The Inferno Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Sand Dune
3x $2.81
Grey Smoke
4x $0.03
Blue Blast
1x $0.04
Lime Hex
2x $0.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
15.0% $16.17
Gunsmoke
15.0% $3.51
Ocean Topo
7.8% $0.28
Electric Blue
7.8% $0.19
Turquoise Pour
7.8% $0.16
Sky Blue
7.8% $0.14
Max Win
$16.17 (+71.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.06 (-67.6%)
Win %
15.0%
Volatility
+59.7%
Cost
$9.44
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $9.44
Ask Price EV $3.06 (-67.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.79 (-70.5%)
Ask Profit $-6.38 (-67.6%)
Bid Profit $-6.65 (-70.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.27 (+2.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$6.38
Bid Slippage Buffer -$6.65
Risk
Win Probability 15.0%
Loss Probability 85.0%
Best Case $16.17 (+71.3%)
Worst Case $0.06 (-99.3%)
Volatility +59.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 85.0%
Avg Win +$6.73
Avg Loss -$8.70
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.06 (-99.3%)
Std Dev $5.63
Avg Norm Float 0.1926
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 155h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.81 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Blue Blast
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Lime Hex
—
Factory New
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Lime Hex
—
Factory New
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 16M 55S //TOTAL COST $9.44 //ASK PRICE EV $3.06 //BID PRICE EV $2.79 //ASK PROFIT $-6.38 (-67.6%) //BID PROFIT $-6.65 (-70.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 15.0% //BEST CASE $16.17 //VOLATILITY +59.7% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
15.0%
$16.17
+$6.73
+71.3%
$14.75
+$5.31
+56.3%
$1.42
8.8%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$3.51
-$5.93
-62.8%
$3.25
-$6.19
-65.6%
$0.26
7.5%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.28
-$9.16
-97.0%
$0.23
-$9.21
-97.6%
$0.05
17.9%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.19
-$9.25
-98.0%
$0.17
-$9.27
-98.2%
$0.02
9.1%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.16
-$9.28
-98.3%
$0.13
-$9.31
-98.6%
$0.03
17.2%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.14
-$9.30
-98.5%
$0.13
-$9.31
-98.6%
$0.01
7.1%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.13
-$9.31
-98.6%
$0.12
-$9.32
-98.7%
$0.01
10.1%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.13
-$9.31
-98.6%
$0.10
-$9.34
-98.9%
$0.03
23.1%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.12
-$9.32
-98.7%
$0.10
-$9.34
-98.9%
$0.02
16.7%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.12
-$9.32
-98.7%
$0.10
-$9.34
-98.9%
$0.02
16.7%
—
NUKE
7.8%
$0.06
-$9.38
-99.3%
$0.05
-$9.39
-99.5%
$0.01
21.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.2025536,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 16.1675,
"optimistic_value": 15.87,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 14.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:18.085334Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.2025536,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 3.5145,
"optimistic_value": 3.49,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 3.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:15.161085Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.134848,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:11:16.762510Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.11558399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7b6d780443fc",
"realistic_value": 0.14,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:11.913990Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b6d780443fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.11558399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:11:40.946217Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.11558399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"realistic_value": 0.28,
"optimistic_value": 0.28,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"conservative_value": 0.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:07.593397Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.11558399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"realistic_value": 0.1335,
"optimistic_value": 0.13,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:14:10.656936Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.15411200000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"realistic_value": 0.0635,
"optimistic_value": 0.06,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"conservative_value": 0.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:46:04.020064Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.13069294784000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"realistic_value": 0.157,
"optimistic_value": 0.15,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:40.376416Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.11558399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"realistic_value": 0.13,
"optimistic_value": 0.13,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:49.050123Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.07777777777777778,
"output_float": 0.14448,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"realistic_value": 0.187,
"optimistic_value": 0.18,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:13:48.869122Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f247c0629f8e0b754cac97dd",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.81,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "497228190142187417",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:28.603115Z"
},
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:28.603115Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "499479193127192053",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:28.603115Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "496102343227064843",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:16:08.418580Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-6c86170a7e6d",
"listing_id": "505109542381133144",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6c86170a7e6d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:19:49.881165Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "528753440605968993",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:05:22.842801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-e6401ef3f5b7",
"listing_id": "490472843633945703",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Lime Hex",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6401ef3f5b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:03:09.534969Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "521997191227965462",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:05:22.842801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "506235337024672440",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:05:22.842801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-e6401ef3f5b7",
"listing_id": "492724538183035341",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Lime Hex",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6401ef3f5b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:03:09.534969Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:3+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 Ocean Topo 7.8% $0.28 Electric Blue 7.8% $0.19 Sour Grapes 7.8% $0.17 Turquoise Pour 7.8% $0.16 | $92.65 +658.8% | $15.13 +23.9% | 15.0% | +256.3% | $12.21 | — |