The Spectrum Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Zander
1x $0.41
Dark Sigil
2x $0.16
Light Box
3x $0.21
Hideout
2x $0.30
Motorized
2x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Crimson Tsunami
2.0% $10.17
Seasons
2.0% $5.20
Last Dive
2.0% $4.81
Scaffold
2.0% $4.31
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Emerald Poison Dart
2.0% $3.88
Max Win
$10.17 (+250.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.66 (-8.4%)
Win %
28.0%
Volatility
+53.8%
Cost
$2.90
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.90
Ask Price EV $2.66 (-8.4%)
Bid Price EV $2.40 (-17.1%)
Ask Profit $-0.24 (-8.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.50 (-17.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.25 (+8.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.24
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.50
Risk
Win Probability 28.0%
Loss Probability 72.0%
Best Case $10.17 (+250.7%)
Worst Case $1.47 (-49.3%)
Volatility +53.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 54.0%
Avg Win +$1.82
Avg Loss -$1.05
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.47 (-49.3%)
Std Dev $1.56
Avg Norm Float 0.1756
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 155h 18m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Zander
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01M 43S //TOTAL COST $2.90 //ASK PRICE EV $2.66 //BID PRICE EV $2.40 //ASK PROFIT $-0.24 (-8.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.50 (-17.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 28.0% //BEST CASE $10.17 //VOLATILITY +53.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$10.17
+$7.27
+250.7%
$9.80
+$6.90
+237.9%
$0.37
3.7%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$5.20
+$2.30
+79.2%
$4.28
+$1.38
+47.6%
$0.92
17.6%
—
BIG WIN THIN BID
2.0%
$4.81
+$1.91
+65.9%
$3.58
+$0.68
+23.4%
$1.23
25.6%
—
WIN
2.0%
$4.31
+$1.41
+48.7%
$3.39
+$0.49
+16.9%
$0.92
21.4%
—
WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.29
+44.5%
$3.88
+$0.98
+33.8%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
2.0%
$3.88
+$0.98
+33.7%
$3.42
+$0.52
+17.9%
$0.46
11.8%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.48
-$0.42
-14.4%
$2.07
-$0.83
-28.6%
$0.41
16.6%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.90
-$1.00
-34.3%
$1.85
-$1.05
-36.2%
$0.05
2.9%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.56
-$1.34
-46.2%
$1.43
-$1.47
-50.7%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.47
-$1.43
-49.3%
$1.40
-$1.50
-51.7%
$0.07
4.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-16|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-16"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.17559,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:21:24.938683Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.11797453125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.17559,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.4835000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.48,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:34.876512Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.17559,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.10866562739999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:48.600665Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.09657450000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f899f97bd99",
"realistic_value": 10.1715,
"optimistic_value": 10.07,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami",
"conservative_value": 9.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:40.467079Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f899f97bd99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.0790155,
"output_skin_id": "skin-61f4c5cf38a6",
"realistic_value": 3.8775,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Emerald Poison Dart",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:05.119455Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-61f4c5cf38a6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.09130680000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d3caeffc5ec8",
"realistic_value": 4.811,
"optimistic_value": 4.79,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Last Dive",
"conservative_value": 3.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T20:59:13.676545Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d3caeffc5ec8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.17559,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b0c874f3f971",
"realistic_value": 4.3134999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 4.31,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Scaffold",
"conservative_value": 3.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T14:46:46.325646Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c874f3f971.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.087795,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bc2d596ca9ca",
"realistic_value": 5.1955,
"optimistic_value": 5.08,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Seasons",
"conservative_value": 4.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:24.129482Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bc2d596ca9ca.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fe5bd4322be890e63167f9fd",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-68e37aff8fd3",
"listing_id": "525375522204000139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Zander",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-68e37aff8fd3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:04.096598Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "521998040963862726",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:56.655675Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116741798137334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:59.300666Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:59.300666Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:59.300666Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872141039222012",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:25.545663Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:28.744705Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:25.545663Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "527627540538064388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:07.728597Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:07.728597Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-16:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 2.0% $10.17 Scaffold 2.0% $7.71 Emerald Poison Dart 2.0% $6.37 Seasons 2.0% $5.20 Last Dive 2.0% $4.81 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.46 | $10.17 +232.4% | $3.67 +19.8% | 64.0% | +40.1% | $3.06 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 6.0% $26.43 Seasons 6.0% $8.87 Scaffold 6.0% $7.71 Last Dive 6.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 6.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.43 | $26.43 +468.5% | $5.73 +23.3% | 30.0% | +111.8% | $4.65 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 8.0% $26.43 Seasons 8.0% $8.87 Scaffold 8.0% $7.71 Last Dive 8.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 8.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 | $26.43 +389.5% | $6.55 +21.3% | 40.0% | +106.1% | $5.40 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 4.0% $26.43 Seasons 4.0% $8.87 Scaffold 4.0% $7.71 Last Dive 4.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 4.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.43 | $26.43 +551.1% | $4.92 +21.2% | 52.0% | +109.8% | $4.06 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 10.0% $26.43 Seasons 10.0% $8.87 Scaffold 10.0% $7.71 Last Dive 10.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 10.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.43 | $26.43 +330.5% | $7.36 +19.8% | 50.0% | +99.9% | $6.14 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Crimson Tsunami 12.0% $26.43 Seasons 12.0% $8.87 Scaffold 12.0% $7.71 Last Dive 12.0% $7.67 Emerald Poison Dart 12.0% $6.37 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.46 | $26.43 +267.1% | $8.17 +13.5% | 48.0% | +89.6% | $7.20 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Decimator  3.3% $43.43 Fever Dream  3.3% $34.78 Xiangliu  3.3% $29.45 Black Lotus  30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $8.60 | $43.43 +178.2% | $17.69 +13.3% | 40.0% | +55.0% | $15.61 | — |