The Revolution Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
2x $0.15
Re.built
3x $0.15
Resupply
2x $0.15
Nexus
3x $0.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Serpent Strike
10.0% $4.41
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $4.12
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $3.08
Control
10.0% $2.76
Sakkaku
10.0% $2.65
Tosai
10.0% $2.54
Max Win
$4.41 (+116.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.44 (+19.8%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+56.9%
Cost
$2.04
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.04
Ask Price EV $2.44 (+19.8%)
Bid Price EV $2.12 (+3.9%)
Ask Profit $0.40 (+19.8%)
Bid Profit $0.08 (+3.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.32 (+15.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.40
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.08
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $4.41 (+116.2%)
Worst Case $0.81 (-60.3%)
Volatility +56.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$1.22
Avg Loss -$0.82
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.81 (-60.3%)
Std Dev $1.16
Avg Norm Float 0.1871
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 150h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 29M 55S //TOTAL COST $2.04 //ASK PRICE EV $2.44 //BID PRICE EV $2.12 //ASK PROFIT $0.40 (+19.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.08 (+3.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $4.41 //VOLATILITY +56.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$4.41
+$2.37
+116.2%
$3.69
+$1.65
+80.9%
$0.72
16.3%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$4.12
+$2.08
+101.8%
$3.56
+$1.52
+74.5%
$0.56
13.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$3.08
+$1.04
+51.0%
$2.72
+$0.68
+33.3%
$0.36
11.7%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$2.76
+$0.72
+35.3%
$2.44
+$0.40
+19.6%
$0.32
11.6%
—
WIN
10.0%
$2.65
+$0.61
+30.1%
$2.41
+$0.37
+18.1%
$0.24
9.2%
—
WIN
10.0%
$2.54
+$0.50
+24.5%
$2.16
+$0.12
+5.9%
$0.38
15.0%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.48
-$0.56
-27.6%
$1.17
-$0.87
-42.6%
$0.31
20.7%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.41
-$0.63
-30.9%
$1.20
-$0.84
-41.2%
$0.21
14.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.19
-$0.85
-41.7%
$1.09
-$0.95
-46.6%
$0.10
8.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.81
-$1.23
-60.3%
$0.76
-$1.28
-62.7%
$0.05
6.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.10665269999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 4.41,
"optimistic_value": 4.41,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 3.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:12.672103Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14949995445,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 2.7605,
"optimistic_value": 2.68,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 2.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T14:23:45.741024Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1403325,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14968800000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.3185238,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.18711,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 1.476,
"optimistic_value": 1.42,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:25:52.461213Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11226599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:20.488286Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17785722338999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 1.19,
"optimistic_value": 1.19,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 1.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:15.554235Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.18711,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8105,
"optimistic_value": 0.8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:08.812447Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13097699999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 2.54,
"optimistic_value": 2.54,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:27:42.829372Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f51799727ad85c4ea0cd3f62",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:29:02.830639Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "528753440605016253",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:42.666466Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:42.666466Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:42.666466Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:26.528205Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "515242641501583693",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:35.303141Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "516368541588599606",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:55.828141Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "652599675000054662",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:55.828141Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "501730992854967701",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:55.828141Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "524248990830309435",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:35.303141Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-35:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 Control 10.0% $10.05 Serpent Strike 10.0% $8.70 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $7.37 Tosai 10.0% $5.78 Neoqueen 10.0% $3.17 | $11.80 +127.4% | $5.67 +9.3% | 50.0% | +52.8% | $5.19 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Fever Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 6.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $3.08 Control 6.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 14.0% $2.65 Tosai 6.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +120.5% | $2.43 +21.6% | 60.0% | +42.0% | $2.00 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 8.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Control 8.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Tosai 8.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +117.2% | $2.44 +20.4% | 60.0% | +41.5% | $2.03 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 12.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Control 12.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Tosai 12.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +111.0% | $2.45 +17.3% | 60.0% | +40.9% | $2.09 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 14.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Control 14.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 Tosai 14.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +105.1% | $2.46 +14.3% | 60.0% | +40.0% | $2.15 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Shinobu  23.3% $35.33 Searing Rage  23.3% $26.81 Duality  10.0% $18.23 K.O. Factory  23.3% $14.00 Wild Child  10.0% $10.25 Wicked Sick  10.0% $9.57 | $35.33 +96.1% | $21.57 +19.8% | 56.7% | +53.3% | $18.01 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Printstream  30.0% $127.68 Bad Trip  30.0% $74.69 Temukau  20.0% $52.74 Head Shot  20.0% $46.53 | $127.68 +89.5% | $80.57 +19.6% | 60.0% | +48.4% | $67.38 | — |