The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Limelight
1x $4.10
Amberline
2x $3.17
Urban Sovereign
6x $3.19
Galigator
1x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $126.41
Desolate Space
3.3% $71.39
Bloodsport
3.3% $53.46
Imperial Dragon
3.3% $28.30
Kintsugi
30.0% $22.62
Deathgaze
30.0% $21.23
Max Win
$126.41 (+161.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$56.18 (+16.4%)
Win %
36.7%
Volatility
+97.5%
Cost
$48.28
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $48.28
Ask Price EV $56.18 (+16.4%)
Bid Price EV $49.60 (+2.7%)
Ask Profit $7.90 (+16.4%)
Bid Profit $1.32 (+2.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.58 (+13.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$7.90
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.32
Risk
Win Probability 36.7%
Loss Probability 63.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+161.8%)
Worst Case $21.23 (-56.0%)
Volatility +97.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 63.3%
Avg Win +$66.50
Avg Loss -$26.02
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.23 (-56.0%)
Std Dev $47.09
Avg Norm Float 0.1446
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 140h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Limelight
—
Minimal Wear
$4.10 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 15S //TOTAL COST $48.28 //ASK PRICE EV $56.18 //BID PRICE EV $49.60 //ASK PROFIT $7.90 (+16.4%) //BID PROFIT $1.32 (+2.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +97.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$126.41
+$78.13
+161.8%
$112.39
+$64.11
+132.8%
$14.02
11.1%
—
WIN
3.3%
$71.39
+$23.11
+47.9%
$58.82
+$10.54
+21.8%
$12.57
17.6%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
3.3%
$53.46
+$5.18
+10.7%
$32.29
-$15.99
-33.1%
$21.17
39.6%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$28.30
-$19.98
-41.4%
$25.12
-$23.16
-48.0%
$3.18
11.3%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$22.62
-$25.66
-53.1%
$20.66
-$27.62
-57.2%
$1.96
8.7%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$21.23
-$27.05
-56.0%
$19.38
-$28.90
-59.9%
$1.85
8.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 22.619999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 22.2,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:47.292146Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.23,
"optimistic_value": 20.6,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:47.338085Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ca4eb6f53d0e",
"realistic_value": 71.393,
"optimistic_value": 70.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Desolate Space",
"conservative_value": 58.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:38.223805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4eb6f53d0e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0911232,
"output_skin_id": "skin-76967e1c919f",
"realistic_value": 28.304499999999997,
"optimistic_value": 26.88,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Imperial Dragon",
"conservative_value": 25.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:12:59.388522Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-76967e1c919f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.065088,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a2cefa49e12",
"realistic_value": 53.459,
"optimistic_value": 49.28,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Bloodsport",
"conservative_value": 32.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T19:59:16.670308Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a2cefa49e12.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fe8dd0d54b37858df6bbe629",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.1,
"skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"listing_id": "526501587737041901",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:12.272566Z"
},
{
"price": 3.17,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "496102290329110667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:51.370303Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.917228Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.917228Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:01.068828Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.158952Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Desolate Space 3.3% $46.08 Bloodsport 3.3% $16.81 Imperial Dragon 3.3% $15.84 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +149.8% | $29.15 +14.1% | 33.3% | +92.0% | $25.56 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Desolate Space 6.7% $180.75 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 6.7% $58.29 Bloodsport 6.7% $53.46 | $290.04 +194.3% | $130.70 +32.6% | 33.3% | +102.0% | $98.54 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 10.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 10.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 10.0% $53.46 | $290.04 +194.8% | $126.55 +28.6% | 33.3% | +98.5% | $98.39 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Desolate Space 13.3% $180.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 13.3% $58.29 Bloodsport 13.3% $53.46 | $290.04 +193.7% | $122.40 +23.9% | 33.3% | +94.1% | $98.77 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Desolate Space 16.7% $71.39 Bloodsport 16.7% $53.46 Imperial Dragon 16.7% $28.30 Kintsugi 16.7% $22.62 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +183.4% | $53.90 +20.9% | 50.0% | +83.2% | $44.60 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 20.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 Imperial Dragon 20.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 20.0% $53.46 | $290.04 +185.2% | $114.10 +12.2% | 33.3% | +82.6% | $101.70 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Phobos  2.0% $8.28 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Reboot  2.0% $3.51 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 | $10.69 +161.4% | $5.17 +26.5% | 38.0% | +65.8% | $4.09 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Wasteland Rebel  15.0% $191.80 Mecha Industries  15.0% $153.85 Queen's Gambit  35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  35.0% $105.54 | $191.80 +65.8% | $138.16 +19.4% | 65.0% | +25.1% | $115.68 | — |