The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Safehouse Collection ×5
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Cold Fusion
2x $0.08
Mainframe
2x $0.10
Bulkhead
1x $0.11
Condemned
1x $0.09
Forest Leaves
3x $0.10
VariCamo
1x $0.13
↓
Possible Outputs
Exchanger
12.5% $2.42
Acheron
12.5% $2.39
Co-Processor
12.5% $2.23
Facility Negative
12.5% $2.23
Acid Fade
16.7% $1.48
Silver Quartz
16.7% $1.36
Max Win
$2.42 (+72.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.71 (+21.8%)
Win %
66.7%
Volatility
+49.8%
Cost
$1.40
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.40
Ask Price EV $1.71 (+21.8%)
Bid Price EV $1.60 (+14.3%)
Ask Profit $0.31 (+21.8%)
Bid Profit $0.20 (+14.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.11 (+7.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.31
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.20
Risk
Win Probability 66.7%
Loss Probability 33.3%
Best Case $2.42 (+72.5%)
Worst Case $0.44 (-68.8%)
Volatility +49.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.7%
Avg Win +$0.71
Avg Loss -$0.50
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.44 (-68.8%)
Std Dev $0.70
Avg Norm Float 0.1397
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Stale
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 27m
Fill Confidence Medium
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Bulkhead
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Condemned
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | VariCamo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 52M 38S //TOTAL COST $1.40 //ASK PRICE EV $1.71 //BID PRICE EV $1.60 //ASK PROFIT $0.31 (+21.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.20 (+14.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 66.7% //BEST CASE $2.42 //VOLATILITY +49.8% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.42
+$1.02
+72.5%
$2.36
+$0.96
+68.6%
$0.06
2.3%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.39
+$0.99
+70.8%
$2.19
+$0.79
+56.4%
$0.20
8.4%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.23
+$0.83
+59.6%
$2.04
+$0.64
+45.7%
$0.19
8.7%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.23
+$0.83
+59.1%
$2.16
+$0.76
+54.3%
$0.07
3.0%
—
PAPER WIN
16.7%
$1.48
+$0.08
+6.0%
$1.30
-$0.10
-7.1%
$0.18
12.4%
—
LOSS
16.7%
$1.36
-$0.04
-2.8%
$1.33
-$0.07
-5.0%
$0.03
2.2%
—
NUKE
16.7%
$0.44
-$0.96
-68.8%
$0.41
-$0.99
-70.7%
$0.03
6.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-safehouse|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.08380199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-466d0513f5e8",
"realistic_value": 0.4375,
"optimistic_value": 0.42,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Teardown",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:55.013903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-466d0513f5e8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.055868,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45614ab4f605",
"realistic_value": 1.3605,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz",
"conservative_value": 1.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:33:57.323340Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45614ab4f605.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.0041900999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d85f69ac3c8",
"realistic_value": 1.484,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade",
"conservative_value": 1.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:22:03.990293Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d85f69ac3c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.11592609999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.391,
"optimistic_value": 2.37,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:38.838399Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.069835,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 2.234,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 2.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:25.274498Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.069835,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 2.4155,
"optimistic_value": 2.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 2.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:20.458619Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.069835,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 2.2270000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:33:42.344841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ee1f831850a74f934dc3ae8b",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "502856892583739272",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:16:25.020045Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "524249787962331303",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:18:52.369255Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-09caec0af065",
"listing_id": "508487189340873710",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Bulkhead (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Bulkhead",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-09caec0af065.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:52.742725Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "497227393161145157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:18:52.369255Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "491598690699114818",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:28.301704Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-64d604ccd5cf",
"listing_id": "517493591318861578",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Condemned",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-64d604ccd5cf.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:22:04.873189Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "526501587738165425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:57.452943Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "606438509290341941",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:57.452943Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-dcf4de6c10e3",
"listing_id": "507361289454163837",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dcf4de6c10e3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:16.210376Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "524249787961878027",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:32.596335Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:5+collection-set-safehouse:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Safehouse Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Acheron 12.5% $2.39 Acid Fade 16.7% $1.48 Silver Quartz 16.7% $1.36 Facility Negative 12.5% $0.48 Teardown 16.7% $0.44 Co-Processor 12.5% $0.41 | $2.39 +141.5% | $1.01 +1.7% | 45.8% | +66.3% | $0.99 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6+The Safehouse Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Exchanger 15.0% $2.42 Acheron 15.0% $2.36 Co-Processor 15.0% $2.23 Facility Negative 15.0% $2.23 Acid Fade 13.3% $1.41 Silver Quartz 13.3% $1.36 | $2.42 +71.3% | $1.81 +28.7% | 73.3% | +31.7% | $1.41 | — |