The Inferno Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Sand Dune
2x $2.81
Walnut
1x $4.25
Storm Camo
2x $0.08
Grey Smoke
2x $0.21
Blue Tac
2x $0.28
Night Camo
1x $0.60
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
15.0% $92.65
Gunsmoke
15.0% $7.46
Ocean Topo
7.8% $0.28
Electric Blue
7.8% $0.20
Sour Grapes
7.8% $0.18
Turquoise Pour
7.8% $0.16
Max Win
$92.65 (+666.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$15.13 (+25.2%)
Win %
15.0%
Volatility
+270.4%
Cost
$12.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $12.08
Ask Price EV $15.13 (+25.2%)
Bid Price EV $12.64 (+4.6%)
Ask Profit $3.05 (+25.2%)
Bid Profit $0.56 (+4.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.49 (+20.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.05
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.56
Risk
Win Probability 15.0%
Loss Probability 85.0%
Best Case $92.65 (+666.9%)
Worst Case $0.12 (-99.0%)
Volatility +270.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 85.0%
Avg Win +$80.57
Avg Loss -$10.63
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.12 (-99.0%)
Std Dev $32.66
Avg Norm Float 0.1214
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 154h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.81 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Walnut
—
Field-Tested
$4.25 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Storm Camo
—
Factory New
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Factory New
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Storm Camo
—
Factory New
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Factory New
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Night Camo
—
Factory New
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 21M 24S //TOTAL COST $12.08 //ASK PRICE EV $15.13 //BID PRICE EV $12.64 //ASK PROFIT $3.05 (+25.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.56 (+4.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 15.0% //BEST CASE $92.65 //VOLATILITY +270.4% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$92.65
+$80.57
+666.9%
$76.76
+$64.68
+535.4%
$15.89
17.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$7.46
-$4.62
-38.2%
$6.84
-$5.24
-43.4%
$0.62
8.3%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.28
-$11.80
-97.7%
$0.23
-$11.85
-98.1%
$0.05
17.9%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.20
-$11.88
-98.3%
$0.18
-$11.90
-98.5%
$0.02
10.0%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.18
-$11.90
-98.5%
$0.16
-$11.92
-98.7%
$0.02
11.1%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.16
-$11.92
-98.7%
$0.13
-$11.95
-98.9%
$0.03
17.2%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.14
-$11.94
-98.8%
$0.13
-$11.95
-98.9%
$0.01
7.1%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.13
-$11.95
-98.9%
$0.12
-$11.96
-99.0%
$0.01
10.1%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.12
-$11.96
-99.0%
$0.10
-$11.98
-99.2%
$0.02
19.0%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.12
-$11.96
-99.0%
$0.10
-$11.98
-99.2%
$0.02
19.0%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.12
-$11.96
-99.0%
$0.10
-$11.98
-99.2%
$0.02
16.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.149836,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 92.646,
"optimistic_value": 90,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 76.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:56.764908Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.149836,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 7.461,
"optimistic_value": 7.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 6.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:47:15.767801Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.08497999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:51:19.454998Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.07283999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7b6d780443fc",
"realistic_value": 0.14,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:11.913990Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b6d780443fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.07283999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"realistic_value": 0.1235,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:21:23.542679Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.07283999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"realistic_value": 0.28,
"optimistic_value": 0.28,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"conservative_value": 0.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:07.593397Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.07283999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"realistic_value": 0.1335,
"optimistic_value": 0.13,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:56:33.088637Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.09712,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"realistic_value": 0.18,
"optimistic_value": 0.18,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"conservative_value": 0.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:21:30.497061Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.0823615234,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"realistic_value": 0.157,
"optimistic_value": 0.15,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:40.376416Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.07283999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"realistic_value": 0.1235,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:19:36.567016Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.09104999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"realistic_value": 0.2,
"optimistic_value": 0.2,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:24:08.879784Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f247c0629f8e0b754cac97dd",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.81,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "497228190142187417",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:23.858619Z"
},
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:23.858619Z"
},
{
"price": 4.25,
"skin_id": "skin-bfce85fc2e15",
"listing_id": "643593816522428281",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Walnut (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Walnut",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bfce85fc2e15.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:08.973390Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-9973f96c93b5",
"listing_id": "529879340433026280",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9973f96c93b5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:11:32.791339Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "509612923502747319",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:15.947204Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "492723793462158945",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:15.947204Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "509612923502750487",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:59.008135Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-9973f96c93b5",
"listing_id": "490472843632958835",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9973f96c93b5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:11:32.791339Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "501731789729153753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:59.008135Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-aa996ba531f1",
"listing_id": "524249622293717355",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Night Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Night Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa996ba531f1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:52.593319Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:3+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:7"
}Related
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