The Spectrum Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Zander
1x $0.54
Slag
2x $0.19
Light Box
3x $0.21
Hideout
1x $0.29
Dark Sigil
1x $0.32
Irezumi
1x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Crimson Tsunami
2.0% $10.17
Scaffold
2.0% $7.71
Emerald Poison Dart
2.0% $6.37
Seasons
2.0% $5.20
Last Dive
2.0% $4.81
Etch Lord
18.0% $4.43
Max Win
$10.17 (+230.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.66 (+18.7%)
Win %
64.0%
Volatility
+49.4%
Cost
$3.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.08
Ask Price EV $3.66 (+18.7%)
Bid Price EV $3.26 (+5.8%)
Ask Profit $0.58 (+18.7%)
Bid Profit $0.18 (+5.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.40 (+12.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.58
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.18
Risk
Win Probability 64.0%
Loss Probability 36.0%
Best Case $10.17 (+230.2%)
Worst Case $1.90 (-38.2%)
Volatility +49.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 18.0%
Avg Win +$1.35
Avg Loss -$0.80
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.90 (-38.2%)
Std Dev $1.52
Avg Norm Float 0.1500
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 154h 18m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Zander
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Irezumi
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 03M 47S //TOTAL COST $3.08 //ASK PRICE EV $3.66 //BID PRICE EV $3.26 //ASK PROFIT $0.58 (+18.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.18 (+5.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 64.0% //BEST CASE $10.17 //VOLATILITY +49.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$10.17
+$7.09
+230.2%
$9.80
+$6.72
+218.2%
$0.37
3.7%
—
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$7.71
+$4.63
+150.2%
$4.80
+$1.72
+55.8%
$2.91
37.7%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$6.37
+$3.29
+106.9%
$5.99
+$2.91
+94.5%
$0.38
6.0%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$5.20
+$2.12
+68.7%
$4.28
+$1.20
+39.0%
$0.92
17.6%
—
BIG WIN THIN BID
2.0%
$4.81
+$1.73
+56.2%
$3.58
+$0.50
+16.2%
$1.23
25.6%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$4.43
+$1.35
+44.0%
$3.77
+$0.69
+22.4%
$0.66
15.0%
—
WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.11
+36.1%
$3.88
+$0.80
+26.0%
$0.31
7.4%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$3.32
+$0.24
+7.8%
$2.85
-$0.23
-7.5%
$0.47
14.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$2.65
-$0.43
-14.0%
$2.60
-$0.48
-15.6%
$0.05
1.9%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.90
-$1.18
-38.2%
$1.85
-$1.23
-39.9%
$0.05
2.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-16|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-16"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:23.045771Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1007678125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.434,
"optimistic_value": 4.42,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.101680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3205,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:08.866053Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.0928166228,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:34.770098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.082489,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f899f97bd99",
"realistic_value": 10.1715,
"optimistic_value": 10.07,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami",
"conservative_value": 9.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:40.467079Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f899f97bd99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.06749100000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-61f4c5cf38a6",
"realistic_value": 6.3715,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Emerald Poison Dart",
"conservative_value": 5.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:18.724588Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-61f4c5cf38a6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.0779896,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d3caeffc5ec8",
"realistic_value": 4.811,
"optimistic_value": 4.79,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Last Dive",
"conservative_value": 3.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T20:59:13.676545Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d3caeffc5ec8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b0c874f3f971",
"realistic_value": 7.7055,
"optimistic_value": 7.52,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Scaffold",
"conservative_value": 4.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T06:34:56.963505Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c874f3f971.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.07499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bc2d596ca9ca",
"realistic_value": 5.1955,
"optimistic_value": 5.08,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Seasons",
"conservative_value": 4.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:24.129482Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bc2d596ca9ca.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fe5bd4322be890e63167f9fd",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-68e37aff8fd3",
"listing_id": "525375635594580379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Zander",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-68e37aff8fd3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:25:59.711475Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:48.281236Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116741798137334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:40:00.371922Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:40:00.371922Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:40:00.371922Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "499480042829003797",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:04.823090Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:41.601363Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8c2ae17ac090",
"listing_id": "517494441499079446",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Irezumi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8c2ae17ac090.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:39.629924Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:43.162031Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "515242641502660669",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:36.370297Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-16:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Crimson Tsunami 2.0% $10.17 Seasons 2.0% $5.20 Last Dive 2.0% $4.81 Scaffold 2.0% $4.31 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Emerald Poison Dart 2.0% $3.88 | $10.17 +327.4% | $2.63 +10.6% | 28.0% | +57.7% | $2.38 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 6.0% $26.43 Seasons 6.0% $8.87 Scaffold 6.0% $7.71 Last Dive 6.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 6.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.43 | $26.43 +453.0% | $5.74 +20.0% | 30.0% | +108.7% | $4.78 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 8.0% $26.43 Seasons 8.0% $8.87 Scaffold 8.0% $7.71 Last Dive 8.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 8.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 | $26.43 +372.0% | $6.55 +16.9% | 40.0% | +102.3% | $5.60 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 4.0% $26.43 Seasons 4.0% $8.87 Scaffold 4.0% $7.71 Last Dive 4.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 4.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 | $26.43 +510.5% | $4.93 +13.8% | 36.0% | +102.9% | $4.33 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 10.0% $26.43 Seasons 10.0% $8.87 Scaffold 10.0% $7.71 Last Dive 10.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 10.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.43 | $26.43 +305.4% | $7.36 +12.8% | 40.0% | +94.0% | $6.52 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 12.0% $26.43 Seasons 12.0% $8.87 Scaffold 12.0% $7.71 Last Dive 12.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 12.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 | $26.43 +262.6% | $8.17 +12.1% | 48.0% | +88.5% | $7.29 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Decimator  3.3% $43.43 Fever Dream  3.3% $39.62 Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Xiangliu  3.3% $36.02 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $13.83 | $43.43 +103.0% | $23.71 +10.8% | 40.0% | +53.8% | $21.39 | — |