The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Safehouse Collection ×5
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Cold Fusion
2x $0.07
Mainframe
1x $0.10
Bulkhead
2x $0.11
Orange Peel
1x $0.07
Forest Leaves
4x $0.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Acheron
12.5% $2.36
Acid Fade
16.7% $1.41
Silver Quartz
16.7% $1.36
Facility Negative
12.5% $0.48
Teardown
16.7% $0.45
Co-Processor
12.5% $0.40
Max Win
$2.36 (+140.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$0.99 (+1.2%)
Win %
45.8%
Volatility
+68.8%
Cost
$0.98
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $0.98
Ask Price EV $0.99 (+1.2%)
Bid Price EV $0.93 (-5.6%)
Ask Profit $0.01 (+1.2%)
Bid Profit $-0.05 (-5.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.07 (+6.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.01
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.05
Risk
Win Probability 45.8%
Loss Probability 54.2%
Best Case $2.36 (+140.6%)
Worst Case $0.40 (-59.2%)
Volatility +68.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 54.2%
Avg Win +$0.67
Avg Loss -$0.55
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.40 (-59.2%)
Std Dev $0.67
Avg Norm Float 0.1704
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 7h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Bulkhead
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Bulkhead
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Orange Peel
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 58M 00S //TOTAL COST $0.98 //ASK PRICE EV $0.99 //BID PRICE EV $0.93 //ASK PROFIT $0.01 (+1.2%) //BID PROFIT $-0.05 (-5.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 45.8% //BEST CASE $2.36 //VOLATILITY +68.8% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.36
+$1.38
+140.6%
$2.19
+$1.21
+123.5%
$0.17
7.1%
—
WIN
16.7%
$1.41
+$0.43
+44.0%
$1.30
+$0.32
+32.7%
$0.11
7.9%
—
WIN
16.7%
$1.36
+$0.38
+38.8%
$1.33
+$0.35
+35.7%
$0.03
2.2%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.48
-$0.50
-50.7%
$0.38
-$0.60
-61.2%
$0.10
21.4%
—
NUKE
16.7%
$0.45
-$0.53
-54.3%
$0.41
-$0.57
-58.2%
$0.04
8.4%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.40
-$0.58
-59.2%
$0.39
-$0.59
-60.2%
$0.01
2.5%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.40
-$0.58
-59.2%
$0.39
-$0.59
-60.2%
$0.01
2.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-safehouse|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.102258,
"output_skin_id": "skin-466d0513f5e8",
"realistic_value": 0.4475,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Teardown",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:10:21.633690Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-466d0513f5e8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.068172,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45614ab4f605",
"realistic_value": 1.3605,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz",
"conservative_value": 1.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:22:05.287102Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45614ab4f605.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.0051129,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d85f69ac3c8",
"realistic_value": 1.4115,
"optimistic_value": 1.38,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade",
"conservative_value": 1.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:33:18.535028Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d85f69ac3c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.1414569,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.3575,
"optimistic_value": 2.34,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:41.589244Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.085215,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 0.4,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 0.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:36.410591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.085215,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 0.4,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 0.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:16.703985Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.085215,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 0.4835,
"optimistic_value": 0.48,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:12.043704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ee1f831850a74f934dc3ae8b",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "496102290328404239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:45.016273Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "502856892583739272",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:45.016273Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "524249787962331303",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:31:07.991772Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-09caec0af065",
"listing_id": "508487189340873710",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Bulkhead (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Bulkhead",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-09caec0af065.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:33:18.365375Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-09caec0af065",
"listing_id": "502857637417511308",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Bulkhead (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Bulkhead",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-09caec0af065.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:33:18.365375Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-2ed9e1f9de26",
"listing_id": "501731789729468609",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Orange Peel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2ed9e1f9de26.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:36:01.289263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "528753440604744021",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:36:15.647562Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "529879340431824132",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:36:15.647562Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "526501587738165425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:36:15.647562Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "606438509290341941",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:36:15.647562Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:5+collection-set-safehouse:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Safehouse Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Exchanger 12.5% $2.42 Acheron 12.5% $2.36 Co-Processor 12.5% $2.23 Facility Negative 12.5% $2.23 Acid Fade 16.7% $1.41 Silver Quartz 16.7% $1.36 | $2.42 +75.0% | $1.69 +22.5% | 66.7% | +34.4% | $1.38 | — |