23
7.8%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$10.22
-$13.85
-57.6%
$8.25
-$15.82
-65.7%
$1.97
19.2%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$7.96
-$16.11
-66.9%
$7.67
-$16.40
-68.1%
$0.29
3.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.40316,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.40316,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:49.694054Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.40316,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.2155,
"optimistic_value": 10.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:52.693930Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.40316,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ca4eb6f53d0e",
"realistic_value": 37.066,
"optimistic_value": 36.45,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Desolate Space",
"conservative_value": 34.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:39.191571Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4eb6f53d0e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.2539908,
"output_skin_id": "skin-76967e1c919f",
"realistic_value": 15.843499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 15.7,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Imperial Dragon",
"conservative_value": 14.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:15:37.245731Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-76967e1c919f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.181422,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a2cefa49e12",
"realistic_value": 16.8115,
"optimistic_value": 16.5,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Bloodsport",
"conservative_value": 13.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:21:33.526666Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a2cefa49e12.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fe8dd0d54b37858df6bbe629",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.11,
"skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"listing_id": "524249735517787803",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:40:41.645130Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 3.17,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "496102290329110667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:51.370303Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.917228Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Desolate Space 3.3% $71.39 Bloodsport 3.3% $53.46 Imperial Dragon 3.3% $28.30 Kintsugi 30.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.23 | $126.41 +161.8% | $56.18 +16.4% | 36.7% | +97.5% | $48.28 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Desolate Space 3.3% $46.08 Bloodsport 3.3% $16.81 Imperial Dragon 3.3% $15.84 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +149.8% | $29.15 +14.1% | 33.3% | +92.0% | $25.56 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Desolate Space 6.7% $180.75 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 6.7% $58.29 Bloodsport 6.7% $53.46 | $290.04 +194.3% | $130.70 +32.6% | 33.3% | +102.0% | $98.54 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 10.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 10.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 10.0% $53.46 | $290.04 +194.8% | $126.55 +28.6% | 33.3% | +98.5% | $98.39 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Desolate Space 13.3% $180.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 13.3% $58.29 Bloodsport 13.3% $53.46 | $290.04 +193.7% | $122.40 +23.9% | 33.3% | +94.1% | $98.77 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Desolate Space 16.7% $71.39 Bloodsport 16.7% $53.46 Imperial Dragon 16.7% $28.30 Kintsugi 16.7% $22.62 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +183.4% | $53.90 +20.9% | 50.0% | +83.2% | $44.60 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 20.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 20.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 20.0% $53.46 | $290.04 +185.2% | $114.10 +12.2% | 33.3% | +82.6% | $101.70 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Phobos  2.0% $8.28 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Reboot  2.0% $3.51 Galigator  18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 | $10.69 +161.4% | $5.17 +26.5% | 38.0% | +65.8% | $4.09 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Wasteland Rebel  15.0% $191.80 Mecha Industries  15.0% $153.85 Queen's Gambit  35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  35.0% $105.54 | $191.80 +65.8% | $138.16 +19.4% | 65.0% | +25.1% | $115.68 | — |