The Achroma Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Aeolian Dark
2x $0.06
Dark Chamber
2x $0.07
Snow Splash
2x $0.08
Turquoise Pour
1x $0.05
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.07
Electric Blue
1x $0.07
↓
Possible Outputs
Yeti Camo
8.0% $1.76
Cobalt Paisley
8.0% $1.17
Royal Baroque
8.0% $1.06
Reef Grief
8.0% $1.06
Mint Fan
8.0% $1.05
The Daily Deagle
15.0% $0.99
Max Win
$1.76 (+109.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$0.99 (+18.3%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+32.0%
Cost
$0.84
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.84
Ask Price EV $0.99 (+18.3%)
Bid Price EV $0.91 (+7.9%)
Ask Profit $0.15 (+18.3%)
Bid Profit $0.07 (+7.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.09 (+10.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.15
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.07
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $1.76 (+109.9%)
Worst Case $0.72 (-14.2%)
Volatility +32.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$0.27
Avg Loss -$0.11
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.72 (-14.2%)
Std Dev $0.27
Avg Norm Float 0.1848
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Stale
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 7m
Fill Confidence Medium
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Execution Sensitive
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Snow Splash
—
Minimal Wear
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Snow Splash
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Turquoise Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 56M 05S //TOTAL COST $0.84 //ASK PRICE EV $0.99 //BID PRICE EV $0.91 //ASK PROFIT $0.15 (+18.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.07 (+7.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $1.76 //VOLATILITY +32.0% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$1.76
+$0.92
+109.9%
$1.64
+$0.80
+95.2%
$0.12
7.0%
—
WIN
8.0%
$1.17
+$0.33
+39.3%
$1.04
+$0.20
+23.8%
$0.13
11.1%
—
WIN
8.0%
$1.06
+$0.22
+26.2%
$1.01
+$0.17
+20.2%
$0.05
4.8%
—
WIN
8.0%
$1.06
+$0.22
+25.8%
$0.96
+$0.12
+14.3%
$0.10
9.2%
—
WIN
8.0%
$1.05
+$0.21
+24.7%
$0.94
+$0.10
+11.9%
$0.11
10.3%
—
PAPER WIN
15.0%
$0.99
+$0.14
+17.3%
$0.84
-$0.00
-0.0%
$0.15
14.7%
—
SMALL WIN
15.0%
$0.93
+$0.09
+10.4%
$0.85
+$0.01
+1.2%
$0.08
8.3%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$0.74
-$0.10
-11.8%
$0.71
-$0.13
-15.5%
$0.03
4.2%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$0.72
-$0.12
-14.2%
$0.66
-$0.18
-21.4%
$0.06
8.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.147872,
"output_skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"realistic_value": 0.927,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Creep",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:39:14.581600Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.10720719999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"realistic_value": 0.985,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"conservative_value": 0.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:39:20.671364Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.13863,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"realistic_value": 0.741,
"optimistic_value": 0.72,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"conservative_value": 0.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:39:21.343709Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.120146,
"output_skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"realistic_value": 0.721,
"optimistic_value": 0.7,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:39:27.951042Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.110904,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 1.0475,
"optimistic_value": 1.03,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 0.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:16.197323Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.129388,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.763,
"optimistic_value": 1.7,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:52.977486Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.120146,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.1704999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.16,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:37:35.652502Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.110904,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 1.0605,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:00.074178Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.110904,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 1.057,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 0.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:30.523342Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f980366d112787f7984fae5d",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
"listing_id": "527627540538223544",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:33:27.817051Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "497228024529123485",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:23.061172Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-2787809612be",
"listing_id": "501731842661942825",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Snow Splash",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2787809612be.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:59.447988Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-2787809612be",
"listing_id": "525375740885565439",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Snow Splash",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2787809612be.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:59.447988Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "493850543431724080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:17:26.688551Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
"listing_id": "501731842661897213",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:18:31.018014Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"listing_id": "524249840859468351",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:45.481372Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "508487136896176706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:56.011350Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "525375740885121451",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:15:55.337069Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "501731842661881121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:38:00.510566Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:6+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 8.0% $3.12 Royal Baroque 8.0% $2.64 The Daily Deagle 15.0% $2.20 Reef Grief 8.0% $2.01 Yeti Camo 8.0% $1.76 Cobalt Paisley 8.0% $1.17 | $3.12 +116.7% | $1.55 +7.3% | 47.0% | +43.5% | $1.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 12.0% $1.76 Cobalt Paisley 12.0% $1.17 Royal Baroque 12.0% $1.06 Reef Grief 12.0% $1.06 Mint Fan 12.0% $1.05 The Daily Deagle 10.0% $0.91 | $1.76 +129.0% | $0.97 +26.4% | 70.0% | +37.2% | $0.77 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 10.0% $1.76 Cobalt Paisley 10.0% $1.17 Royal Baroque 10.0% $1.06 Mint Fan 10.0% $1.05 Reef Grief 10.0% $1.00 The Daily Deagle 12.5% $0.91 | $1.76 +135.1% | $0.91 +20.7% | 62.5% | +39.1% | $0.75 | — |
The Achroma Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 6.0% $1.73 Cobalt Paisley 6.0% $1.17 Royal Baroque 6.0% $1.06 Mint Fan 6.0% $1.00 Reef Grief 6.0% $1.00 Creep 17.5% $0.93 | $1.73 +100.8% | $0.93 +8.3% | 65.0% | +24.1% | $0.86 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Ocean Topo  8.9% $0.86 Naval Shred Camo 8.9% $0.73 Aeolian Dark 4.0% $0.70 Sky Blue  8.9% $0.52 Robin's Egg 8.9% $0.48 Gum Wall Camo  8.9% $0.39 | $0.86 +127.2% | $0.39 +3.0% | 48.4% | +49.9% | $0.38 | — |