The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Wave Breaker
1x $0.96
Tosai
1x $1.16
Control
1x $1.19
Amberline
7x $1.93
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $45.29
Searing Rage
10.0% $15.02
Shinobu
10.0% $10.90
Deathgaze
23.3% $9.90
K.O. Factory
10.0% $9.83
Kintsugi
23.3% $8.19
Max Win
$45.29 (+146.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$18.36 (-0.2%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+81.4%
Cost
$18.39
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $18.39
Ask Price EV $18.36 (-0.2%)
Bid Price EV $16.68 (-9.3%)
Ask Profit $-0.03 (-0.2%)
Bid Profit $-1.71 (-9.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.68 (+9.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.03
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.71
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $45.29 (+146.2%)
Worst Case $8.19 (-55.5%)
Volatility +81.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$26.89
Avg Loss -$8.22
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.19 (-55.5%)
Std Dev $14.97
Avg Norm Float 0.4424
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 152h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Wave Breaker
—
Well-Worn
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Tosai
—
Field-Tested
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Control
—
Field-Tested
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.25 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 35M 37S //TOTAL COST $18.39 //ASK PRICE EV $18.36 //BID PRICE EV $16.68 //ASK PROFIT $-0.03 (-0.2%) //BID PROFIT $-1.71 (-9.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +81.4% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
23.3%
$45.29
+$26.89
+146.2%
$41.72
+$23.33
+126.9%
$3.56
7.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$15.02
-$3.37
-18.3%
$13.75
-$4.64
-25.2%
$1.27
8.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$10.90
-$7.49
-40.7%
$10.52
-$7.87
-42.8%
$0.38
3.5%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$9.90
-$8.49
-46.2%
$8.44
-$9.95
-54.1%
$1.46
14.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$9.83
-$8.56
-46.6%
$7.61
-$10.78
-58.6%
$2.22
22.6%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$8.19
-$10.20
-55.5%
$7.68
-$10.71
-58.2%
$0.51
6.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.44238,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.44238,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 8.1855,
"optimistic_value": 7.86,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:02.389849Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.44238,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 9.895999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:46.279448Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.44238,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4c2e3face5fd",
"realistic_value": 15.0245,
"optimistic_value": 15,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage",
"conservative_value": 13.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:33.985454Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c2e3face5fd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.44238,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a7838b4ba71f",
"realistic_value": 10.9025,
"optimistic_value": 10.85,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Shinobu",
"conservative_value": 10.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:45.901844Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a7838b4ba71f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.44238,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"realistic_value": 9.826500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 9.48,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"conservative_value": 7.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T21:37:07.932834Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f8377ac7249a526c056748ae",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"listing_id": "509613142168393023",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:40.685381Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"listing_id": "509613142168533243",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:27.739915Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"listing_id": "520872088106527080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Control",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:11.519327Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "503983642533525607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:31.408017Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:31.408017Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:31.408017Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:31.408017Z"
},
{
"price": 2.24,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "509613142168009803",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:58:56.768811Z"
},
{
"price": 2.25,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "521998040962768254",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:58:56.768811Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:58:56.768811Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Shinobu 10.0% $85.17 Searing Rage 10.0% $62.80 Kintsugi 23.3% $60.46 Deathgaze 23.3% $58.59 K.O. Factory 10.0% $52.47 | $290.04 +227.4% | $115.50 +30.4% | 23.3% | +109.1% | $88.60 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $126.41 Shinobu 10.0% $35.33 Searing Rage 10.0% $26.81 Kintsugi 23.3% $21.21 Deathgaze 23.3% $21.03 K.O. Factory 10.0% $14.04 | $126.41 +238.7% | $46.97 +25.9% | 23.3% | +118.2% | $37.32 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $63.86 Searing Rage 10.0% $15.95 Shinobu 10.0% $14.72 Kintsugi 23.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 23.3% $11.23 K.O. Factory 10.0% $8.27 | $63.86 +224.5% | $24.37 +23.8% | 23.3% | +111.2% | $19.68 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $46.25 Searing Rage 10.0% $15.12 Shinobu 10.0% $11.02 Kintsugi 23.3% $9.34 Deathgaze 23.3% $7.86 K.O. Factory 10.0% $6.81 | $46.25 +156.0% | $18.10 +0.2% | 23.3% | +86.8% | $18.07 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Shinobu 3.3% $85.17 Searing Rage 3.3% $61.96 Kintsugi 30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 30.0% $58.59 K.O. Factory 3.3% $52.47 | $290.04 +198.2% | $129.38 +33.0% | 30.0% | +108.3% | $97.25 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Shinobu 6.7% $85.17 Searing Rage 6.7% $61.96 Kintsugi 26.7% $60.46 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.59 K.O. Factory 6.7% $52.47 | $290.04 +211.4% | $122.40 +31.4% | 26.7% | +108.8% | $93.13 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Shinobu 13.3% $85.17 Searing Rage 13.3% $62.80 Kintsugi 20.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.59 K.O. Factory 13.3% $52.47 | $290.04 +242.2% | $108.54 +28.1% | 33.3% | +107.6% | $84.76 | — |
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Searing Rage 16.7% $15.95 Shinobu 16.7% $14.72 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.23 K.O. Factory 16.7% $8.27 | $63.86 +285.4% | $21.11 +27.4% | 16.7% | +116.3% | $16.57 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Searing Rage 20.0% $15.95 Shinobu 20.0% $14.72 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.23 K.O. Factory 20.0% $8.27 | $63.86 +316.6% | $19.48 +27.1% | 33.3% | +114.9% | $15.33 | — |
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Shinobu 23.3% $35.33 Searing Rage 23.3% $26.81 Kintsugi 10.0% $21.21 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.03 K.O. Factory 23.3% $14.04 | $126.41 +358.2% | $34.64 +25.5% | 33.3% | +114.2% | $27.59 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $63.86 Searing Rage 26.7% $15.95 Shinobu 26.7% $14.72 Kintsugi 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 6.7% $11.23 K.O. Factory 26.7% $8.27 | $63.86 +392.7% | $16.23 +25.2% | 60.0% | +101.0% | $12.96 | — |
The Fever Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Shinobu 30.0% $35.33 Searing Rage 30.0% $26.81 Kintsugi 3.3% $21.21 Deathgaze 3.3% $21.03 K.O. Factory 30.0% $14.01 | $126.41 +434.7% | $28.46 +20.4% | 63.3% | +84.7% | $23.64 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator  12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  12.0% $13.85 Rising Sun  8.0% $12.94 | $51.27 +248.6% | $19.37 +31.7% | 36.0% | +83.3% | $14.71 | — |