The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Wave Breaker
2x $2.66
Rising Sun
1x $3.45
Amberline
1x $6.18
Urban Sovereign
5x $6.76
Galigator
1x $9.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $290.04
Shinobu
10.0% $85.17
Searing Rage
10.0% $62.80
Kintsugi
23.3% $60.46
Deathgaze
23.3% $58.59
K.O. Factory
10.0% $52.47
Max Win
$290.04 (+227.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$115.50 (+30.3%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+109.0%
Cost
$88.67
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $88.67
Ask Price EV $115.50 (+30.3%)
Bid Price EV $95.37 (+7.6%)
Ask Profit $26.83 (+30.3%)
Bid Profit $6.70 (+7.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $20.13 (+22.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$26.83
Bid Slippage Buffer +$6.70
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $290.04 (+227.1%)
Worst Case $52.47 (-40.8%)
Volatility +109.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$201.37
Avg Loss -$26.29
Bottom 5% Outcome $52.47 (-40.8%)
Std Dev $96.63
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 151h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Wave Breaker
—
Minimal Wear
$2.66 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Wave Breaker
—
Minimal Wear
$3.26 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Rising Sun
—
Minimal Wear
$3.45 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$6.76 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$8.90 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 03S //TOTAL COST $88.67 //ASK PRICE EV $115.50 //BID PRICE EV $95.37 //ASK PROFIT $26.83 (+30.3%) //BID PROFIT $6.70 (+7.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +109.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$290.04
+$201.37
+227.1%
$229.11
+$140.44
+158.4%
$60.93
21.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$85.17
-$3.50
-3.9%
$73.80
-$14.87
-16.8%
$11.37
13.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$62.80
-$25.87
-29.2%
$59.13
-$29.54
-33.3%
$3.67
5.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$60.46
-$28.21
-31.8%
$53.43
-$35.24
-39.7%
$7.03
11.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$58.59
-$30.08
-33.9%
$48.81
-$39.86
-45.0%
$9.78
16.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$52.47
-$36.20
-40.8%
$47.62
-$41.05
-46.3%
$4.85
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 60.455999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 60.05,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 53.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:59.812585Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 58.591,
"optimistic_value": 56.75,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 48.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:36.702287Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4c2e3face5fd",
"realistic_value": 62.801500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 62.56,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage",
"conservative_value": 59.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:23.460160Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c2e3face5fd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a7838b4ba71f",
"realistic_value": 85.171,
"optimistic_value": 84.59,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Shinobu",
"conservative_value": 73.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:23.372073Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a7838b4ba71f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"realistic_value": 52.472,
"optimistic_value": 49,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"conservative_value": 47.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:48:09.615941Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f8377ac7249a526c056748ae",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.66,
"skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"listing_id": "529879235107639260",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:16.969064Z"
},
{
"price": 3.26,
"skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"listing_id": "509613089305646559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:16.969064Z"
},
{
"price": 3.45,
"skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"listing_id": "518620122758087356",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:55.320400Z"
},
{
"price": 6.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "517494441497784202",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:54.143621Z"
},
{
"price": 6.76,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "501731842661825609",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:39.176635Z"
},
{
"price": 8.9,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "526501640650634369",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:39.176635Z"
},
{
"price": 9,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883506139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:39.060271Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:27.817952Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:27.817952Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:27.817952Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $63.86 Searing Rage 10.0% $15.95 Shinobu 10.0% $14.72 Kintsugi 23.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 23.3% $11.23 K.O. Factory 10.0% $8.22 | $63.86 +224.8% | $24.36 +23.9% | 23.3% | +111.3% | $19.66 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $126.41 Shinobu 10.0% $35.33 Searing Rage 10.0% $26.67 Kintsugi 23.3% $22.09 Deathgaze 23.3% $20.53 K.O. Factory 10.0% $14.01 | $126.41 +230.1% | $47.04 +22.9% | 23.3% | +115.1% | $38.29 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $46.25 Searing Rage 10.0% $15.12 Shinobu 10.0% $11.02 Kintsugi 23.3% $9.34 Deathgaze 23.3% $7.86 K.O. Factory 10.0% $6.58 | $46.25 +156.0% | $18.08 +0.0% | 23.3% | +86.9% | $18.07 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Shinobu 3.3% $85.17 Searing Rage 3.3% $62.80 Kintsugi 30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 30.0% $58.59 K.O. Factory 3.3% $52.47 | $290.04 +195.4% | $129.41 +31.8% | 30.0% | +107.2% | $98.18 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Shinobu 6.7% $85.17 Searing Rage 6.7% $62.80 Kintsugi 26.7% $60.46 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.59 K.O. Factory 6.7% $52.47 | $290.04 +209.7% | $122.45 +30.8% | 26.7% | +108.2% | $93.65 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Shinobu 13.3% $85.17 Searing Rage 13.3% $62.80 Kintsugi 20.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.59 K.O. Factory 13.3% $52.47 | $290.04 +240.6% | $108.54 +27.5% | 33.3% | +107.1% | $85.15 | — |
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Shinobu 16.7% $85.17 Searing Rage 16.7% $62.80 Kintsugi 16.7% $60.46 Deathgaze 16.7% $58.59 K.O. Factory 16.7% $52.47 | $290.04 +259.0% | $101.59 +25.7% | 33.3% | +105.1% | $80.80 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Searing Rage 20.0% $15.95 Shinobu 20.0% $14.72 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.23 K.O. Factory 20.0% $8.23 | $63.86 +309.9% | $19.48 +25.0% | 33.3% | +113.1% | $15.58 | — |
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Shinobu 23.3% $35.33 Searing Rage 23.3% $26.67 Kintsugi 10.0% $22.09 Deathgaze 10.0% $20.53 K.O. Factory 23.3% $14.01 | $126.41 +355.4% | $34.64 +24.8% | 33.3% | +113.5% | $27.76 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Shinobu 26.7% $35.33 Searing Rage 26.7% $26.67 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.09 Deathgaze 6.7% $20.53 K.O. Factory 26.7% $14.01 | $126.41 +389.2% | $31.54 +22.0% | 60.0% | +102.8% | $25.84 | — |
The Fever Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Shinobu 30.0% $35.33 Searing Rage 30.0% $26.67 Kintsugi 3.3% $22.09 Deathgaze 3.3% $20.53 K.O. Factory 30.0% $14.01 | $126.41 +436.1% | $28.44 +20.6% | 63.3% | +84.9% | $23.58 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 Rising Sun 6.0% $12.94 | $51.27 +218.5% | $21.03 +30.6% | 42.0% | +79.0% | $16.10 | — |